Michigan State at Penn State - 2020 Matchup Preview
Michigan State logo   Michigan State Spartans at Penn State Nittany Lions  Penn State logo
Saturday, December 12th 2020 (12:00 PM EST)
Penn State -14.5 (45.5)
Penn State 39 - Michigan State: 24  (Big Ten)

 
Spartans (2 - 5) (2 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (22 - 33 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PSU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -9.5  (SP+ PSU -14)

Projected Score: MSU: 21 - PSU: 32 (53)
PSU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
MSU Travel: 366 miles
Nittany Lions (4 - 5) (4 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (34 - 15 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Michigan State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Michigan State vs Rutgers-9.545.0L 27 - 38ON
Sat 10/31 Michigan State at Michigan+25.0
Sat 11/7 Michigan State at Iowa+5.546.0L 7 - 49ON
Sat 11/14 Michigan State vs Indiana+7.553.0L 0 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 Michigan State vs Northwestern+13.540.0W 29 - 20OY
Sat 12/5 Michigan State vs Ohio State+22.559.0L 12 - 52ON
Sat 12/12 Michigan State at Penn State+14.545.5L 24 - 39ON
Sat 12/19 Michigan State at Maryland+2.550.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Penn State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Penn State at Indiana-7.062.0L 35 - 36ON
Sat 10/31 Penn State vs Ohio State+13.0
Sat 11/7 Penn State vs Maryland-27.062.5L 19 - 35UN
Sat 11/14 Penn State at Nebraska-2.057.5L 23 - 30UN
Sat 11/21 Penn State vs Iowa+1.045.5L 21 - 41ON
Sat 11/28 Penn State at Michigan+1.056.0W 27 - 17UY
Sat 12/5 Penn State at Rutgers-13.051.0W 23 - 7UY
Sat 12/12 Penn State vs Michigan State-14.545.5W 39 - 24OY
Sat 12/19 Penn State vs Illinois-16.053.5W 56 - 21OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSU.0941%24.638%2.4812742%2452.91.0738%29.935%38%3.3653.81.82
PSU.2344%3144%2.9819142%2214.32.0938%20.535%38%2.6945.31.12.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSU Offense1324.621.641.3%2.911.8213721272453.548%50%38%42%18%.09
PSU Defense1320.515.137.8%2.692.1 - - - - - 46%52%35%38%22%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSU Defense1329.932.837.5%3.362 - - - - - 46%53%35%38%25%.07
PSU Offense13313444.1%4.321.1214121912214.854%44%44%42%20%.23

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan State1331:2321.136%62%5.853.81.829.83.8129.7
Penn State1327:5321.242%61%4.445.31.12.19.24.8232.1
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSU Offense1348%38%36127.23.512-.052.4865%10%0.92
PSU Defense1346%35% - - - - -.012.4270%15%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSU Defense1346%35% - - - - -.032.4464%18%0.92
PSU Offense1354%44%39.7190.74.834.192.9883%14%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSU Offense1350%42%20.835.7244.86.911.81715.241.535%35%.258%1.5
PSU Defense1352%38% - - - - - - 10.191.736%32%.327%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSU Defense1353%38% - - - - - - 12.151.537%29%.198%1.6
PSU Offense1344%42%16.728.4221.37.813.3259.271.731%30%.216%2

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2  #65
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4  #109
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1  #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan State:    Penn State: 10.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: 1.2   Penn State: 15.2




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 10.1 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.2  #18
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7  #25
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.4  #14

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Michigan State's 2020 Record
Record: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 2
Record on Road: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 32
Michigan State 21


Projected Total Points: 53
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Penn State's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15Michigan State10Penn State28Penn State -7Penn State48.5Under
202311/24Michigan State0Penn State42Penn State -20Penn State42.0Push
202211/26Penn State35Michigan State16Penn State -19Push54.5Under
202111/27Michigan State30Penn State27Penn State -3.5Michigan State51.5Over
202012/12Penn State39Michigan State24Penn State -14.5Penn State45.5Over
201910/26Michigan State7Penn State28Penn State -5.5Penn State41.0Under
201810/13Penn State17Michigan State21Penn State -13.5Michigan State53.5Under
201711/04Michigan State27Penn State24Penn State -10Michigan State46.0Over
201611/26Penn State45Michigan State12Penn State -13.5Penn State53.5Over
201511/28Michigan State55Penn State16Michigan State -11Michigan State43.5Over
201411/29Penn State10Michigan State34Michigan State -11.5Michigan State0
201011/27Penn State22Michigan State28
200911/21Michigan State14Penn State42
200811/22Penn State49Michigan State18
200711/17Michigan State35Penn State31
200611/18Penn State17Michigan State13
200511/19Michigan State22Penn State31
200411/20Penn State37Michigan State13
200311/22Michigan State41Penn State10
200111/24Michigan State37Penn State42
200011/17Penn State42Michigan State23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State1355 Overs
Michigan State854 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 95 - 53 - 12 - 4
Road Teams9 - 125 - 54 - 21 - 3

(#) MSU at (#) PSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMSUPSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #65 #18
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #33 #11
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Michigan State on Offense
CategoryCat
MSU OffPSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #109 #14
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSU OffPSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MSU OffPSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCatPSU OffMSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #25 #12
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffMSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCatPSU OffMSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'20 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

MSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 15
Penn State -14.5 (45.5)
Penn State won vs Michigan State this year (39-24)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Michigan State last year (28-10)
Penn State beat Michigan State in 2023 (42-0)

  
MSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD