Ball State at Buffalo - 2020 Matchup Preview
Ball State logo   Ball State Cardinals vs Buffalo Bulls  Buffalo logo
Friday, December 18th 2020 (7:30 PM EST)
Buffalo -13 (69.5)
Ball State 38 - Buffalo: 28  (Mid-American)

 
Cardinals (7 - 1) (5 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 16 - 30 (10 - 36 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BUFF 2nd straight Home Game
BUFF is playing their 7th straight game
BALL is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -3  (SP+ BUFF -6)
Projected Score: BALL: 18 - BUFF: 29 (47)
BUFF Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
BALL Travel: 192 miles
Bulls (6 - 1) (5 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 24 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ball State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/4 Ball State at Miami (OH)-1.056.5L 31 - 38ON
Wed 11/11 Ball State vs Eastern Michigan-8.061.0W 38 - 31ON
Wed 11/18 Ball State vs Northern Illinois-14.559.5W 31 - 25UN
Sat 11/28 Ball State at Toledo+9.567.0W 27 - 24UY
Sat 12/5 Ball State at Central Michigan-2.562.5W 45 - 20OY
Sat 12/12 Ball State vs Western Michigan+2.066.5W 30 - 27UY
Fri 12/18 Ball State vs Buffalo+13.069.5W 38 - 28UY
Thu 12/31 Ball State vs San José State+9.563.0W 34 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
Buffalo's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/4 Buffalo at Northern Illinois-14.053.0W 49 - 30OY
Tue 11/10 Buffalo vs Miami (OH)-7.555.0W 42 - 10UY
Tue 11/17 Buffalo at Bowling Green-31.557.5W 42 - 17ON
Sat 11/28 Buffalo vs Kent State-7.570.0W 70 - 41OY
Sat 12/5 Buffalo at Ohio-11.058.0
Sat 12/12 Buffalo vs Akron-33.558.5W 56 - 7OY
Fri 12/18 Buffalo vs Ball State-13.069.5L 28 - 38UN
Fri 12/25 Buffalo vs Marshall-5.553.5W 17 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL.2346%15.845%3.1921946%2444.01.2145%29.844%44%3.7352.91.32.6
BUFF.2146%2447%3.1425041%1384.02.0539%23.539%37%3.1344.61.12.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Offense1215.89.746.5%4.011.3244632192444.954%44%45%46%20%.23
BUFF Defense1323.524.139.1%3.132.4 - - - - - 48%50%39%37%21%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Defense1229.835.745%3.732.6 - - - - - 54%44%44%44%22%.21
BUFF Offense132424.645.8%4.021.1213892501384.968%31%47%41%15%.21

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ball State1230:1624.341%52%5.952.91.32.67.61.8130.3
Buffalo1334:0221.245%64%4.944.61.12.47.34.4230.4
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Offense1254%45%44.7219.44.927.173.1975%14%1
BUFF Defense1348%39% - - - - .022.6665%14%0.84
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Defense1254%44% - - - - .172.8972%12%1.05
BUFF Offense1368%47%50.7250.54.936.213.1480%9%1.01

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Offense1244%46%19.931.1243.67.812.2247.311.530%38%.356%1.7
BUFF Defense1350%37% - - - - - - 11.11.631%24%.017%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Defense1244%44% - - - - - - 15.291.531%34%.359%2
BUFF Offense1331%41%11.521.4138.16.512146.21.528%35%.276%1.7

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ball State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.2  #73
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4  #47
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5  #91

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State:    Buffalo: 2.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -0.2   Buffalo: 5.3




Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: 2.65 NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Buffalo's 2020 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.3  #48
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #48
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #47

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Ball State Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.7
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.7

Ball State's 2020 Record
Record: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 29
Ball State 18

Projected Total Points: 47
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.6
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.1

Buffalo's 2020 Record
Record: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 3
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/12Buffalo51Ball State48Buffalo -3.5Ball State55.5Over
202111/23Ball State20Buffalo3Ball State -6Ball State59.5Under
202012/18Buffalo28Ball State38Buffalo -13Ball State69.5Under
201711/16Ball State24Buffalo40Buffalo -18.5Ball State54.5Over
201610/15Buffalo21Ball State31Ball State -9Ball State52.5Under
201109/17Ball State28Buffalo25
201011/12Buffalo3Ball State20
200812/05Buffalo42Ball State24
200709/29Ball State49Buffalo14
200610/07Buffalo25Ball State55
200010/20Buffalo35Ball State44
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Buffalo302 Overs
Ball State853 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 62 - 31 - 21 - 1
Road Teams6 - 53 - 21 - 12 - 1

(#) BALL at (#) BUFF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBALLBUFF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #73 #48
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #120 #121
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ball State on Offense
CategoryCat
BALL OffBUFF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47 #47
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ball State Run Game
CategoryCat
BALL OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ball State Pass Game
CategoryCat
BALL OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCatBUFF OffBALL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #48 #91
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffBALL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCatBUFF OffBALL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BUFF 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'20 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

BALL 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'20 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ford Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 16
Buffalo -13.0 (69.5)
Ball State won at Buffalo this year (38-28)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Ball State in 2024 (51-48)

  
BALL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BALL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BUFF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BUFF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD