Penn State at Michigan - 2020 Matchup Preview
Penn State logo   Penn State Nittany Lions at Michigan Wolverines  Michigan logo
Saturday, November 28th 2020 (12:00 PM EST)
Michigan -1.0 (56.0)
Penn State 27 - Michigan: 17  (Big Ten)

 
Nittany Lions (4 - 5) (4 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (29 - 30 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MICH is playing their 6th straight game
PSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ PSU -6.5)
Projected Score: PSU: 24 - MICH: 27 (51)
MICH Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
PSU Travel: 321 miles
Wolverines (2 - 4) (1 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (29 - 13 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Penn State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Penn State at Indiana-7.062.0L 35 - 36ON
Sat 10/31 Penn State vs Ohio State+13.0
Sat 11/7 Penn State vs Maryland-27.062.5L 19 - 35UN
Sat 11/14 Penn State at Nebraska-2.057.5L 23 - 30UN
Sat 11/21 Penn State vs Iowa+1.045.5L 21 - 41ON
Sat 11/28 Penn State at Michigan+1.056.0W 27 - 17UY
Sat 12/5 Penn State at Rutgers-13.051.0W 23 - 7UY
Sat 12/12 Penn State vs Michigan State-14.545.5W 39 - 24OY
Sat 12/19 Penn State vs Illinois-16.053.5W 56 - 21OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Michigan's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Michigan at Minnesota-3.053.0W 49 - 24OY
Sat 10/31 Michigan vs Michigan State-25.0
Sat 11/7 Michigan at Indiana-4.554.5L 21 - 38ON
Sat 11/14 Michigan vs Wisconsin+7.051.5L 11 - 49ON
Sat 11/21 Michigan at Rutgers-13.552.5W 48 - 42ON
Sat 11/28 Michigan vs Penn State-1.056.0L 17 - 27UN
Sat 12/5 Michigan vs Maryland-5.058.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/19 Michigan at Iowa+7.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU.2344%3144%2.9819142%2214.32.0938%20.535%38%2.6945.31.12.1
MICH.1744%27.545%2.9915142%2514.11.138%20.438%37%3.1649.91.52.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Offense133128.644.1%4.321.1214121912214.854%44%44%42%20%.23
MICH Defense1320.413.337.8%3.162.1 - - - - - 54%45%38%37%22%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Defense1320.530.237.8%2.692.1 - - - - - 46%52%35%38%22%.09
MICH Offense1327.529.244.5%4.111.522402151251451%47%45%42%19%.17

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Penn State1327:5321.242%61%4.445.31.12.19.24.8232.1
Michigan1329:312239%55%6.249.91.52.17.83.8130.9
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Offense1354%44%39.7190.74.834.192.9883%14%1.05
MICH Defense1354%38% - - - - .042.5175%14%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Defense1346%35% - - - - -.012.4270%15%0.92
MICH Offense1351%45%38.1150.7426.092.9971%11%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Offense1344%42%16.728.4221.37.813.3259.271.731%30%.216%2
MICH Defense1345%37% - - - - - - 9.171.731%25%.178%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Defense1352%38% - - - - - - 10.191.736%32%.327%1.9
MICH Offense1347%42%17.531.5250.8814.3259.271.629%31%.248%1.7

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Penn State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.2  #18
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7  #25
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.4  #14

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State:    Michigan: 6.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 15.2   Michigan: 8.8




Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 6.9 NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan's 2020 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.8  #33
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9  #42
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1  #36

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Penn State's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 27
Penn State 24

Projected Total Points: 51
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.2
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.3

Michigan's 2020 Record
Record: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 2
Record at home: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11Penn State15Michigan24Michigan -4.0Michigan44.5Under
202210/15Michigan41Penn State17Michigan -7Michigan49.0Over
202111/13Penn State17Michigan21Michigan -2.5Michigan48.0Under
202011/28Michigan17Penn State27Michigan -1.0Penn State56.0Under
201910/19Penn State28Michigan21Penn State -7.5Michigan47.0Over
201811/03Michigan42Penn State7Michigan -13.5Michigan48.0Over
201710/21Penn State42Michigan13Penn State -7.5Penn State42.5Over
201609/24Michigan49Penn State10Michigan -15.5Michigan56.0Over
201511/21Penn State16Michigan28Michigan -5Michigan43.0Over
201410/11Michigan18Penn State13Penn State -2Michigan0
201310/12Penn State43Michigan40Michigan -1Penn State0
201010/30Penn State41Michigan31
200910/24Michigan10Penn State35
200810/18Penn State46Michigan17
200709/22Michigan14Penn State9
200610/14Penn State10Michigan17
200510/15Michigan27Penn State25
200210/12Michigan27Penn State24
200110/06Penn State0Michigan20
200011/10Michigan33Penn State11
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan1386 Overs
Penn State733 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 76 - 54 - 22 - 3
Road Teams7 - 135 - 63 - 22 - 4

(#) PSU at (#) MICH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPSUMICH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #18 #33
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #11 #14
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCat
PSU OffMICH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #25 #36
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffMICH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffMICH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatMICH OffPSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #42 #14
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffPSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatMICH OffPSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'20 Profile: Down to Average P4

PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'20 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Michigan -1.0 (56.0)
Penn State won at Michigan this year (27-17)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Penn State in 2023 (24-15)

  
PSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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PSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MICH's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD