NC State at Louisville - 2018 Matchup Preview
NC State logo   NC State Wolfpack at Louisville Cardinals  Louisville logo
Saturday, November 17th 2018 (12:20 PM EST)
NC State -16 (65.0)
NC State 52 - Louisville: 10  (ACC)

 
Wolfpack (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (23 - 40 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LOU is playing their 4th straight game
NCST is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -7  (SP+ NCST -18.5)
Projected Score: NCST: 24 - LOU: 33 (57)
NCST Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
NCST Travel: 422 miles
Cardinals (2 - 10) (1 - 10 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (34 - 19 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
NC State's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 NC State vs James Madison-14.556.5W 24 - 13UN
Sat 9/8 NC State vs Georgia State-25.056.5W 41 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22 NC State at Marshall-6.056.0W 37 - 20OY
Sat 9/29 NC State vs Virginia-5.552.5W 35 - 21OY
Sat 10/6 NC State vs Boston College-6.560.5W 28 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20 NC State at Clemson+17.558.0L 7 - 41UN
Sat 10/27 NC State at Syracuse-2.065.0L 41 - 51ON
Sat 11/3 NC State vs Florida State-9.552.0W 47 - 28OY
Thu 11/8 NC State vs Wake Forest-17.069.0L 23 - 27UN
Sat 11/17 NC State at Louisville-16.065.0W 52 - 10UY
Sat 11/24 NC State at North Carolina-7.561.5W 34 - 28ON
Sat 12/1 NC State vs East Carolina-24.559.5W 58 - 3OY
Mon 12/31 NC State vs Texas A&M+7.558.5L 13 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Louisville's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Louisville vs Alabama+23.560.5L 14 - 51ON
Sat 9/8 Louisville vs Indiana State-19
Sat 9/15 Louisville vs Western Kentucky-24.553.0W 20 - 17UN
Sat 9/22 Louisville at Virginia+4.551.5L 3 - 27UN
Sat 9/29 Louisville vs Florida State+4.547.5L 24 - 28OY
Fri 10/5 Louisville vs Georgia Tech+5.556.0L 31 - 66ON
Sat 10/13 Louisville at Boston College+11.056.5L 20 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/27 Louisville vs Wake Forest-3.068.0L 35 - 56ON
Sat 11/3 Louisville at Clemson+38.061.0L 16 - 77ON
Fri 11/9 Louisville at Syracuse+20.068.5L 23 - 54ON
Sat 11/17 Louisville vs NC State+16.065.0L 10 - 52UN
Sat 11/24 Louisville vs Kentucky+17.053.0L 10 - 56ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST.2245%30.243%2.7817746%2753.63.1341%27.241%40%3.5454.811.6
LOU.3350%29.952%3.6224547%3004.05.1646%21.246%44%3.1551.11.61.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Offense1330.22344.9%3.631234521772754.648%51%43%46%15%.22
LOU Defense1321.218.945.9%3.151.7 - - - - - 52%47%46%44%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Defense1327.239.841.2%3.541.6 - - - - - 44%55%41%40%18%.13
LOU Offense1329.933.850.1%4.051.6275452453006.447%51%52%47%15%.33

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
NC State1332:4523.245%56%654.811.66.52.3433.7
Louisville1330:2527.144%63%6.351.11.61.76.12.1228.3
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Offense1348%43%38.2176.74.635.112.7876%10%1.05
LOU Defense1352%46% - - - - .12.8674%11%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Defense1344%41% - - - - .072.5970%10%0.95
LOU Offense1347%52%38.1245.16.433.343.6270%9%1.14

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Offense1351%46%24.237.2275.17.411.4176.341.532%38%.446%2
LOU Defense1347%44% - - - - - - 13.251.630%31%.297%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Defense1355%40% - - - - - - 14.181.634%32%.227%1.8
LOU Offense1351%47%21.335.7299.88.414.12910.341.631%44%.56%1.8

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
NC State's 2018 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4  #35
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.1  #29
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7  #54

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State:    Louisville: -2.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 9.4   Louisville: -9.1




Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: -2.05 NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisville's 2018 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.1  #98
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5  #101
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6  #99

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.8

NC State's 2018 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 33
NC State 24

Projected Total Points: 57
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.9

Louisville's 2018 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 1 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/29NC State10Louisville13Louisville -3.5NC State56.5Under
202211/19Louisville25NC State10Louisville -4Louisville43.0Under
202110/30NC State28Louisville13NC State -6NC State57.0Under
201911/16NC State20Louisville34Louisville -4.5Louisville52.0Over
201811/17Louisville10NC State52NC State -16NC State65.0Under
201710/05NC State39Louisville25Louisville -3.5NC State67.0Under
201610/22Louisville54NC State13Louisville -20Louisville65.0Over
201510/03NC State13Louisville20NC State -5Louisville47.5Under
201410/18Louisville30NC State18Louisville -14.5NC State0
201112/27NC State31Louisville24
200709/29NC State10Louisville29
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisville742 Overs
NC State456 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 55 - 43 - 22 - 2
Road Teams5 - 64 - 52 - 22 - 3

(#) NCST at (#) LOU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNCSTLOU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #35 #98
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #41 #40
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
NC State on Offense
CategoryCat
NCST OffLOU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #29 #99
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
NC State Run Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffLOU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
NC State Pass Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffLOU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Louisville on Offense
CategoryCatLOU OffNCST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #101 #54
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisville Run Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffNCST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Louisville Pass Game
CategoryCatLOU OffNCST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

NCST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
NC State 16.0 (65.0)
NC State won at Louisville this year (52-10)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat NC State in 2023 (13-10)

  
NCST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NCST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

LOU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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LOU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD