Stanford at Oregon State - 2019 Matchup Preview

Stanford Cardinal at Oregon State Beavers

Saturday, September 28th 2019 (7:00 PM EDT)
Stanford -3.5 (56.0)
Stanford 31 - Oregon State: 28 (Pac-12)

Cardinal (4 - 8) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 30 (23 - 37 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Rain Predicted
ORST coming off BYE
STAN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ ORST -4)
Projected Score: STAN: 28 - ORST: 33 (61)
STAN Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
STAN Travel: 496 miles

Beavers (5 - 7) (9 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (26 - 33 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
STAN Players
ORST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Stanford's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Stanford vs Northwestern	-6.5	46.5	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Stanford at USC	+3.0	43.0	L 20 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/14	Stanford at UCF	+9.5	58.0	L 27 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/21	Stanford vs Oregon	+13.0	55.5	L 6 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/28	Stanford at Oregon State	-3.5	56.0	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/5	Stanford vs Washington	+13.5	52.0	W 23 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17	Stanford vs UCLA	-5.5	48.5	L 16 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/26	Stanford vs Arizona	-3.0	54.0	W 41 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Stanford at Colorado	-4.0	57.5	L 13 - 16	U	N
Sat 11/16	Stanford at Washington State	+11.5	66.0	L 22 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/23	Stanford vs California	+1.0	41.5	L 20 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/30	Stanford vs Notre Dame	+17.5	45.5	L 24 - 45	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule

Oregon State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Oregon State vs Oklahoma State	+13.5	73.5	L 36 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/7	Oregon State at Hawai'i	+6.5	77.0	L 28 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Oregon State vs Cal Poly	-16.5	75.5	W 45 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Oregon State vs Stanford	+3.5	56.0	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Oregon State at UCLA	+4.5	63.5	W 48 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Oregon State vs Utah	+14.5	60.0	L 7 - 52	U	N
Sat 10/19	Oregon State at California	+10.0	51.0	W 21 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Oregon State at Arizona	+4.5	72.0	W 56 - 38	O	Y
Fri 11/8	Oregon State vs Washington	+10.5	65.0	L 7 - 19	U	N
Sat 11/16	Oregon State vs Arizona State	+1.0	56.0	W 35 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Oregon State at Washington State	+10.5	77.5	L 53 - 54	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Oregon State at Oregon	+20.5	65.5	L 10 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
STAN	.16	43%	21.7	38%	3.05	107	44%	260	3.31	.23	48%	29.8	48%	47%	3.79	49.3	1.1	1.3
ORST	.25	45%	31.2	46%	3.04	157	44%	255	4.57	.24	45%	32.5	45%	44%	3.82	58.5	0.5	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
STAN	#114 (.1)	40% (101)		41% (95)	2.72 (116)	134	39% (98)	191	3.67 (92)	#120 (.27)	47% (119)		45% (92)	48% (124)	4.53 (124)	49	1.8	1.3
ORST	#87 (.16)	44% (59)		47% (25)	3.34 (20)	189	39% (100)	201	3.87 (75)	#117 (.27)	48% (125)		50% (126)	45% (112)	4.35 (117)	45.7	1.3	1

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
STAN Offense	12	21.7	22.6	43%	3.31	1.1	20	367	107	260	3.7	41%	57%	38%	44%	22%	.16
ORST Defense	12	32.5	32.5	45.2%	3.82	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	45%	44%	19%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
STAN Defense	12	29.8	36.6	48.3%	3.79	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	45%	53%	48%	47%	18%	.23
ORST Offense	12	31.2	26.3	45.4%	4.57	0.5	22	412	157	255	4.6	46%	53%	46%	44%	17%	.25

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Stanford	12	32:11	19.7	39%	36%	6.3	49.3	1.1	1.3	7.8	3.3	1	26.7
Oregon State	12	28:28	22.3	42%	54%	6.5	58.5	0.5	1.6	8.8	4.2	1	27.8

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
STAN Offense	12	41%	38%	29	107.2	3.7	8	.08	3.05	67%	12%	0.93
ORST Defense	12	47%	45%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.07	72%	13%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
STAN Defense	12	45%	48%	-	-	-	-	.11	3.04	65%	12%	0.94
ORST Offense	12	46%	46%	34.3	156.8	4.6	21	.17	3.04	75%	10%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
STAN Offense	12	57%	44%	22.8	36.8	260.2	7.1	11.4	18	8	.23	1.5	32%	34%	.38	10%	1.9
ORST Defense	12	52%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.3	1.7	32%	40%	.55	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
STAN Defense	12	53%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.35	1.5	29%	40%	.41	6%	1.7
ORST Offense	12	53%	44%	21.7	35	255.1	7.3	11.8	30	4	.33	1.6	32%	32%	.37	8%	2

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: NR
Stanford's Offense Rating: NR
Stanford's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Stanford's 2019 Expected Record: -
Stanford's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.7 #88
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #74
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #87

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Stanford: Oregon State: 2.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -4.7 Oregon State: -0.7

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: 2.15 NR
Oregon State's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Oregon State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7 #64
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8 #35
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.8 #93

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Stanford Scoring
Offense: 21.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.6

Stanford's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon State 33
Stanford 28

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Oregon State 34
Stanford 29

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
Oregon State 31
Stanford 27

Total Points: 58

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.3
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.5

Oregon State's 2019 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/11	Oregon State	62	Stanford	17	Oregon State -21.5	Oregon State	51.5	Over
2022	10/08	Stanford	27	Oregon State	28	Oregon State -4.5	Stanford	53.0	Over
2021	11/13	Oregon State	35	Stanford	14	Oregon State -12.5	Oregon State	56.5	Under
2020	12/12	Oregon State	24	Stanford	27	Stanford -2.5	Stanford	55.0	Under
2019	09/28	Oregon State	28	Stanford	31	Stanford -3.5	Oregon State	56.0	Over
2018	11/10	Stanford	48	Oregon State	17	Stanford -23.5	Stanford	61.5	Over
2017	10/26	Oregon State	14	Stanford	15	Stanford -18	Oregon State	56.5	Under
2016	11/05	Stanford	26	Oregon State	15	Stanford -16.5	Oregon State	42.5	Under
2015	09/25	Oregon State	24	Stanford	42	Stanford -16.5	Stanford	47.0	Over
2014	10/25	Stanford	38	Oregon State	14	Stanford -13.5	Stanford	0
2013	10/26	Oregon State	12	Stanford	20	Stanford -6	Stanford	0
2012	11/10	Stanford	27	Oregon State	23
2011	11/05	Oregon State	13	Stanford	38
2010	11/27	Stanford	38	Oregon State	0
2009	10/10	Oregon State	38	Stanford	28
2008	08/28	Stanford	36	Oregon State	28
2007	10/27	Oregon State	23	Stanford	6
2006	11/18	Stanford	7	Oregon State	30
2005	11/12	Oregon State	17	Stanford	20
2004	11/13	Stanford	19	Oregon State	24
2003	11/15	Oregon State	43	Stanford	3
2000	10/13	Oregon State	38	Stanford	6

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon State	9	5	5 Overs
Stanford	13	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 10	7 - 4	4 - 1	3 - 3
Road Teams	10 - 12	4 - 7	3 - 3	1 - 4

(#) STAN at (#) ORST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	STAN	ORST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#88	#64
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#19	#57
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Stanford Injury Report

Oregon State Injury Report

Stanford on Offense


CategoryCat	STAN Off	ORST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#74	#93
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Stanford Run Game


CategoryCat	STAN Off	ORST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Stanford Pass Game


CategoryCat	STAN Off	ORST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Oregon State on Offense


CategoryCat	ORST Off	STAN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#35	#87
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon State Run Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	STAN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Oregon State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	STAN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

STAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 53°Rain: 0.008

Rematch from Week 5
Stanford 3.5 (56.0)
Stanford won at Oregon State this year (31-28)

Previous Matchups
Oregon State beat Stanford in 2023 (62-17)
Oregon State beat Stanford in 2022 (28-27)

STAN's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ORST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD