Michigan State at Michigan - 2020 Matchup Preview
Michigan State logo   Michigan State Spartans at Michigan Wolverines  Michigan logo
Saturday, October 31st 2020 (12:00 PM EDT)
Michigan -25.0
Michigan State 27 - Michigan: 24  (Big Ten)

 
Spartans (2 - 5) (2 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (22 - 33 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ MICH -8)
Projected Score: MSU: 20 - MICH: 30 (50)
MICH Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
MSU Travel: 49 miles
Wolverines (2 - 4) (1 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (29 - 13 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Michigan State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Michigan State vs Rutgers-9.545.0L 27 - 38ON
Sat 10/31 Michigan State at Michigan+25.0
Sat 11/7 Michigan State at Iowa+5.546.0L 7 - 49ON
Sat 11/14 Michigan State vs Indiana+7.553.0L 0 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 Michigan State vs Northwestern+13.540.0W 29 - 20OY
Sat 12/5 Michigan State vs Ohio State+22.559.0L 12 - 52ON
Sat 12/12 Michigan State at Penn State+14.545.5L 24 - 39ON
Sat 12/19 Michigan State at Maryland+2.550.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Michigan's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Michigan at Minnesota-3.053.0W 49 - 24OY
Sat 10/31 Michigan vs Michigan State-25.0
Sat 11/7 Michigan at Indiana-4.554.5L 21 - 38ON
Sat 11/14 Michigan vs Wisconsin+7.051.5L 11 - 49ON
Sat 11/21 Michigan at Rutgers-13.552.5W 48 - 42ON
Sat 11/28 Michigan vs Penn State-1.056.0L 17 - 27UN
Sat 12/5 Michigan vs Maryland-5.058.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/19 Michigan at Iowa+7.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSU.0941%24.638%2.4812742%2452.91.0738%29.935%38%3.3653.81.82
MICH.1744%27.545%2.9915142%2514.11.138%20.438%37%3.1649.91.52.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSU Offense1324.621.641.3%2.911.8213721272453.548%50%38%42%18%.09
MICH Defense1320.413.337.8%3.162.1 - - - - - 54%45%38%37%22%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSU Defense1329.932.837.5%3.362 - - - - - 46%53%35%38%25%.07
MICH Offense1327.529.244.5%4.111.522402151251451%47%45%42%19%.17

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan State1331:2321.136%62%5.853.81.829.83.8129.7
Michigan1329:312239%55%6.249.91.52.17.83.8130.9
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSU Offense1348%38%36127.23.512-.052.4865%10%0.92
MICH Defense1354%38% - - - - .042.5175%14%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSU Defense1346%35% - - - - -.032.4464%18%0.92
MICH Offense1351%45%38.1150.7426.092.9971%11%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSU Offense1350%42%20.835.7244.86.911.81715.241.535%35%.258%1.5
MICH Defense1345%37% - - - - - - 9.171.731%25%.178%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSU Defense1353%38% - - - - - - 12.151.537%29%.198%1.6
MICH Offense1347%42%17.531.5250.8814.3259.271.629%31%.248%1.7

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2  #65
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4  #109
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1  #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan State:    Michigan: 6.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: 1.2   Michigan: 8.8




Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 6.9 NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan's 2020 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.8  #33
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9  #42
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1  #36

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Michigan State's 2020 Record
Record: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 2
Record on Road: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 30
Michigan State 20


Projected Total Points: 50
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.2
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.3

Michigan's 2020 Record
Record: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 2
Record at home: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Michigan State20Michigan31Michigan -13.5Michigan State47.5Over
202410/26Michigan24Michigan State17Michigan -3.5Michigan39.0Over
202310/21Michigan State0Michigan49Michigan -25.5Michigan47.0Over
202210/29Michigan29Michigan State7Michigan -22Push55.0Under
202110/30Michigan State37Michigan33Michigan -4Michigan State50.5Over
202010/31Michigan24Michigan State27Michigan -25.0Michigan State0
201911/16Michigan44Michigan State10Michigan -13.5Michigan43.5Over
201810/20Michigan State7Michigan21Michigan -7.5Michigan38.5Under
201710/07Michigan10Michigan State14Michigan -12.5Michigan State40.0Under
201610/29Michigan State23Michigan32Michigan -21Michigan State49.5Over
201510/17Michigan23Michigan State27Michigan -7Michigan State42.5Over
201410/25Michigan State35Michigan11Michigan State -15.5Michigan State0
201311/02Michigan State29Michigan6Michigan State -3.5Michigan State0
201210/20Michigan12Michigan State10
201110/15Michigan State28Michigan14
201010/09Michigan17Michigan State34
200910/03Michigan State26Michigan20
200810/25Michigan21Michigan State35
200711/03Michigan State24Michigan28
200610/07Michigan31Michigan State13
200510/01Michigan State31Michigan34
200410/30Michigan45Michigan State37
200311/01Michigan State20Michigan27
200211/02Michigan49Michigan State3
200111/03Michigan State26Michigan24
200010/20Michigan14Michigan State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan1547 Overs
Michigan State1183 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 127 - 54 - 33 - 2
Road Teams12 - 145 - 72 - 33 - 4

(#) MSU at (#) MICH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMSUMICH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #65 #33
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #33 #14
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Michigan State on Offense
CategoryCat
MSU OffMICH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #109 #36
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSU OffMICH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MSU OffMICH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatMICH OffMSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #42 #12
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffMSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatMICH OffMSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'20 Profile: Down to Average P4

MSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Michigan -25.0 (0)
Michigan State won at Michigan this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Michigan State last year (31-20)
Michigan beat Michigan State in 2024 (24-17)
Michigan beat Michigan State in 2023 (49-0)

  
MSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MICH's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD