Michigan at Wisconsin - 2017 Matchup Preview
Michigan logo (#18)Michigan Wolverines at Wisconsin BadgersWisconsin logo
Saturday, November 18th 2017 (12:00 PM EST)
Wisconsin -6.5 (40.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Wisconsin 24 - Michigan: 10  (Big Ten)

 
Wolverines (8 - 5) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 19 (23 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 12.7 MPH
MICH 2nd straight Road Game
WIS 2nd straight Home Game
WIS is playing their 8th straight game
MICH is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -6  (SP+ WIS -7)

Projected Score: MICH: 20 - WIS: 28 (48)
WIS Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
MICH Travel: 293 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Badgers (13 - 1) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 14 (34 - 13 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Michigan's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Michigan vs Florida-4.545.5W 33 - 17OY
Sat 9/9 Michigan vs Cincinnati-32.550.5W 36 - 14UN
Sat 9/16 Michigan vs Air Force-23.053.0W 29 - 13UN
Sat 9/23 Michigan at Purdue-13.051.0W 28 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Michigan vs Michigan State-12.540.0L 10 - 14UN
Sat 10/14 Michigan at Indiana-7.044.0W 27 - 20ON
Sat 10/21 Michigan at Penn State+7.542.5L 13 - 42ON
Sat 10/28 Michigan vs Rutgers-22.543.5W 35 - 14ON
Sat 11/4 Michigan vs Minnesota-16.039.5W 33 - 10OY
Sat 11/11 Michigan at Maryland-16.548.5W 35 - 10UY
Sat 11/18 Michigan at Wisconsin+6.540.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/25 Michigan vs Ohio State+12.549.0L 20 - 31OY
Mon 1/1 Michigan vs South Carolina-9.042.5L 19 - 26ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Wisconsin's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Wisconsin vs Utah State-27.552.0W 59 - 10OY
Sat 9/9 Wisconsin vs Florida Atlantic-34.559.5W 31 - 14UN
Sat 9/16 Wisconsin at BYU-14.042.0W 40 - 6OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 Wisconsin vs Northwestern-16.550.5W 33 - 24ON
Sat 10/7 Wisconsin at Nebraska-12.547.0W 38 - 17OY
Sat 10/14 Wisconsin vs Purdue-17.049.5W 17 - 9UN
Sat 10/21 Wisconsin vs Maryland-24.050.5W 38 - 13OY
Sat 10/28 Wisconsin at Illinois-28.551.0W 24 - 10UN
Sat 11/4 Wisconsin at Indiana-11.549.5W 45 - 17OY
Sat 11/11 Wisconsin vs Iowa-11.545.0W 38 - 14OY
Sat 11/18 Wisconsin vs Michigan-6.540.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 11/25 Wisconsin at Minnesota-18.543.5W 31 - 0UY
Sat 12/2 Wisconsin vs Ohio State+3.551.5L 21 - 27UN
Sat 12/30 Wisconsin at Miami-6.546.0W 34 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH.0839%25.240%2.8317835%1713.11-.0232%18.833%29%2.7957.21.61.2
WIS.1945%33.843%3.0422346%1923.9-.0334%13.936%29%1.950.21.72.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH#113 (.1)40% (102)41% (101)3 (80)14940% (92)1234.18 (45)#40 (.13)38% (28)38% (18)39% (42)3.48 (36)36.81.51.2
WIS#97 (.14)42% (73)46% (39)3.16 (46)15438% (107)1974.02 (57)#80 (.18)43% (88)45% (86)42% (81)4.17 (105)37.51.51



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Offense1325.222.639.1%3.111.6173491781714.456%42%40%35%17%.08
WIS Defense1413.913.433.9%1.92.1 - - - - - 46%51%36%29%23%-.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Defense1318.821.232%2.791.2 - - - - - 52%47%33%29%24%-.02
WIS Offense1433.834.345.4%3.91.721415223192561%37%43%46%14%.19

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan1331:5717.532%56%6.657.21.61.28.73.2333.7
Wisconsin1435:2921.149%67%5.450.21.72.16.43635.6
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Offense1356%40%40.7177.74.426.12.8377%12%1.02
WIS Defense1446%36% - - - - .052.7670%12%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Defense1352%33% - - - - .012.2453%17%1.13
WIS Offense1461%43%44.9222.9525.073.0480%9%0.84

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Offense1342%35%14.226.6171.26.412910.081.735%32%.265%1.9
WIS Defense1451%29% - - - - - - 20-.071.638%23%.0211%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Defense1347%29% - - - - - - 10-.041.737%24%.117%1.8
WIS Offense1437%46%14.623.2192.18.313.22515.431.828%40%.415%1.8

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan's 2017 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.6  #13
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #49
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.8  #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan:    Wisconsin: 15.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 19.6   Wisconsin: 26.8




Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 15.9 NR
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Wisconsin's 2017 Expected Record: -
Wisconsin's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.8  #3
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.4  #18
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.6  #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Michigan Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.2

Michigan's 2017 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Wisconsin 28
Michigan 20


Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Wisconsin 30
Michigan 20

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Wisconsin 27
Michigan 19

Total Points: 46
Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.3
Defense: 13.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.4

Wisconsin's 2017 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Michigan24Wisconsin10Michigan -17.5Wisconsin42.5Under
202110/02Wisconsin17Michigan38Wisconsin -2Michigan43.5Over
202011/14Michigan11Wisconsin49Wisconsin -7.0Wisconsin51.5Over
201909/21Wisconsin35Michigan14Wisconsin -3Wisconsin46.0Over
201810/13Michigan38Wisconsin13Michigan -10Michigan47.5Over
201711/18Wisconsin24Michigan10Wisconsin -6.5Wisconsin40.5Under
201610/01Michigan14Wisconsin7Michigan -10Wisconsin44.5Under
201011/20Michigan28Wisconsin48
200911/14Wisconsin45Michigan24
200809/27Michigan27Wisconsin25
200711/10Wisconsin37Michigan21
200609/23Michigan27Wisconsin13
200509/24Wisconsin23Michigan20
200211/16Michigan21Wisconsin14
200111/17Wisconsin17Michigan20
200009/29Michigan13Wisconsin10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wisconsin754 Overs
Michigan923 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 43 - 43 - 30 - 1
Road Teams4 - 124 - 31 - 03 - 3

(#) MICH at (#) WIS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMICHWIS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #13 #3
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #7 #37
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Michigan on Offense
CategoryCat
MICH OffWIS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #4
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffWIS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffWIS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Wisconsin on Offense
CategoryCatWIS OffMICH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #18 #5
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Wisconsin Run Game
CategoryCat
WIS OffMICH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Wisconsin Pass Game
CategoryCatWIS OffMICH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WIS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to CFB Elites

MICH 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 37° - Wind: 13 mph
Rematch from Week 12
Wisconsin -6.5 (40.5)
Wisconsin won vs Michigan this year (24-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MICH's OC ()
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MICH's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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WIS's OC ()
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WIS's DC ()
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