North Carolina at Virginia Tech - 2019 Matchup Preview

North Carolina Tar Heels at Virginia Tech Hokies

Saturday, October 19th 2019 (3:30 PM EDT)
North Carolina -4.5 (57.5)
Virginia Tech 43 - North Carolina: 41 (ACC)

Tar Heels (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (18 - 23 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

VT 2nd straight Home Game
UNC coming off BYE
VT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -1.5 (SP+ UNC -2.5)
Projected Score: UNC: 25 - VT: 24 (49)
UNC Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 118 miles

Hokies (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (26 - 32 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNC Players
VT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Carolina's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	North Carolina vs South Carolina	+11.0	61.0	W 24 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/7	North Carolina vs Miami	+5.0	46.0	W 28 - 25	O	Y
Fri 9/13	North Carolina at Wake Forest	+3.0	65.0	L 18 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/21	North Carolina vs App State	-1.5	58.0	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/28	North Carolina vs Clemson	+27.5	61.0	L 20 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/5	North Carolina at Georgia Tech	-9.5	47.0	W 38 - 22	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	North Carolina at Virginia Tech	-4.5	57.5	L 41 - 43	O	N
Sat 10/26	North Carolina vs Duke	-2.5	52.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/2	North Carolina vs Virginia	+1.0	48.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/14	North Carolina at Pittsburgh	+4.0	49.0	L 27 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/23	North Carolina vs Mercer	-28.5
Sat 11/30	North Carolina at NC State	-11.0	57.0	W 41 - 10	U	Y
Fri 12/27	North Carolina vs Temple	-6.0	56.5	W 55 - 13	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule

Virginia Tech's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Virginia Tech at Boston College	-4.5	56.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/7	Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion	-30.0	57.5	W 31 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/14	Virginia Tech vs Furman	-24.0	64.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/27	Virginia Tech vs Duke	-2.5	51.5	L 10 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/5	Virginia Tech at Miami	+14.0	46.0	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Virginia Tech vs Rhode Island	-28.0	65.5	W 34 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/19	Virginia Tech vs North Carolina	+4.5	57.5	W 43 - 41	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Virginia Tech at Notre Dame	+17.5	59.0	L 20 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest	+3.0	61.0	W 36 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech	-6.0	51.5	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Virginia Tech vs Pittsburgh	-3.5	44.0	W 28 - 0	U	Y
Fri 11/29	Virginia Tech at Virginia	-1.5	48.0	L 30 - 39	O	N
Tue 12/31	Virginia Tech vs Kentucky	-2.0	47.0	L 30 - 37	O	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNC	.14	43%	19.3	44%	2.75	193	39%	250	3.06	.19	43%	24.5	45%	40%	3.6	57.4	2.1	1.5
VT	.19	43%	21.4	43%	2.94	174	41%	254	3.56	.22	42%	30.2	43%	40%	3.67	54.9	1.2	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
VT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNC Offense	11	19.3	17.5	42.7%	3.06	2.1	21	443	193	250	5.3	47%	51%	44%	39%	16%	.14
VT Defense	13	30.2	31.6	41.8%	3.67	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	43%	40%	15%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNC Defense	11	24.5	23	43.5%	3.6	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	45%	40%	17%	.19
VT Offense	13	21.4	26	43%	3.56	1.2	22	428	174	254	4.4	50%	48%	43%	41%	17%	.19

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Carolina	11	28:15	21.3	35%	48%	6	57.4	2.1	1.5	7.2	2.9	1	27.8
Virginia Tech	13	30:05	22.2	37%	56%	5.8	54.9	1.2	1.5	6.2	1.8	1	29.8

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNC Offense	11	47%	44%	36.5	193	5.3	19	.13	2.75	71%	9%	1.08
VT Defense	13	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	.19	2.78	67%	11%	1.24

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNC Defense	11	53%	45%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.15	84%	12%	0.97
VT Offense	13	50%	43%	40	174.3	4.4	19	.1	2.94	72%	10%	0.95

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNC Offense	11	51%	39%	22.1	37.6	249.9	6.6	11.3	14	14	.15	1.5	35%	36%	.21	7%	1.6
VT Defense	13	46%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.29	1.7	35%	34%	.37	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNC Defense	11	46%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.24	1.7	34%	34%	.31	6%	1.7
VT Offense	13	48%	41%	19.2	33	253.8	7.7	13.2	29	10	.28	1.7	34%	30%	.33	7%	2

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Carolina's 2019 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #30
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #25
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #43

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: Virginia Tech: 6.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 10.3 Virginia Tech: 8.0

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 6.5 NR
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Virginia Tech's 2019 Expected Record: -
Virginia Tech's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0 #38
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #54
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #38

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

North Carolina's 2019 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
North Carolina 25
Virginia Tech 24

Projected Total Points: 49

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.6

Virginia Tech's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	10/01	North Carolina	41	Virginia Tech	10	North Carolina -9.5	North Carolina	57.0	Under
2021	09/03	Virginia Tech	17	North Carolina	10	North Carolina -5.5	Virginia Tech	63.5	Under
2020	10/10	North Carolina	56	Virginia Tech	45	North Carolina -3.5	North Carolina	59.0	Over
2019	10/19	Virginia Tech	43	North Carolina	41	North Carolina -4.5	Virginia Tech	57.5	Over
2018	10/13	North Carolina	19	Virginia Tech	22	Virginia Tech -6.5	North Carolina	57.5	Under
2017	10/21	Virginia Tech	59	North Carolina	7	Virginia Tech -20	Virginia Tech	52.5	Over
2016	10/08	North Carolina	3	Virginia Tech	34	North Carolina -5.5	Virginia Tech	49.5	Under
2015	11/21	Virginia Tech	27	North Carolina	30	North Carolina -7.5	Virginia Tech	61.0	Under
2014	10/04	North Carolina	17	Virginia Tech	34	Virginia Tech -1.5	Virginia Tech	0
2013	10/05	Virginia Tech	27	North Carolina	17	Virginia Tech -7	Virginia Tech	0
2012	10/06	North Carolina	48	Virginia Tech	34
2011	11/17	Virginia Tech	24	North Carolina	21
2010	11/13	North Carolina	10	Virginia Tech	26
2009	10/29	Virginia Tech	17	North Carolina	20
2008	09/20	North Carolina	17	Virginia Tech	20
2007	09/29	Virginia Tech	17	North Carolina	10
2006	09/09	North Carolina	10	Virginia Tech	35
2005	11/26	Virginia Tech	30	North Carolina	3
2004	11/06	North Carolina	24	Virginia Tech	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Virginia Tech	14	7	3 Overs
North Carolina	5	3	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 9	8 - 2	4 - 1	4 - 1
Road Teams	9 - 10	2 - 8	1 - 4	1 - 4

(#) UNC at (#) VT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNC	VT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#30	#38
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#28	#29
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

North Carolina Injury Report

Virginia Tech Injury Report

North Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	UNC Off	VT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#25	#38
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	VT Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

North Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	VT Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Virginia Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	VT Off	UNC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#54	#43
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Virginia Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	VT Off	UNC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Virginia Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	VT Off	UNC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
VT 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Average P4

UNC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
North Carolina 4.5 (57.5)
Virginia Tech won vs North Carolina this year (43-41)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UNC's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

VT's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD