Buffalo at Ohio - 2020 Matchup Preview
Buffalo logo   Buffalo Bulls at Ohio Bobcats  Ohio logo
Saturday, December 5th 2020 (3:30 PM EST)
Buffalo -11.0 (58.0)
Peden Stadium - Athens, OH  (Mid-American)

 
Bulls (6 - 1) (5 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 23 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
OHIO 3rd straight Home Game
BUFF is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -1.5  (SP+ BUFF -7.5)
Projected Score: BUFF: 22 - OHIO: 28 (50)
BUFF Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
BUFF Travel: 307 miles
Bobcats (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (36 - 20 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/4 Buffalo at Northern Illinois-14.053.0W 49 - 30OY
Tue 11/10 Buffalo vs Miami (OH)-7.555.0W 42 - 10UY
Tue 11/17 Buffalo at Bowling Green-31.557.5W 42 - 17ON
Sat 11/28 Buffalo vs Kent State-7.570.0W 70 - 41OY
Sat 12/5 Buffalo at Ohio-11.058.0
Sat 12/12 Buffalo vs Akron-33.558.5W 56 - 7OY
Fri 12/18 Buffalo vs Ball State-13.069.5L 28 - 38UN
Fri 12/25 Buffalo vs Marshall-5.553.5W 17 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Ohio's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/4 Ohio at Central Michigan-3.054.5L 27 - 30ON
Tue 11/10 Ohio vs Akron-27.058.0W 24 - 10UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 Ohio vs Bowling Green-22.555.0W 52 - 10OY
Sat 12/5 Ohio vs Buffalo+11.058.0
Sat 12/12 Ohio at Kent State+4.068.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF.2146%2447%3.1425041%1384.02.0539%23.539%37%3.1344.61.12.4
OHIO.2850%27.851%3.4222246%2204.09.2444%21.946%40%3.4548.21.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OHIO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense132423.245.8%4.021.1213892501384.968%31%47%41%15%.21
OHIO Defense1321.92044.2%3.451.5 - - - - - 49%49%46%40%18%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1323.522.639.1%3.132.4 - - - - - 48%50%39%37%21%.05
OHIO Offense1327.836.349.9%4.091.5234422222205.557%41%51%46%17%.28

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1334:0221.245%64%4.944.61.12.47.34.4230.4
Ohio1331:4622.849%56%5.448.21.51.56.22032.3
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1368%47%50.7250.54.936.213.1480%9%1.01
OHIO Defense1349%46% - - - - .213.185%11%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1348%39% - - - - .022.6665%14%0.84
OHIO Offense1357%51%40.5221.85.536.273.4277%10%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1331%41%11.521.4138.16.512146.21.528%35%.276%1.7
OHIO Defense1349%40% - - - - - - 5.291.633%36%.57%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1350%37% - - - - - - 11.11.631%24%.017%1.9
OHIO Offense1341%46%15.625.8220.58.614.1216.311.629%39%.377%1.7

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2020 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.3  #48
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #48
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #47

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo:    Ohio: 1.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: 5.3   Ohio: -2.3




Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: 1.35 NR
Ohio's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ohio's 2020 Expected Record: -
Ohio's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.3  #82
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7  #58
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8  #93

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Buffalo's 2020 Record
Record: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 3
Record on Road: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio 28
Buffalo 22

Projected Total Points: 50
Ohio Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.3
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20

Ohio's 2020 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/28Buffalo26Ohio31Ohio -7.0Buffalo44.5Over
202410/26Ohio47Buffalo16Ohio -4.0Ohio46.5Over
202311/07Buffalo10Ohio20Ohio -9.5Ohio45.5Under
202211/01Ohio45Buffalo24Buffalo -2.5Ohio61.0Over
202110/16Buffalo27Ohio26Buffalo -7.5Ohio54.5Under
201910/05Buffalo20Ohio21Ohio -3Buffalo53.0Under
201811/14Ohio52Buffalo17Ohio -2.5Ohio66.0Over
201711/24Buffalo31Ohio24Ohio -7Buffalo56.0Under
201611/03Ohio34Buffalo10Ohio -19Ohio51.5Under
201510/24Buffalo41Ohio17Ohio -2Buffalo53.0Over
201411/05Ohio37Buffalo14Ohio -2Ohio0
201311/05Buffalo30Ohio3Buffalo -2.5Buffalo0
201210/06Ohio38Buffalo31
201110/08Buffalo38Ohio37
201011/04Ohio34Buffalo17
200911/10Buffalo24Ohio27
200810/28Ohio19Buffalo32
200710/06Buffalo31Ohio10
200610/21Ohio42Buffalo7
200510/29Buffalo20Ohio34
200409/25Ohio34Buffalo0
200310/25Buffalo26Ohio17
200209/28Ohio34Buffalo32
200111/03Buffalo44Ohio0
200010/06Ohio42Buffalo20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio1675 Overs
Buffalo955 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams19 - 610 - 25 - 15 - 1
Road Teams6 - 192 - 101 - 51 - 5

(#) BUFF at (#) OHIO
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBUFFOHIO
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #48 #82
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #121 #112
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCat
BUFF OffOHIO Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #48 #93
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffOHIO Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffOHIO Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Ohio on Offense
CategoryCatOHIO OffBUFF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #58 #47
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio Run Game
CategoryCat
OHIO OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ohio Pass Game
CategoryCatOHIO OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
OHIO 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'20 Profile: Down to Average G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'20 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Buffalo last year (31-26)
Ohio beat Buffalo in 2024 (47-16)
Ohio beat Buffalo in 2023 (20-10)

  
BUFF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BUFF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

OHIO's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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OHIO's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD