Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois - 2018 Matchup Preview

Miami (OH) RedHawks at Northern Illinois Huskies

Wednesday, November 14th 2018 (8:00 PM EST)
Northern Illinois -6.5 (48.0)
Miami (OH) 13 - Northern Illinois: 7 (Mid-American)

RedHawks (6 - 6) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 26 (28 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Temp: 25°
NIU 2nd straight Home Game
NIU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -1.5 (SP+ M-OH -2)
Projected Score: M-OH: 25 - NIU: 27 (52)
NIU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
M-OH Travel: 270 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Huskies (8 - 6) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 23 (20 - 16 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
M-OH Players
NIU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Miami (OH)'s 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Miami (OH) vs Marshall	-1.0	51.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/8	Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati	-1.5	48.0	L 0 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/15	Miami (OH) at Minnesota	+14.0	46.5	L 3 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/22	Miami (OH) at Bowling Green	-6.5	55.0	W 38 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan	+3.0	52.5	L 39 - 40	O	Y
Sat 10/6	Miami (OH) at Akron	+5.0	47.5	W 41 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Miami (OH) vs Kent State	-11.5	59.0	W 31 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Miami (OH) at Army	+6.5	46.5	L 30 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/30	Miami (OH) at Buffalo	+7.0	53.0	L 42 - 51	O	N
Wed 11/7	Miami (OH) vs Ohio	+4.5	59.0	W 30 - 28	U	Y
Wed 11/14	Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois	+6.5	48.0	W 13 - 7	U	Y
Tue 11/20	Miami (OH) vs Ball State	-16.5	55.0	W 42 - 21	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule

Northern Illinois's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Northern Illinois at Iowa	+9.5	46.0	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 9/8	Northern Illinois vs Utah	+12.5	47.5	L 6 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/15	Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan	-13.5	48.0	W 24 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/22	Northern Illinois at Florida State	+9.5	44.5	L 19 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/29	Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan	+3.5	50.5	W 26 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/6	Northern Illinois at Ball State	-3.0	52.5	W 24 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/13	Northern Illinois vs Ohio	-5.5	52.0	W 24 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/27	Northern Illinois at BYU	+6.5	43.5	W 7 - 6	U	Y
Thu 11/1	Northern Illinois at Akron	-6.0	37.0	W 36 - 26	O	Y
Wed 11/7	Northern Illinois vs Toledo	-3.5	54.0	W 38 - 15	U	Y
Wed 11/14	Northern Illinois vs Miami (OH)	-6.5	48.0	L 7 - 13	U	N
Tue 11/20	Northern Illinois at Western Michigan	-6.5	48.5	L 21 - 28	O	N
Fri 11/30	Northern Illinois vs Buffalo	+3.0	51.0	W 30 - 29	O	Y
Tue 12/18	Northern Illinois vs UAB	+1.0	41.5	L 13 - 37	O	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
M-OH	.18	40%	28.1	39%	2.77	160	40%	212	3.97	.18	42%	25.5	43%	40%	4.03	58	0.8	1.3
NIU	.06	41%	20.1	43%	3	167	35%	155	3.21	.06	37%	22.6	32%	39%	2.79	61.1	1.4	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
M-OH	#95 (.15)	41% (97)		38% (119)	3.1 (51)	121	44% (48)	204	3.43 (108)	#38 (.12)	44% (92)		46% (100)	42% (74)	2.91 (6)	38.6	1.1	1.4
NIU	#86 (.16)	42% (79)		44% (72)	3.25 (33)	204	40% (86)	179	3.39 (113)	#11 (.06)	38% (19)		41% (52)	35% (9)	3.08 (12)	42.8	1.2	1.1

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
M-OH Offense	12	28.1	27.8	39.9%	3.97	0.8	19	372	160	212	4.3	50%	49%	39%	40%	15%	.18
NIU Defense	14	22.6	16.4	37.1%	2.79	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	32%	39%	15%	.06

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
M-OH Defense	12	25.5	25.8	41.8%	4.03	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	43%	40%	16%	.18
NIU Offense	14	20.1	19.8	40.6%	3.21	1.4	19	322	167	155	3.9	55%	44%	43%	35%	14%	.06

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Miami (OH)	12	30:22	19	37%	61%	6.5	58	0.8	1.3	6.5	2.2	2	30
Northern Illinois	14	28:08	19.3	36%	38%	6.5	61.1	1.4	1.4	6	2.9	2	28.7

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense	12	50%	39%	36.8	159.8	4.3	24	.11	2.77	65%	9%	1.16
NIU Defense	14	48%	32%	-	-	-	-	-.1	2.41	69%	11%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense	12	54%	43%	-	-	-	-	.15	2.93	88%	11%	0.96
NIU Offense	14	55%	43%	42.6	166.9	3.9	16	.12	3	81%	10%	0.9

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense	12	49%	40%	18.8	31.3	212.3	6.8	11.3	17	5	.28	1.7	37%	32%	.24	5%	1.6
NIU Defense	14	50%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.22	1.7	38%	35%	.27	4%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense	12	46%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.22	1.6	33%	31%	.35	5%	2
NIU Offense	14	44%	35%	16.9	28.6	155.4	5.4	9.2	15	11	-.01	1.4	32%	28%	.21	5%	1.8

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Miami (OH)'s 2018 Expected Record: -
Miami (OH)'s 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7 #79
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #90
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #66

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): Northern Illinois: 1.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -0.7 Northern Illinois: -2.7

Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: 1.15 NR
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Northern Illinois's 2018 Expected Record: -
Northern Illinois's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.7 #89
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #117
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #23

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Miami (OH)'s 2018 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Northern Illinois 27
Miami (OH) 25

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Northern Illinois 32
Miami (OH) 26

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Miami (OH) 24
Northern Illinois 23

Total Points: 47

Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 20.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.8
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.4

Northern Illinois's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/04	Northern Illinois	14	Miami (OH)	25	Miami (OH) -4.5	Miami (OH)	38.5	Over
2024	11/19	Miami (OH)	20	Northern Illinois	9	Miami (OH) -1.5	Miami (OH)	43.0	Under
2022	11/16	Northern Illinois	23	Miami (OH)	29	Northern Illinois -1	Miami (OH)	44.0	Over
2019	10/19	Miami (OH)	27	Northern Illinois	24	Northern Illinois -1.5	Miami (OH)	48.0	Over
2018	11/14	Northern Illinois	7	Miami (OH)	13	Northern Illinois -6.5	Miami (OH)	48.0	Under
2015	10/17	Miami (OH)	12	Northern Illinois	45	Northern Illinois -15.5	Northern Illinois	54.5	Over
2014	10/18	Northern Illinois	51	Miami (OH)	41	Northern Illinois -14.5	Miami (OH)	0
2010	12/03	Miami (OH)	26	Northern Illinois	21
2009	10/24	Miami (OH)	22	Northern Illinois	27
2008	10/11	Northern Illinois	17	Miami (OH)	13
2006	10/08	Miami (OH)	25	Northern Illinois	28
2005	10/05	Northern Illinois	38	Miami (OH)	27
2002	10/12	Miami (OH)	41	Northern Illinois	48

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Northern Illinois	7	1	4 Overs
Miami (OH)	6	6	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 7	2 - 5	1 - 3	1 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 6	5 - 2	2 - 1	3 - 1

(#) M-OH at (#) NIU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	M-OH	NIU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#79	#89
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#90	#88
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Miami (OH) Injury Report

Northern Illinois Injury Report

Miami (OH) on Offense


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	NIU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#90	#23
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Miami (OH) Run Game


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	NIU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Miami (OH) Pass Game


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	NIU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Northern Illinois on Offense


CategoryCat	NIU Off	M-OH Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#117	#66
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Northern Illinois Run Game


CategoryCat	NIU Off	M-OH Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Northern Illinois Pass Game


CategoryCat	NIU Off	M-OH Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NIU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

M-OH 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 25°

Rematch from Week 12
Northern Illinois -6.5 (48.0)
Miami (OH) won at Northern Illinois this year (13-7)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Northern Illinois last year (20-9)
Miami (OH) beat Northern Illinois in 2022 (29-23)

M-OH's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NIU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster

NIU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD