Ball State at Toledo - 2020 Matchup Preview
Ball State logo   Ball State Cardinals at Toledo Rockets  Toledo logo
Saturday, November 28th 2020 (12:00 PM EST)
Toledo -9.5 (67.0)
Ball State 27 - Toledo: 24  (Mid-American)

 
Cardinals (7 - 1) (5 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 16 - 30 (10 - 36 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TOL is playing their 4th straight game
BALL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2  (SP+ BALL -0.5)
Projected Score: BALL: 12 - TOL: 35 (47)
TOL Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
BALL Travel: 137 miles
Rockets (4 - 2) (3 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (46 - 8 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ball State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/4 Ball State at Miami (OH)-1.056.5L 31 - 38ON
Wed 11/11 Ball State vs Eastern Michigan-8.061.0W 38 - 31ON
Wed 11/18 Ball State vs Northern Illinois-14.559.5W 31 - 25UN
Sat 11/28 Ball State at Toledo+9.567.0W 27 - 24UY
Sat 12/5 Ball State at Central Michigan-2.562.5W 45 - 20OY
Sat 12/12 Ball State vs Western Michigan+2.066.5W 30 - 27UY
Fri 12/18 Ball State vs Buffalo+13.069.5W 38 - 28UY
Thu 12/31 Ball State vs San José State+9.563.0W 34 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
Toledo's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/4 Toledo vs Bowling Green-24.063.0W 38 - 3UY
Wed 11/11 Toledo at Western Michigan+1.558.5L 38 - 41ON
Wed 11/18 Toledo at Eastern Michigan-6.562.5W 45 - 28OY
Sat 11/28 Toledo vs Ball State-9.567.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 12/5 Toledo at Northern Illinois-9.053.5W 41 - 24OY
Sat 12/12 Toledo vs Central Michigan-10.054.5W 24 - 23UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL.2346%15.845%3.1921946%2444.01.2145%29.844%44%3.7352.91.32.6
TOL.1943%30.843%3.2422440%2103.52.2847%13.347%45%4.0650.31.61.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Offense1215.89.746.5%4.011.3244632192444.954%44%45%46%20%.23
TOL Defense1213.37.747.1%4.061.2 - - - - - 51%47%47%45%20%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Defense1229.835.745%3.732.6 - - - - - 54%44%44%44%22%.21
TOL Offense1230.845.842.6%3.521.6224342242105.258%41%43%40%22%.19

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ball State1230:1624.341%52%5.952.91.32.67.61.8130.3
Toledo1229:4621.838%58%5.650.31.61.281.7027.8
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Offense1254%45%44.7219.44.927.173.1975%14%1
TOL Defense1251%47% - - - - .243.1365%12%1.09
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Defense1254%44% - - - - .172.8972%12%1.05
TOL Offense1258%43%43224.15.227.183.2462%14%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Offense1244%46%19.931.1243.67.812.2247.311.530%38%.356%1.7
TOL Defense1247%45% - - - - - - 7.331.630%35%.428%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Defense1244%44% - - - - - - 15.291.531%34%.359%2
TOL Offense1241%40%16.128.3209.67.413157.231.630%33%.198%1.5

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ball State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.2  #73
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4  #47
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5  #91

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State:    Toledo: 2.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -0.2   Toledo: -0.8




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 2.1 NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Toledo's 2020 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.8  #76
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2  #61
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7  #79

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Ball State Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.7
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.7

Ball State's 2020 Record
Record: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 35
Ball State 12

Projected Total Points: 47
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 7.7

Toledo's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 3
Record at home: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Toledo38Ball State9Toledo -29.5Ball State45.5Over
202310/14Ball State6Toledo13Toledo -17.5Ball State48.5Under
202211/08Toledo28Ball State21Toledo -11Ball State50.0Under
202109/25Ball State12Toledo22Toledo -4.5Toledo56.5Under
202011/28Toledo24Ball State27Toledo -9.5Ball State67.0Under
201910/19Ball State52Toledo14Ball State -3.5Ball State58.5Over
201810/31Toledo45Ball State13Toledo -19.5Toledo64.0Under
201710/26Ball State17Toledo58Toledo -26.5Toledo55.5Over
201611/16Toledo37Ball State19Toledo -19Ball State68.5Under
201510/03Ball State10Toledo24Toledo -9.5Toledo54.5Under
201409/20Toledo34Ball State23Toledo -9Toledo0
201309/28Ball State31Toledo24Ball State -1Ball State0
201211/06Toledo27Ball State34
201111/25Ball State28Toledo45
201010/23Toledo31Ball State24
200910/03Ball State30Toledo37
200810/04Toledo0Ball State31
200711/13Ball State41Toledo20
200611/14Toledo17Ball State20
200510/15Ball State14Toledo34
200410/02Toledo52Ball State14
200310/25Ball State38Toledo14
200210/12Toledo37Ball State17
200110/20Ball State24Toledo20
200011/10Toledo31Ball State3
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo1653 Overs
Ball State977 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 115 - 74 - 41 - 3
Road Teams11 - 147 - 53 - 14 - 4

(#) BALL at (#) TOL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBALLTOL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #73 #76
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #120 #96
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ball State on Offense
CategoryCat
BALL OffTOL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47 #79
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ball State Run Game
CategoryCat
BALL OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ball State Pass Game
CategoryCat
BALL OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCatTOL OffBALL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #61 #91
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffBALL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCatTOL OffBALL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'20 Profile: Remains Top G5

BALL 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'20 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Toledo -9.5 (67.0)
Ball State won at Toledo this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Ball State last year (38-9)
Toledo beat Ball State in 2023 (13-6)

  
BALL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BALL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD