Bowling Green at Toledo - 2020 Matchup Preview
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Wednesday, November 4th 2020 (8:00 PM EST)
Toledo -24 (63.0)
Toledo 38 - Bowling Green: 3  (Mid-American)

 
Falcons (0 - 5) (1 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (24 - 29 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -14  (SP+ TOL -23)
Projected Score: BGSU: 16 - TOL: 33 (49)
TOL Win prob: 96% | Cover: 57%
BGSU Travel: 19 miles
Rockets (4 - 2) (3 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (46 - 8 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Bowling Green's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/4 Bowling Green at Toledo+24.063.0L 3 - 38UN
Tue 11/10 Bowling Green vs Kent State+20.555.0L 24 - 62ON
Tue 11/17 Bowling Green vs Buffalo+31.557.5L 17 - 42OY
Sat 11/28 Bowling Green at Ohio+22.555.0L 10 - 52ON
Sat 12/5 Bowling Green at Akron+2.554.5L 3 - 31UN
Sat 12/12 Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)+24.049.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Toledo's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/4 Toledo vs Bowling Green-24.063.0W 38 - 3UY
Wed 11/11 Toledo at Western Michigan+1.558.5L 38 - 41ON
Wed 11/18 Toledo at Eastern Michigan-6.562.5W 45 - 28OY
Sat 11/28 Toledo vs Ball State-9.567.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 12/5 Toledo at Northern Illinois-9.053.5W 41 - 24OY
Sat 12/12 Toledo vs Central Michigan-10.054.5W 24 - 23UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU.0239%20.543%2.8116232%1572.32.3247%24.344%49%4.0759.21.81.7
TOL.1943%30.843%3.2422440%2103.52.2847%13.347%45%4.0650.31.61.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Offense1220.52439%2.321.8173191621573.956%43%43%32%20%.02
TOL Defense1213.37.747.1%4.061.2 - - - - - 51%47%47%45%20%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Defense1224.32946.7%4.071.7 - - - - - 54%45%44%49%17%.32
TOL Offense1230.845.842.6%3.521.6224342242105.258%41%43%40%22%.19

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bowling Green1229:191733%22%759.21.81.75.82.9030.5
Toledo1229:4621.838%58%5.650.31.61.281.7027.8
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense1256%43%41.8161.83.915.082.8161%14%0.91
TOL Defense1251%47% - - - - .243.1365%12%1.09
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense1254%44% - - - - .273.0875%11%1.29
TOL Offense1258%43%43224.15.227.183.2462%14%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense1243%32%15.828157.35.610915-.041.632%24%-.047%1.8
TOL Defense1247%45% - - - - - - 7.331.630%35%.428%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense1245%49% - - - - - - 7.411.530%34%.46%1.9
TOL Offense1241%40%16.128.3209.67.413157.231.630%33%.198%1.5

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bowling Green's 2020 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.1  #128
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.6  #128
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4  #117

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green:    Toledo: 2.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -24.1   Toledo: -0.8




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 2.1 NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Toledo's 2020 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.8  #76
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2  #61
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7  #79

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Bowling Green's 2020 Record
Record: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 2
Record on Road: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 33
Bowling Green 16

Projected Total Points: 49
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 7.7

Toledo's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 3
Record at home: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Bowling Green28Toledo23Toledo -10.5Bowling Green45.5Over
202410/26Toledo26Bowling Green41Toledo -1.5Bowling Green47.5Over
202311/14Bowling Green31Toledo32Toledo -9.5Bowling Green48.5Over
202211/15Toledo35Bowling Green42Toledo -14.5Bowling Green47.0Over
202111/10Bowling Green17Toledo49Toledo -10.5Toledo50.0Over
202011/04Toledo38Bowling Green3Toledo -24Toledo63.0Under
201910/12Bowling Green20Toledo7Toledo -26.5Bowling Green65.0Under
201810/06Toledo52Bowling Green36Toledo -23Bowling Green71.0Over
201711/15Bowling Green37Toledo66Toledo -17.5Toledo66.0Over
201610/15Toledo42Bowling Green35Toledo -24Bowling Green71.0Over
201511/17Bowling Green28Toledo44Bowling Green -9Toledo72.5Under
201411/19Toledo27Bowling Green20Toledo -6.5Toledo0
201310/26Bowling Green25Toledo28Bowling Green -3Toledo0
201209/15Toledo27Bowling Green15
201110/15Bowling Green21Toledo28
201011/17Toledo33Bowling Green14
200911/27Bowling Green38Toledo24
200811/28Toledo10Bowling Green38
200711/23Bowling Green37Toledo10
200611/21Toledo31Bowling Green21
200511/22Bowling Green41Toledo44
200411/23Toledo49Bowling Green41
200311/29Bowling Green31Toledo23
200111/23Bowling Green56Toledo21
200011/21Toledo51Bowling Green17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo1668 Overs
Bowling Green973 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 105 - 82 - 63 - 2
Road Teams10 - 158 - 52 - 36 - 2

(#) BGSU at (#) TOL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBGSUTOL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #128 #76
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #125 #96
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Bowling Green on Offense
CategoryCat
BGSU OffTOL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #128 #79
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Bowling Green Run Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Bowling Green Pass Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCatTOL OffBGSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #61 #117
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffBGSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCatTOL OffBGSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'20 Profile: Remains Top G5

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'20 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Toledo -24.0 (63.0)
Toledo won vs Bowling Green this year (38-3)

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Toledo last year (28-23)
Bowling Green beat Toledo in 2024 (41-26)
Toledo beat Bowling Green in 2023 (32-31)

  
BGSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BGSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD