Toledo at Northern Illinois - 2020 Matchup Preview
Toledo logo   Toledo Rockets at Northern Illinois Huskies  Northern Illinois logo
Saturday, December 5th 2020 (12:00 PM EST)
Toledo -9 (53.5)
Toledo 41 - Northern Illinois: 24  (Mid-American)

 
Rockets (4 - 2) (3 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (17 - 17 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NIU is playing their 5th straight game
TOL is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -5  (SP+ TOL -15.5)
Projected Score: TOL: 24 - NIU: 16 (40)
TOL Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
TOL Travel: 267 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Huskies (0 - 6) (2 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 24 (18 - 21 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/4 Toledo vs Bowling Green-24.063.0W 38 - 3UY
Wed 11/11 Toledo at Western Michigan+1.558.5L 38 - 41ON
Wed 11/18 Toledo at Eastern Michigan-6.562.5W 45 - 28OY
Sat 11/28 Toledo vs Ball State-9.567.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 12/5 Toledo at Northern Illinois-9.053.5W 41 - 24OY
Sat 12/12 Toledo vs Central Michigan-10.054.5W 24 - 23UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Northern Illinois's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/4 Northern Illinois vs Buffalo+14.053.0L 30 - 49ON
Wed 11/11 Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan+6.057.5L 10 - 40UN
Wed 11/18 Northern Illinois at Ball State+14.559.5L 25 - 31UY
Sat 11/28 Northern Illinois at Western Michigan+18.564.5L 27 - 30UY
Sat 12/5 Northern Illinois vs Toledo+9.053.5L 24 - 41ON
Sat 12/12 Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan+6.055.5L 33 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL.1943%30.843%3.2422440%2103.52.2847%13.347%45%4.0650.31.61.2
NIU.1239%17.139%2.5414036%2183.61.1843%24.341%44%3.7344.91.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NIU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1230.817.342.6%3.521.6224342242105.258%41%43%40%22%.19
NIU Defense1224.320.842.8%3.731.4 - - - - - 53%45%41%44%19%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1213.316.747.1%4.061.2 - - - - - 51%47%47%45%20%.28
NIU Offense1217.117.838.9%3.611.6183591402183.751%47%39%36%27%.12

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1229:4621.838%58%5.650.31.61.281.7027.8
Northern Illinois1232:4518.332%52%5.244.91.61.47.31.8326
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1258%43%43224.15.227.183.2462%14%1.08
NIU Defense1253%41% - - - - .092.6753%14%1.12
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1251%47% - - - - .243.1365%12%1.09
NIU Offense1251%39%37.8140.33.715.042.5469%17%0.95

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1241%40%16.128.3209.67.413157.231.630%33%.198%1.5
NIU Defense1245%44% - - - - - - 4.311.532%31%.265%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1247%45% - - - - - - 7.331.630%35%.428%2.1
NIU Offense1247%36%17.930.8218.47.112.21411.231.736%29%.2310%1.8

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2020 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.8  #76
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2  #61
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7  #79

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Northern Illinois: -5.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: -0.8   Northern Illinois: -16.2




Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -5.6 NR
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Northern Illinois's 2020 Expected Record: -
Northern Illinois's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.2  #118
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9  #112
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3  #112

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.3
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.7

Toledo's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 3
Record on Road: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 24
Northern Illinois 16

Projected Total Points: 40
Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 17.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.8
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Northern Illinois's 2020 Record
Record: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 3
Record at home: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/05Toledo42Northern Illinois3Toledo -14.5Toledo42.5Over
202410/19Northern Illinois6Toledo13Northern Illinois -3Toledo42.5Under
202309/30Toledo35Northern Illinois33Toledo -13Northern Illinois48.0Over
202210/08Northern Illinois32Toledo52Toledo -6.5Toledo59.0Over
202110/09Toledo20Northern Illinois22Toledo -13Northern Illinois51.5Under
202012/05Northern Illinois24Toledo41Toledo -9Toledo53.5Over
201911/13Toledo28Northern Illinois31Toledo -2.5Northern Illinois54.5Over
201811/07Northern Illinois38Toledo15Northern Illinois -3.5Northern Illinois54.0Under
201711/02Toledo27Northern Illinois17Toledo -7.5Toledo56.5Under
201611/09Northern Illinois24Toledo31Toledo -7.5Northern Illinois69.5Under
201511/03Toledo27Northern Illinois32Toledo -7Northern Illinois62.0Under
201411/11Northern Illinois27Toledo24Northern Illinois -3.5Toledo0
201311/20Toledo17Northern Illinois35Northern Illinois -3Northern Illinois0
201211/14Northern Illinois31Toledo24
201111/01Toledo60Northern Illinois63
201011/09Northern Illinois65Toledo30
200910/17Toledo20Northern Illinois19
200810/18Northern Illinois38Toledo7
200710/27Toledo70Northern Illinois21
200611/07Northern Illinois13Toledo17
200511/16Toledo17Northern Illinois35
200411/09Northern Illinois17Toledo31
200311/15Toledo49Northern Illinois30
200109/29Toledo41Northern Illinois20
200011/03Northern Illinois24Toledo38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northern Illinois1175 Overs
Toledo1466 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 134 - 93 - 61 - 3
Road Teams13 - 129 - 43 - 16 - 3

(#) TOL at (#) NIU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTOLNIU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #76 #118
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #96 #118
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCat
TOL OffNIU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #61 #112
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffNIU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffNIU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Northern Illinois on Offense
CategoryCatNIU OffTOL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #112 #79
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northern Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
NIU OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Northern Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCatNIU OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NIU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'20 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 14
Toledo 9.0 (53.5)
Toledo won at Northern Illinois this year (41-24)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Northern Illinois last year (42-3)
Toledo beat Northern Illinois in 2024 (13-6)
Toledo beat Northern Illinois in 2023 (35-33)

  
TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NIU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster

NIU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD