Illinois at Penn State - 2020 Matchup Preview
Illinois logo   Illinois Fighting Illini at Penn State Nittany Lions  Penn State logo
Saturday, December 19th 2020 (5:30 PM EST)
Penn State -16 (53.5)
Penn State 56 - Illinois: 21  (Big Ten)

 
Fighting Illini (2 - 6) (2 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (27 - 36 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ILL 2nd straight Road Game
PSU 2nd straight Home Game
PSU is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -12  (SP+ PSU -19)
Projected Score: ILL: 23 - PSU: 31 (54)
PSU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
ILL Travel: 548 miles, 1 hrs behind
Nittany Lions (4 - 5) (4 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (34 - 15 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Illinois's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/23 Illinois at Wisconsin+20.551.5L 7 - 45ON
Sat 10/31 Illinois vs Purdue+7.0
Sat 11/7 Illinois vs Minnesota+7.564.5L 14 - 41UN
Sat 11/14 Illinois at Rutgers+5.551.5W 23 - 20UY
Sat 11/21 Illinois at Nebraska+17.061.0W 41 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/5 Illinois vs Iowa+13.553.0L 21 - 35ON
Sat 12/12 Illinois at Northwestern+13.041.0L 10 - 28UN
Sat 12/19 Illinois at Penn State+16.053.5L 21 - 56ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Penn State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Penn State at Indiana-7.062.0L 35 - 36ON
Sat 10/31 Penn State vs Ohio State+13.0
Sat 11/7 Penn State vs Maryland-27.062.5L 19 - 35UN
Sat 11/14 Penn State at Nebraska-2.057.5L 23 - 30UN
Sat 11/21 Penn State vs Iowa+1.045.5L 21 - 41ON
Sat 11/28 Penn State at Michigan+1.056.0W 27 - 17UY
Sat 12/5 Penn State at Rutgers-13.051.0W 23 - 7UY
Sat 12/12 Penn State vs Michigan State-14.545.5W 39 - 24OY
Sat 12/19 Penn State vs Illinois-16.053.5W 56 - 21OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL.138%29.439%2.6814235%1843.47.1143%23.641%42%3.5961.31.43.2
PSU.2344%3144%2.9819142%2214.32.0938%20.535%38%2.6945.31.12.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Offense1329.426.638%3.471.4173261421843.852%47%39%35%25%.1
PSU Defense1320.515.137.8%2.692.1 - - - - - 46%52%35%38%22%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Defense1323.635.642.6%3.593.2 - - - - - 59%39%41%42%20%.11
PSU Offense13313444.1%4.321.1214121912214.854%44%44%42%20%.23

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Illinois1325:3617.235%36%6.761.31.43.29.62.8429.9
Penn State1327:5321.242%61%4.445.31.12.19.24.8232.1
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Offense1352%39%37.2141.93.819.072.6876%16%1.04
PSU Defense1346%35% - - - - -.012.4270%15%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Defense1359%41% - - - - .042.6273%15%0.94
PSU Offense1354%44%39.7190.74.834.192.9883%14%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Offense1347%35%15.228184.46.612.2199.151.735%28%.229%1.9
PSU Defense1352%38% - - - - - - 10.191.736%32%.327%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Defense1339%42% - - - - - - 12.241.732%32%.215%1.9
PSU Offense1344%42%16.728.4221.37.813.3259.271.731%30%.216%2

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Illinois's 2020 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1  #89
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7  #82
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #89

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois:    Penn State: 10.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: -4.1   Penn State: 15.2




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 10.1 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.2  #18
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7  #25
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.4  #14

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Illinois Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.6

Illinois's 2020 Record
Record: 2 - 6
Record vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 4
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 31
Illinois 23

Projected Total Points: 54
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Penn State's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Penn State21Illinois7Penn State -19.5Illinois48.0Under
202309/16Illinois13Penn State30Penn State -14Penn State47.5Under
202110/23Penn State18Illinois20Penn State -24.5Illinois46.0Under
202012/19Penn State56Illinois21Penn State -16Penn State53.5Over
201809/21Illinois24Penn State63Penn State -26.5Penn State61.0Over
201510/31Penn State39Illinois0Penn State -4Penn State44.5Under
201411/22Illinois16Penn State14Penn State -4.5Illinois0
201311/02Penn State24Illinois17Penn State -10Illinois0
201209/29Illinois7Penn State35
201110/29Penn State10Illinois7
201010/09Penn State13Illinois33
200910/03Illinois17Penn State35
200809/27Penn State38Illinois24
200709/29Illinois27Penn State20
200610/21Penn State26Illinois12
200510/22Illinois10Penn State63
200211/02Penn State18Illinois7
200111/10Illinois33Penn State28
200010/20Penn State39Illinois25
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State1442 Overs
Illinois544 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 73 - 52 - 31 - 2
Road Teams7 - 125 - 32 - 13 - 2

(#) ILL at (#) PSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatILLPSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #89 #18
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #39 #11
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Illinois on Offense
CategoryCat
ILL OffPSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #82 #14
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffPSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffPSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCatPSU OffILL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #25 #89
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffILL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCatPSU OffILL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'20 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

ILL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'20 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 16
Penn State -16.0 (53.5)
Penn State won vs Illinois this year (56-21)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Illinois in 2024 (21-7)
Penn State beat Illinois in 2023 (30-13)

  
ILL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ILL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD