Clemson at North Carolina - 2019 Matchup Preview
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Clemson Tigers at North Carolina Tar Heels

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Saturday, September 28th 2019 (3:30 PM EDT)
Clemson -27.5 (61.0)
Clemson 21 - North Carolina: 20  (ACC)

 
Tigers (14 - 1) (11 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (30 - 15 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNC 2nd straight Home Game
UNC is playing their 5th straight game
CLEM is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ CLEM -18)
Projected Score: CLEM: 27 - UNC: 19 (46)
CLEM Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
CLEM Travel: 230 miles
Tar Heels (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (21 - 26 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Clemson's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Clemson vs Georgia Tech-37.060.5W 52 - 14OY
Sat 9/7 Clemson vs Texas A&M-16.562.5W 24 - 10UN
Sat 9/14 Clemson at Syracuse-28.063.0W 41 - 6UY
Sat 9/21 Clemson vs Charlotte-41.562.0W 52 - 10UY
Sat 9/28 Clemson at North Carolina-27.561.0W 21 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Clemson vs Florida State-25.560.5W 45 - 14UY
Sat 10/19 Clemson at Louisville-24.062.0W 45 - 10UY
Sat 10/26 Clemson vs Boston College-35.059.0W 59 - 7OY
Sat 11/2 Clemson vs Wofford-48.558.5W 59 - 14ON
Sat 11/9 Clemson at NC State-34.054.5W 55 - 10OY
Sat 11/16 Clemson vs Wake Forest-35.059.0W 52 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30 Clemson at South Carolina-27.550.0W 38 - 3UY
Sat 12/7 Clemson vs Virginia-29.056.5W 62 - 17OY
Sat 12/28 Clemson vs Ohio State-3.063.5W 29 - 23UY
Mon 1/13 Clemson vs LSU+5.067.0L 25 - 42UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule
North Carolina's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 North Carolina vs South Carolina+11.061.0W 24 - 20UY
Sat 9/7 North Carolina vs Miami+5.046.0W 28 - 25OY
Fri 9/13 North Carolina at Wake Forest+3.065.0L 18 - 24UN
Sat 9/21 North Carolina vs App State-1.558.0L 31 - 34ON
Sat 9/28 North Carolina vs Clemson+27.561.0L 20 - 21UY
Sat 10/5 North Carolina at Georgia Tech-9.547.0W 38 - 22OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 North Carolina at Virginia Tech-4.557.5L 41 - 43ON
Sat 10/26 North Carolina vs Duke-2.552.5W 20 - 17UY
Sat 11/2 North Carolina vs Virginia+1.048.0L 31 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/14 North Carolina at Pittsburgh+4.049.0L 27 - 34ON
Sat 11/23 North Carolina vs Mercer-28.5
Sat 11/30 North Carolina at NC State-11.057.0W 41 - 10UY
Fri 12/27 North Carolina vs Temple-6.056.5W 55 - 13OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CLEM.3451%27.253%3.4224848%2794.53-.0535%20.535%33%240.71.11.5
UNC.1443%19.344%2.7519339%2503.06.1943%24.545%40%3.657.42.11.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CLEM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CLEM Offense1527.229.650.8%4.531.1225272482796.647%52%53%48%12%.34
UNC Defense1124.52643.5%3.61.5 - - - - - 53%46%45%40%17%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CLEM Defense1520.515.434.8%21.5 - - - - - 49%50%35%33%21%-.05
UNC Offense1119.32142.7%3.062.1214431932505.347%51%44%39%16%.14

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Clemson1526:5022.145%56%4.440.71.11.58.53.3330
North Carolina1128:1521.335%48%657.42.11.57.22.9127.8
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CLEM Offense1547%53%37.9248.16.649.333.4278%7%1.05
UNC Defense1153%45% - - - - .163.1584%12%0.97
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CLEM Defense1549%35% - - - - -.122.1171%16%0.76
UNC Offense1147%44%36.51935.319.132.7571%9%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CLEM Offense1552%48%21.933.92798.212.8378.381.527%36%.485%2.2
UNC Defense1146%40% - - - - - - 7.241.734%34%.316%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CLEM Defense1550%33% - - - - - - 12.041.638%26%.095%1.7
UNC Offense1151%39%22.137.6249.96.611.31414.151.535%36%.217%1.6

Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: NR
Clemson's Offense Rating: NR
Clemson's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Clemson's 2019 Expected Record: -
Clemson's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 28.1  #4
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.5  #5
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6  #3

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Clemson:    North Carolina: 7.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 28.1   North Carolina: 10.3




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 7.65 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2019 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #30
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.1  #25
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6  #43

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Clemson Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.4

Clemson's 2019 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 11 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 10
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Clemson 27
North Carolina 19

Projected Total Points: 46
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Carolina's 2019 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04North Carolina10Clemson38Clemson -15.5Clemson47.5Over
202311/18Clemson31North Carolina20Clemson -7.5Clemson58.0Under
202212/03North Carolina10Clemson39Clemson -7.5Clemson64.0Under
201909/28North Carolina20Clemson21Clemson -27.5North Carolina61.0Under
201512/05Clemson45North Carolina37Clemson -6.5Clemson67.5Over
201409/27Clemson50North Carolina35Clemson -10Clemson0
201110/22Clemson59North Carolina38
201010/09North Carolina21Clemson16
200609/23Clemson52North Carolina7
200310/25Clemson36North Carolina28
200211/09North Carolina12Clemson42
200110/20Clemson3North Carolina38
200010/20North Carolina24Clemson38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina212 Overs
Clemson1153 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 64 - 23 - 01 - 2
Road Teams6 - 72 - 42 - 10 - 3

(#) CLEM at (#) UNC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCLEMUNC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #4 #30
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #9 #28
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Clemson on Offense
CategoryCat
CLEM OffUNC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #5 #43
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Clemson Run Game
CategoryCat
CLEM OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Clemson Pass Game
CategoryCat
CLEM OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatUNC OffCLEM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #25 #3
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffCLEM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatUNC OffCLEM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average P4

CLEM 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'19 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
Clemson 27.5 (61.0)
Clemson won at North Carolina this year (21-20)

Previous Matchups
Clemson beat North Carolina last year (38-10)
Clemson beat North Carolina in 2023 (31-20)

  
CLEM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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CLEM's DC ()
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UNC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNC's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD