Michigan State Spartans at Penn State Nittany Lions 
Saturday, December 12th 2020 (12:00 PM EST)
Penn State -14.5 (45.5)
Penn State 39 - Michigan State: 24 (Big Ten)
Spartans (2 - 5) (2 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (22 - 33 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (22 - 33 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PSU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -9.5 (SP+ PSU -14)
Projected Score: MSU: 21 - PSU: 32 (53)
PSU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
MSU Travel: 366 miles
Our Line: -9.5 (SP+ PSU -14)
Projected Score: MSU: 21 - PSU: 32 (53)
PSU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
MSU Travel: 366 miles
Nittany Lions (4 - 5) (4 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (34 - 15 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (34 - 15 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
| Michigan State's 2020 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/24 | Michigan State vs Rutgers | -9.5 | 45.0 | L 27 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/31 | Michigan State at Michigan | +25.0 | |||||
| Sat 11/7 | Michigan State at Iowa | +5.5 | 46.0 | L 7 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/14 | Michigan State vs Indiana | +7.5 | 53.0 | L 0 - 24 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/28 | Michigan State vs Northwestern | +13.5 | 40.0 | W 29 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 12/5 | Michigan State vs Ohio State | +22.5 | 59.0 | L 12 - 52 | O | N | |
| Sat 12/12 | Michigan State at Penn State | +14.5 | 45.5 | L 24 - 39 | O | N | |
| Sat 12/19 | Michigan State at Maryland | +2.5 | 50.5 | ||||
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Penn State's 2020 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/24 | Penn State at Indiana | -7.0 | 62.0 | L 35 - 36 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/31 | Penn State vs Ohio State | +13.0 | |||||
| Sat 11/7 | Penn State vs Maryland | -27.0 | 62.5 | L 19 - 35 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/14 | Penn State at Nebraska | -2.0 | 57.5 | L 23 - 30 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/21 | Penn State vs Iowa | +1.0 | 45.5 | L 21 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/28 | Penn State at Michigan | +1.0 | 56.0 | W 27 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 12/5 | Penn State at Rutgers | -13.0 | 51.0 | W 23 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 12/12 | Penn State vs Michigan State | -14.5 | 45.5 | W 39 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 12/19 | Penn State vs Illinois | -16.0 | 53.5 | W 56 - 21 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2019)
Overall Stats 2019
Additional Stats 2019
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU | .09 | 41% | 24.6 | 38% | 2.48 | 127 | 42% | 245 | 2.91 | .07 | 38% | 29.9 | 35% | 38% | 3.36 | 53.8 | 1.8 | 2 |
| PSU | .23 | 44% | 31 | 44% | 2.98 | 191 | 42% | 221 | 4.32 | .09 | 38% | 20.5 | 35% | 38% | 2.69 | 45.3 | 1.1 | 2.1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| PSU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2019
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU Offense | 13 | 24.6 | 21.6 | 41.3% | 2.91 | 1.8 | 21 | 372 | 127 | 245 | 3.5 | 48% | 50% | 38% | 42% | 18% | .09 |
| PSU Defense | 13 | 20.5 | 15.1 | 37.8% | 2.69 | 2.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 46% | 52% | 35% | 38% | 22% | .09 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU Defense | 13 | 29.9 | 32.8 | 37.5% | 3.36 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 46% | 53% | 35% | 38% | 25% | .07 |
| PSU Offense | 13 | 31 | 34 | 44.1% | 4.32 | 1.1 | 21 | 412 | 191 | 221 | 4.8 | 54% | 44% | 44% | 42% | 20% | .23 |
Additional Stats 2019
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State | 13 | 31:23 | 21.1 | 36% | 62% | 5.8 | 53.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 9.8 | 3.8 | 1 | 29.7 |
| Penn State | 13 | 27:53 | 21.2 | 42% | 61% | 4.4 | 45.3 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 9.2 | 4.8 | 2 | 32.1 |
Run Game Stats (2020)
Pass Game Stats (2020)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU Offense | 13 | 48% | 38% | 36 | 127.2 | 3.5 | 12 | -.05 | 2.48 | 65% | 10% | 0.92 |
| PSU Defense | 13 | 46% | 35% | - | - | - | - | -.01 | 2.42 | 70% | 15% | 0.92 |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU Defense | 13 | 46% | 35% | - | - | - | - | -.03 | 2.44 | 64% | 18% | 0.92 |
| PSU Offense | 13 | 54% | 44% | 39.7 | 190.7 | 4.8 | 34 | .19 | 2.98 | 83% | 14% | 1.05 |
Pass Game Stats (2020)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU Offense | 13 | 50% | 42% | 20.8 | 35.7 | 244.8 | 6.9 | 11.8 | 17 | 15 | .24 | 1.5 | 35% | 35% | .25 | 8% | 1.5 |
| PSU Defense | 13 | 52% | 38% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 | .19 | 1.7 | 36% | 32% | .32 | 7% | 1.9 |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU Defense | 13 | 53% | 38% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 | .15 | 1.5 | 37% | 29% | .19 | 8% | 1.6 |
| PSU Offense | 13 | 44% | 42% | 16.7 | 28.4 | 221.3 | 7.8 | 13.3 | 25 | 9 | .27 | 1.7 | 31% | 30% | .21 | 6% | 2 |
Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #65
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #109
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #12
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Michigan State's Power Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #65
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #109
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #12
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: Penn State: 10.1
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: 1.2 Penn State: 15.2
Michigan State: Penn State: 10.1
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: 1.2 Penn State: 15.2
Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 10.1 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.2 #18
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #25
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.4 #14
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Penn State's Power Rating: 10.1 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.2 #18
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #25
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.4 #14
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8
Michigan State's 2020 Record
Record: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 2
Record on Road: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8
Michigan State's 2020 Record
Record: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 2
Record on Road: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 32
Michigan State 21
Projected Total Points: 53
Penn State 32
Michigan State 21
Projected Total Points: 53
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1
Penn State's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1
Penn State's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11/15 | Michigan State | 10 | Penn State | 28 | Penn State -7 | Penn State | 48.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/24 | Michigan State | 0 | Penn State | 42 | Penn State -20 | Penn State | 42.0 | Push |
| 2022 | 11/26 | Penn State | 35 | Michigan State | 16 | Penn State -19 | Push | 54.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/27 | Michigan State | 30 | Penn State | 27 | Penn State -3.5 | Michigan State | 51.5 | Over |
| 2020 | 12/12 | Penn State | 39 | Michigan State | 24 | Penn State -14.5 | Penn State | 45.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 10/26 | Michigan State | 7 | Penn State | 28 | Penn State -5.5 | Penn State | 41.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/13 | Penn State | 17 | Michigan State | 21 | Penn State -13.5 | Michigan State | 53.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/04 | Michigan State | 27 | Penn State | 24 | Penn State -10 | Michigan State | 46.0 | Over |
| 2016 | 11/26 | Penn State | 45 | Michigan State | 12 | Penn State -13.5 | Penn State | 53.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/28 | Michigan State | 55 | Penn State | 16 | Michigan State -11 | Michigan State | 43.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/29 | Penn State | 10 | Michigan State | 34 | Michigan State -11.5 | Michigan State | 0 | |
| 2010 | 11/27 | Penn State | 22 | Michigan State | 28 | ||||
| 2009 | 11/21 | Michigan State | 14 | Penn State | 42 | ||||
| 2008 | 11/22 | Penn State | 49 | Michigan State | 18 | ||||
| 2007 | 11/17 | Michigan State | 35 | Penn State | 31 | ||||
| 2006 | 11/18 | Penn State | 17 | Michigan State | 13 | ||||
| 2005 | 11/19 | Michigan State | 22 | Penn State | 31 | ||||
| 2004 | 11/20 | Penn State | 37 | Michigan State | 13 | ||||
| 2003 | 11/22 | Michigan State | 41 | Penn State | 10 | ||||
| 2001 | 11/24 | Michigan State | 37 | Penn State | 42 | ||||
| 2000 | 11/17 | Penn State | 42 | Michigan State | 23 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Penn State | 13 | 5 | 5 Overs |
| Michigan State | 8 | 5 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 12 - 9 | 5 - 5 | 3 - 1 | 2 - 4 |
| Road Teams | 9 - 12 | 5 - 5 | 4 - 2 | 1 - 3 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MSU | PSU |
| Net PPPPPP | NR | NR |
| Power RatePwr | NR | NR |
| SP+SP+ | #65 | #18 |
| Perf GradeGrade | NR | NR |
| OffenseOff | NR | NR |
| DefenseDef | NR | NR |
| Spec TeamsST | NR | NR |
| TalentTal | #33 | #11 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | NR | NR |
| MSU Off | PSU Def | |
|---|---|---|
| PPPOffPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | NR | NR |
| SuccessSuc | NR | NR |
| ExplosiveExp | NR | NR |
| PPAPPA | NR | NR |
| PowerPwr | NR | NR |
| SP+SP+ | #109 | #14 |
| Pts POPPO | NR | NR |
| HavocHav | NR | NR |
| MSU Off | PSU Def | |
|---|---|---|
| Run GameRun | NR | NR |
| Run SuccessRSuc | NR | NR |
| Run ExplRExp | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR | Run BlockR Blk | NR | - |
| OL YdsOLY | NR | NR |
| Stuff RateStuff | NR | NR |
| TackleTak | - | NR |
| MSU Off | PSU Def | |
|---|---|---|
| Pass GamePass | NR | NR |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | NR | NR |
| Pass ExplPExl | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | NR | NR |
| F7 HavocF7 | NR | NR |
| DB HavocDB | NR | NR |
| CategoryCat | PSU Off | MSU Def |
|---|---|---|
| PPPDefPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | NR | NR |
| SuccessSuc | NR | NR |
| ExplosiveExp | NR | NR |
| PPAPPA | NR | NR |
| PowerPwr | NR | NR |
| SP+SP+ | #25 | #12 |
| Pts POPPO | NR | NR |
| HavocHav | NR | NR |
| PSU Off | MSU Def | |
|---|---|---|
| Run GameRun | NR | NR |
| Run SuccessRSuc | NR | NR |
| Run ExplRExp | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR | Run BlockR Blk | NR | - |
| OL YdsOLY | NR | NR |
| Stuff RateStuff | NR | NR |
| TackleTak | - | NR |
| CategoryCat | PSU Off | MSU Def |
|---|---|---|
| Pass GamePass | NR | NR |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | NR | NR |
| Pass ExplPExl | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | NR | NR |
| F7 HavocF7 | NR | NR |
| DB HavocDB | NR | NR |
Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'20 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders
MSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Down to Top G5
PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'20 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders
MSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Down to Top G5
Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Penn State -14.5 (45.5)
Penn State won vs Michigan State this year (39-24)
Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Michigan State last year (28-10)
Penn State beat Michigan State in 2023 (42-0)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
