Ball State at Toledo - 2020 Matchup Preview
Ball State logo Ball State Cardinals at Toledo RocketsToledo logo
Saturday, November 28th 2020 (12:00 PM EST)
Toledo -9.5 (67.0)
Ball State 27 - Toledo: 24  (Mid-American)

 
Cardinals (7 - 1) (5 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 26 (34 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TOL is playing their 4th straight game
BALL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2  (SP+ BALL -0.5)
Projected Score: BALL: 26 - TOL: 31 (57)
TOL Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
BALL Travel: 137 miles
Rockets (4 - 2) (3 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 24 (29 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ball State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/4 Ball State at Miami (OH)-1.056.5L 31 - 38ON
Wed 11/11 Ball State vs Eastern Michigan-8.061.0W 38 - 31ON
Wed 11/18 Ball State vs Northern Illinois-14.559.5W 31 - 25UN
Sat 11/28 Ball State at Toledo+9.567.0W 27 - 24UY
Sat 12/5 Ball State at Central Michigan-2.562.5W 45 - 20OY
Sat 12/12 Ball State vs Western Michigan+2.066.5W 30 - 27UY
Fri 12/18 Ball State vs Buffalo+13.069.5W 38 - 28UY
Thu 12/31 Ball State vs San José State+9.563.0W 34 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
Toledo's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/4 Toledo vs Bowling Green-24.063.0W 38 - 3UY
Wed 11/11 Toledo at Western Michigan+1.558.5L 38 - 41ON
Wed 11/18 Toledo at Eastern Michigan-6.562.5W 45 - 28OY
Sat 11/28 Toledo vs Ball State-9.567.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 12/5 Toledo at Northern Illinois-9.053.5W 41 - 24OY
Sat 12/12 Toledo vs Central Michigan-10.054.5W 24 - 23UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL.2147%34.346%3.1617849%2693.65.1446%25.844%48%3.1348.91.12.3
TOL.2646%3541%2.6716849%3263.57.1139%24.336%43%3.3374.821.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL#98 (.14)42% (78)44% (70)3.06 (61)10341% (72)2453.94 (65)#128 (.32)46% (118)46% (103)47% (121)4.81 (133)45.31.21.3
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)38% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)42% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Offense834.334.347.2%3.651.1244471782693.954%46%46%49%15%.21
TOL Defense624.317.739.3%3.331.5 - - - - - 51%49%36%43%18%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Defense825.827.346.4%3.132.3 - - - - - 45%55%44%48%19%.14
TOL Offense63528.745.6%3.572274941683264.247%53%41%49%19%.26

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ball State829:5324.447%54%5.848.91.12.371.9232.9
Toledo633:3327.248%46%9.574.821.561.8132.4
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Offense854%46%45.81783.915.123.1666%9%0.91
TOL Defense651%36% - - - - -.042.6342%11%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Defense845%44% - - - - .012.7459%12%0.86
TOL Offense647%41%40.51684.27.022.6768%13%0.82

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Offense846%49%20.531.4269.38.613.1176.321.527%38%.426%2.1
TOL Defense649%43% - - - - - - 4.261.531%30%.287%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Defense855%48% - - - - - - 10.261.427%32%.337%1.9
TOL Offense653%49%23.836.5325.88.913.7187.471.832%42%.536%2

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ball State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.2  #73
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4  #47
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5  #91

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State:    Toledo: 2.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -0.2   Toledo: -0.8




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 2.1 NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Toledo's 2020 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.8  #76
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2  #61
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7  #79

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Ball State Scoring
Offense: 34.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.3

Ball State's 2020 Record
Record: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 31
Ball State 26

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Toledo 34
Ball State 24

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Toledo 29
Ball State 28

Total Points: 57
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 35 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.7
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Toledo's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 3
Record at home: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Toledo38Ball State9Toledo -29.5Ball State45.5Over
202310/14Ball State6Toledo13Toledo -17.5Ball State48.5Under
202211/08Toledo28Ball State21Toledo -11Ball State50.0Under
202109/25Ball State12Toledo22Toledo -4.5Toledo56.5Under
202011/28Toledo24Ball State27Toledo -9.5Ball State67.0Under
201910/19Ball State52Toledo14Ball State -3.5Ball State58.5Over
201810/31Toledo45Ball State13Toledo -19.5Toledo64.0Under
201710/26Ball State17Toledo58Toledo -26.5Toledo55.5Over
201611/16Toledo37Ball State19Toledo -19Ball State68.5Under
201510/03Ball State10Toledo24Toledo -9.5Toledo54.5Under
201409/20Toledo34Ball State23Toledo -9Toledo0
201309/28Ball State31Toledo24Ball State -1Ball State0
201211/06Toledo27Ball State34
201111/25Ball State28Toledo45
201010/23Toledo31Ball State24
200910/03Ball State30Toledo37
200810/04Toledo0Ball State31
200711/13Ball State41Toledo20
200611/14Toledo17Ball State20
200510/15Ball State14Toledo34
200410/02Toledo52Ball State14
200310/25Ball State38Toledo14
200210/12Toledo37Ball State17
200110/20Ball State24Toledo20
200011/10Toledo31Ball State3
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo1653 Overs
Ball State977 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 115 - 74 - 41 - 3
Road Teams11 - 147 - 53 - 14 - 4

(#) BALL at (#) TOL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBALLTOL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #73 #76
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #120 #96
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ball State on Offense
CategoryCat
BALL OffTOL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47 #79
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ball State Run Game
CategoryCat
BALL OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ball State Pass Game
CategoryCat
BALL OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCatTOL OffBALL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #61 #91
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffBALL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCatTOL OffBALL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'20 Profile: Remains Top G5

BALL 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'20 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 42° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 13
Toledo -9.5 (67.0)
Ball State won at Toledo this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Ball State in 2023 (13-6)
Toledo beat Ball State in 2022 (28-21)

  
BALL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD