Ball State at Northwestern - 2015 Matchup Preview

Ball State Cardinals at Northwestern Wildcats

Saturday, September 26th 2015 (8:00 PM EDT)
Northwestern -18 (48.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Northwestern 24 - Ball State: 19

Cardinals (3 - 9) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 16 - 30 (10 - 36 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BALL 3rd straight Road Game
NW is playing their 4th straight game
BALL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: BALL: 15 - NW: 29 (44)
NW Win prob: 91% | Cover: 49%
BALL Travel: 174 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Wildcats (10 - 3) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (27 - 12 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BALL Players
NW Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ball State's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/3	Ball State vs VMI	-23.5
Sat 9/12	Ball State at Texas A&M	+26.0	64.5	L 23 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/19	Ball State at Eastern Michigan	-6.0	61.5	W 28 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/26	Ball State at Northwestern	+18.0	48.5	L 19 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/3	Ball State vs Toledo	+9.5	54.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/10	Ball State at Northern Illinois	+10.5	54.5	L 41 - 59	O	N
Sat 10/17	Ball State vs Georgia State	-16.5	63.0	L 19 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/24	Ball State vs Central Michigan	+6.0	56.0	L 21 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/31	Ball State vs Massachusetts	-4.0	67.5	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Thu 11/5	Ball State at Western Michigan	+13.5	62.0	L 7 - 54	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/17	Ball State at Ohio	+7.0	56.0	L 31 - 48	O	N
Tue 11/24	Ball State vs Bowling Green	+20.5	74.0	L 10 - 48	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule

Northwestern's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Northwestern vs Stanford	+10.0	48.5	W 16 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/12	Northwestern vs Eastern Illinois	-24.0
Sat 9/19	Northwestern at Duke	+2.5	50.0	W 19 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/26	Northwestern vs Ball State	-18.0	48.5	W 24 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/3	Northwestern vs Minnesota	-6.5	40.5	W 27 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/10	Northwestern at Michigan	+10.0	37.0	L 0 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/17	Northwestern vs Iowa	+2.5	41.0	L 10 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/24	Northwestern at Nebraska	+6.5	50.0	W 30 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7	Northwestern vs Penn State	-2.0	41.0	W 23 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/14	Northwestern vs Purdue	-13.0	48.0	W 21 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/21	Northwestern at Wisconsin	+10.5	41.5	W 13 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/28	Northwestern vs Illinois	-3.5	42.0	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Fri 1/1	Northwestern vs Tennessee	+9.0

Important Stats (2014)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL	.12	43%	15.8	41%	2.62	153	43%	216	3.75	.17	46%	29.8	46%	45%	3.32	39.1	1.3	2
NW	.04	40%	23.4	39%	2.63	137	40%	217	2.92	.1	41%	19.8	41%	38%	3.01	43.5	1.9	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NW		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2014

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Offense	12	15.8	9.7	43.2%	3.75	1.3	20	369	153	216	4.1	50%	47%	41%	43%	3%	.12
NW Defense	12	19.8	12.4	40.7%	3.01	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	41%	38%	2%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Defense	12	29.8	35.7	46.1%	3.32	2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	46%	45%	2%	.17
NW Offense	12	23.4	26.8	40.3%	2.92	1.9	20	353	137	217	3.4	47%	51%	39%	40%	2%	.04

Additional Stats 2014

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ball State	12	29:49	20.3	38%	85%	4.2	39.1	1.3	2	0	0	0	29.8
Northwestern	12	30:02	20.3	40%	48%	5.1	43.5	1.9	2.3	0	0	3	30.7

Run Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Offense	12	50%	41%	37.3	153.4	4.1	16	.02	2.62	69%	0%	0.86
NW Defense	12	54%	41%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.71	75%	0%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Defense	12	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	.12	3.08	76%	0%	0.95
NW Offense	12	47%	39%	40.5	136.6	3.4	20	-.02	2.63	68%	0%	0.84

Pass Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Offense	12	47%	43%	19.3	34.1	215.8	6.3	11.2	19	7	.25	1.4	30%	32%	.26	3%	1.7
NW Defense	12	45%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.18	1.7	34%	33%	.31	2%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Defense	12	46%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.24	1.4	29%	33%	.28	2%	1.6
NW Offense	12	51%	40%	21.8	37.9	216.5	5.7	10	10	14	.1	1.4	32%	33%	.21	2%	1.6

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ball State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: Northwestern: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: Northwestern:

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Northwestern's 2015 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.7
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.7

Ball State's 2015 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Northwestern 29
Ball State 15

Projected Total Points: 44

Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.8
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.4

Northwestern's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2015	09/26	Northwestern	24	Ball State	19	Northwestern -18	Ball State	48.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Northwestern	1	0	0 Overs
Ball State	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) BALL at (#) NW

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BALL	NW
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#107	#48
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ball State Injury Report

Northwestern Injury Report

Ball State on Offense


CategoryCat	BALL Off	NW Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ball State Run Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	NW Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ball State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	NW Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Northwestern on Offense


CategoryCat	NW Off	BALL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Northwestern Run Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	BALL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Northwestern Pass Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	BALL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BALL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ryan Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Northwestern -18.0 (48.5)
Northwestern won vs Ball State this year (24-19)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

BALL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NW's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD