Buffalo at Northern Illinois - 2020 Matchup Preview
Buffalo logo   Buffalo Bulls at Northern Illinois Huskies  Northern Illinois logo
Wednesday, November 4th 2020 (7:00 PM EST)
Buffalo -14 (53.0)
Buffalo 49 - Northern Illinois: 30  (Mid-American)

 
Bulls (6 - 1) (5 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 23 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -8.5  (SP+ BUFF -21.5)
Projected Score: BUFF: 23 - NIU: 20 (43)
BUFF Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
BUFF Travel: 515 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Huskies (0 - 6) (2 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 24 (18 - 21 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/4 Buffalo at Northern Illinois-14.053.0W 49 - 30OY
Tue 11/10 Buffalo vs Miami (OH)-7.555.0W 42 - 10UY
Tue 11/17 Buffalo at Bowling Green-31.557.5W 42 - 17ON
Sat 11/28 Buffalo vs Kent State-7.570.0W 70 - 41OY
Sat 12/5 Buffalo at Ohio-11.058.0
Sat 12/12 Buffalo vs Akron-33.558.5W 56 - 7OY
Fri 12/18 Buffalo vs Ball State-13.069.5L 28 - 38UN
Fri 12/25 Buffalo vs Marshall-5.553.5W 17 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Northern Illinois's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/4 Northern Illinois vs Buffalo+14.053.0L 30 - 49ON
Wed 11/11 Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan+6.057.5L 10 - 40UN
Wed 11/18 Northern Illinois at Ball State+14.559.5L 25 - 31UY
Sat 11/28 Northern Illinois at Western Michigan+18.564.5L 27 - 30UY
Sat 12/5 Northern Illinois vs Toledo+9.053.5L 24 - 41ON
Sat 12/12 Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan+6.055.5L 33 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF.2146%2447%3.1425041%1384.02.0539%23.539%37%3.1344.61.12.4
NIU.1239%17.139%2.5414036%2183.61.1843%24.341%44%3.7344.91.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NIU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense132423.245.8%4.021.1213892501384.968%31%47%41%15%.21
NIU Defense1224.320.842.8%3.731.4 - - - - - 53%45%41%44%19%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1323.522.639.1%3.132.4 - - - - - 48%50%39%37%21%.05
NIU Offense1217.117.838.9%3.611.6183591402183.751%47%39%36%27%.12

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1334:0221.245%64%4.944.61.12.47.34.4230.4
Northern Illinois1232:4518.332%52%5.244.91.61.47.31.8326
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1368%47%50.7250.54.936.213.1480%9%1.01
NIU Defense1253%41% - - - - .092.6753%14%1.12
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1348%39% - - - - .022.6665%14%0.84
NIU Offense1251%39%37.8140.33.715.042.5469%17%0.95

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1331%41%11.521.4138.16.512146.21.528%35%.276%1.7
NIU Defense1245%44% - - - - - - 4.311.532%31%.265%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1350%37% - - - - - - 11.11.631%24%.017%1.9
NIU Offense1247%36%17.930.8218.47.112.21411.231.736%29%.2310%1.8

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2020 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.3  #48
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #48
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #47

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo:    Northern Illinois: -5.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: 5.3   Northern Illinois: -16.2




Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -5.6 NR
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Northern Illinois's 2020 Expected Record: -
Northern Illinois's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.2  #118
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9  #112
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3  #112

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Buffalo's 2020 Record
Record: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 3
Record on Road: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 23
Northern Illinois 20

Projected Total Points: 43
Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 17.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.8
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Northern Illinois's 2020 Record
Record: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 3
Record at home: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21Northern Illinois20Buffalo23Northern Illinois -13.0Buffalo42.5Over
202111/17Buffalo27Northern Illinois33Northern Illinois -2Northern Illinois59.5Over
202011/04Northern Illinois30Buffalo49Buffalo -14Buffalo53.0Over
201811/30Buffalo29Northern Illinois30Buffalo -3Northern Illinois51.0Over
201710/14Buffalo13Northern Illinois14Northern Illinois -8Buffalo50.0Under
201610/22Northern Illinois44Buffalo7Northern Illinois -20Northern Illinois61.0Under
201511/11Buffalo30Northern Illinois41Northern Illinois -5Northern Illinois55.5Over
201210/13Northern Illinois45Buffalo3
201110/22Buffalo30Northern Illinois31
201010/16Northern Illinois45Buffalo14
200609/16Northern Illinois31Buffalo13
200311/08Buffalo9Northern Illinois40
200010/27Northern Illinois73Buffalo10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northern Illinois1145 Overs
Buffalo232 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 82 - 51 - 21 - 3
Road Teams8 - 55 - 23 - 12 - 1

(#) BUFF at (#) NIU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBUFFNIU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #48 #118
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #121 #118
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCat
BUFF OffNIU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #48 #112
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffNIU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffNIU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Northern Illinois on Offense
CategoryCatNIU OffBUFF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #112 #47
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northern Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
NIU OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Northern Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCatNIU OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NIU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'20 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Buffalo 14.0 (53.0)
Buffalo won at Northern Illinois this year (49-30)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Northern Illinois in 2024 (23-20)

  
BUFF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BUFF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NIU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster

NIU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD