Ohio State at Michigan State - 2020 Matchup Preview
Ohio State logo   Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan State Spartans  Michigan State logo
Saturday, December 5th 2020 (12:00 PM EST)
Ohio State -22.5 (59.0)
Ohio State 52 - Michigan State: 12  (Big Ten)

 
Buckeyes (7 - 1) (3 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 9 (31 - 8 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSU 3rd straight Home Game
OSU coming off BYE
Our Line: -11  (SP+ OSU -27)
Projected Score: OSU: 31 - MSU: 17 (48)
OSU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
OSU Travel: 203 miles
Spartans (2 - 5) (2 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (25 - 28 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ohio State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Ohio State vs Nebraska-28.069.5W 52 - 17UY
Sat 10/31 Ohio State at Penn State-13.0
Sat 11/7 Ohio State vs Rutgers-37.562.0W 49 - 27ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Ohio State vs Indiana-21.067.0W 42 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/5 Ohio State at Michigan State-22.559.0W 52 - 12OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/19 Ohio State vs Northwestern-16.557.5W 22 - 10UN
Fri 1/1 Ohio State vs Clemson+7.566.5W 49 - 28OY
Mon 1/11 Ohio State vs Alabama+9.575.0L 24 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule
Michigan State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Michigan State vs Rutgers-9.545.0L 27 - 38ON
Sat 10/31 Michigan State at Michigan+25.0
Sat 11/7 Michigan State at Iowa+5.546.0L 7 - 49ON
Sat 11/14 Michigan State vs Indiana+7.553.0L 0 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 Michigan State vs Northwestern+13.540.0W 29 - 20OY
Sat 12/5 Michigan State vs Ohio State+22.559.0L 12 - 52ON
Sat 12/12 Michigan State at Penn State+14.545.5L 24 - 39ON
Sat 12/19 Michigan State at Maryland+2.550.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU.4152%33.450%3.4526754%2634.58.0334%9.336%30%2.52551.12.3
MSU.0941%24.638%2.4812742%2452.91.0738%29.935%38%3.3653.81.82
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Offense1433.430.652.3%4.581.1285302672635.655%44%50%54%13%.41
MSU Defense1329.927.837.5%3.362 - - - - - 46%53%35%38%25%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Defense149.38.234%2.522.3 - - - - - 48%50%36%30%28%.03
MSU Offense1324.624.841.3%2.911.8213721272453.548%50%38%42%18%.09

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio State1431:5828.155%62%5.8551.12.39.64.7133
Michigan State1331:2321.136%62%5.853.81.829.83.8129.7
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Offense1455%50%47.4266.85.639.323.4583%10%1.14
MSU Defense1346%35% - - - - -.032.4464%18%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Defense1448%36% - - - - .032.3263%18%1.06
MSU Offense1348%38%36127.23.512-.052.4865%10%0.92

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Offense1444%54%19.429263.19.113.6483.531.628%47%.693%2
MSU Defense1353%38% - - - - - - 12.151.537%29%.198%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Defense1450%30% - - - - - - 16.031.638%26%.1510%1.7
MSU Offense1350%42%20.835.7244.86.911.81715.241.535%35%.258%1.5

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: NR
Ohio State's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ohio State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Ohio State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 28.2  #2
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 47.0  #2
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7  #10

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State:    Michigan State: 3.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 28.2   Michigan State: 1.2




Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 3.1 NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2  #65
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4  #109
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1  #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.6
Defense: 9.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 8.2

Ohio State's 2020 Record
Record: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 3
Record on Road: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio State 31
Michigan State 17

Projected Total Points: 48
Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.8
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

Michigan State's 2020 Record
Record: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 2
Record at home: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Michigan State7Ohio State38Ohio State -23.5Ohio State48.5Under
202311/11Ohio State38Michigan State3Ohio State -30.5Ohio State48.5Under
202210/08Michigan State20Ohio State49Ohio State -27Ohio State64.5Over
202111/20Ohio State56Michigan State7Ohio State -19.5Ohio State70.5Under
202012/05Michigan State12Ohio State52Ohio State -22.5Ohio State59.0Over
201910/05Ohio State34Michigan State10Ohio State -19Ohio State51.0Under
201811/10Michigan State6Ohio State26Ohio State -3Ohio State50.0Under
201711/11Ohio State48Michigan State3Ohio State -17.5Ohio State56.5Under
201611/19Michigan State16Ohio State17Ohio State -23.5Michigan State50.0Under
201511/21Ohio State14Michigan State17Ohio State -13Michigan State53.5Under
201411/08Michigan State37Ohio State49Michigan State -2Ohio State0
201312/07Michigan State34Ohio State24Ohio State -6.5Michigan State0
201209/29Michigan State16Ohio State17
201110/01Ohio State7Michigan State10
200810/18Michigan State7Ohio State45
200710/20Ohio State24Michigan State17
200610/14Michigan State7Ohio State38
200510/15Ohio State35Michigan State24
200411/06Michigan State19Ohio State32
200311/08Ohio State33Michigan State23
200011/03Ohio State27Michigan State13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan State332 Overs
Ohio State1898 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 126 - 64 - 22 - 4
Road Teams12 - 96 - 64 - 22 - 4

(#) OSU at (#) MSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOSUMSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #2 #65
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #3 #33
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ohio State on Offense
CategoryCat
OSU OffMSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #2 #12
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio State Run Game
CategoryCat
OSU OffMSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ohio State Pass Game
CategoryCat
OSU OffMSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Michigan State on Offense
CategoryCatMSU OffOSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #109 #10
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSU OffOSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSU OffOSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Down to Top G5

OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'20 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 14
Ohio State 22.5 (59.0)
Ohio State won at Michigan State this year (52-12)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Michigan State in 2024 (38-7)
Ohio State beat Michigan State in 2023 (38-3)

  
OSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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OSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD