Cal Poly at Oregon State - 2019 Matchup Preview

Cal Poly Mustangs at Oregon State Beavers

Saturday, September 14th 2019 (4:15 PM EDT)
Oregon State -16.5 (75.5)
Oregon State 45 - Cal Poly: 7

Mustangs (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 7 - 45 (7 - 45 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -2 (SP+ ORST -1)
ORST Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%

Beavers (5 - 7) (9 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (26 - 33 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CP Players
ORST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Cal Poly's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14	Cal Poly at Oregon State	+16.5	75.5	L 7 - 45	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cal Poly's Schedule

Oregon State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Oregon State vs Oklahoma State	+13.5	73.5	L 36 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/7	Oregon State at Hawai'i	+6.5	77.0	L 28 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Oregon State vs Cal Poly	-16.5	75.5	W 45 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Oregon State vs Stanford	+3.5	56.0	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Oregon State at UCLA	+4.5	63.5	W 48 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Oregon State vs Utah	+14.5	60.0	L 7 - 52	U	N
Sat 10/19	Oregon State at California	+10.0	51.0	W 21 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Oregon State at Arizona	+4.5	72.0	W 56 - 38	O	Y
Fri 11/8	Oregon State vs Washington	+10.5	65.0	L 7 - 19	U	N
Sat 11/16	Oregon State vs Arizona State	+1.0	56.0	W 35 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Oregon State at Washington State	+10.5	77.5	L 53 - 54	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Oregon State at Oregon	+20.5	65.5	L 10 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CP		0%	7	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	45	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ORST	.25	45%	31.2	46%	3.04	157	44%	255	4.57	.24	45%	32.5	45%	44%	3.82	58.5	0.5	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ORST	#87 (.16)	44% (59)		47% (25)	3.34 (20)	189	39% (100)	201	3.87 (75)	#117 (.27)	48% (125)		50% (126)	45% (112)	4.35 (117)	45.7	1.3	1

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CP Offense	1	7	7	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
ORST Defense	12	32.5	32.5	45.2%	3.82	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	45%	44%	19%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CP Defense	1	45	45	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
ORST Offense	12	31.2	26.3	45.4%	4.57	0.5	22	412	157	255	4.6	46%	53%	46%	44%	17%	.25

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Cal Poly	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Oregon State	12	28:28	22.3	42%	54%	6.5	58.5	0.5	1.6	8.8	4.2	1	27.8

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CP Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
ORST Defense	12	47%	45%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.07	72%	13%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CP Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
ORST Offense	12	46%	46%	34.3	156.8	4.6	21	.17	3.04	75%	10%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CP Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
ORST Defense	12	52%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.3	1.7	32%	40%	.55	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CP Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
ORST Offense	12	53%	44%	21.7	35	255.1	7.3	11.8	30	4	.33	1.6	32%	32%	.37	8%	2

Cal Poly's Power Ratings
Cal Poly's Power Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Offense Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #194
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cal Poly's 2019 Expected Record: -
Cal Poly's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Cal Poly: Oregon State: 2.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cal Poly: Oregon State: -0.7

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: 2.15 NR
Oregon State's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Oregon State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7 #64
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8 #35
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.8 #93

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Cal Poly Scoring
Offense: 7 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 45 PPG
Defense on Road: 45

Cal Poly's 2019 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon State 33
Cal Poly 27

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Cal Poly 34
Oregon State 29

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Oregon State 37
Cal Poly 20

Total Points: 57

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.3
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.5

Oregon State's 2019 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	09/14	Oregon State	45	Cal Poly	7	Oregon State -16.5	Oregon State	75.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon State	1	1	0 Overs
Cal Poly	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) CP at (#) ORST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CP	ORST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	#64
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#194	#57
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Cal Poly Injury Report

Oregon State Injury Report

Cal Poly on Offense


CategoryCat	CP Off	ORST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	#93
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Cal Poly Run Game


CategoryCat	CP Off	ORST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Cal Poly Pass Game


CategoryCat	CP Off	ORST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Oregon State on Offense


CategoryCat	ORST Off	CP Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#35	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon State Run Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	CP Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Oregon State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	CP Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

CP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'19 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 72°

Rematch from Week 3
Oregon State -16.5 (75.5)
Oregon State won vs Cal Poly this year (45-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

CP's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Cal Poly's Full Roster

CP's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ORST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD