Texas State at Navy - 2012 Matchup Preview
 
Bobcats (4 - 8) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 34 (19 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NAVY is playing their 10th straight game
TXST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: TXST: 23 - NAVY: 31 (54)
TXST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
TXST Travel: 1368 miles, 1 hrs behind
Midshipmen (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 26 (23 - 14 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas State's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Texas State at Houston+2.5
Sat 9/8 Texas State vs Texas Tech-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22 Texas State vs Stephen F. Austin-23.5
Sat 9/29 Texas State vs Nevada-23.5
Sat 10/6 Texas State at New Mexico+2.5
Sat 10/13 Texas State vs Idaho-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/27 Texas State at San José State+2.5
Sat 11/3 Texas State at Utah State+2.5
Sat 11/10 Texas State vs Louisiana Tech-23.5
Sat 11/17 Texas State at Navy+2.5
Sat 11/24 Texas State at UTSA+2.5
Sat 12/1 Texas State vs New Mexico State-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Navy's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Navy vs Notre Dame-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/15 Navy at Penn State+2.5
Sat 9/22 Navy vs VMI-23.5
Sat 9/29 Navy vs San José State-23.5
Sat 10/6 Navy at Air Force+2.5
Fri 10/12 Navy at Central Michigan+2.5
Sat 10/20 Navy vs Indiana-23.5
Sat 10/27 Navy at East Carolina+2.5
Sat 11/3 Navy vs Florida Atlantic-23.5
Sat 11/10 Navy at Troy+2.5
Sat 11/17 Navy vs Texas State-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/8 Navy vs Army+2.5
Sat 12/29 Navy vs Arizona State+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TXST.0542%28.647%3.2317736%200-0.38.1648%33.549%44%-0.0865.91.32.2
NAVY.1248%2550%3.4427837%105-0.09.1453%25.753%50%-0.0927.91.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TXST#25 (.25)48% (17)49% (14)3.41 (11)19448% (10)2453.89 (72)#50 (.14)39% (31)38% (21)39% (54)3.47 (33)56.51.61.2
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXST Offense1228.618.741.9%-0.381.3193771772005.146%52%47%36%3%.05
NAVY Defense1325.714.452.7%-0.091.5 - - - - - 54%44%53%50%2%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXST Defense1233.529.347.6%-0.082.2 - - - - - 55%44%49%44%3%.16
NAVY Offense132523.447.6%-0.091.5223832781055.277%22%50%37%2%.12

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas State1229:3919.439%36%7.365.91.32.200131.1
Navy1331:0121.541%64%3.627.91.51.500329.7
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXST Offense1246%47%34.4176.85.124.073.2379%0%0.78
NAVY Defense1354%53% - - - - .123.5372%0%0.64
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXST Defense1255%49% - - - - .173.4473%0%0.81
NAVY Offense1377%50%53.8278.55.228.143.4470%0%0.78

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXST Offense1252%36%18.130.1200.46.711.1178.011.134%30%.263%1.7
NAVY Defense1344%50% - - - - - - 8.211.125%39%.32%1.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXST Defense1244%44% - - - - - - 14.171.230%35%.253%1.7
NAVY Offense1322%37%7.613.2104.87.913.8115.091.524%28%.082%1.6

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: NR
Texas State's Offense Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas State's 2012 Expected Record: -
Texas State's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State:    Navy: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State:    Navy:




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Navy's 2012 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Texas State Scoring
Offense: 28.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.7
Defense: 33.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

Texas State's 2012 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 31
Texas State 23

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Navy 33
Texas State 24

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Navy 28
Texas State 22

Total Points: 50
Navy Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.4
Defense: 25.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.4

Navy's 2012 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201409/13Texas State21Navy35Navy -13Navy0
201211/17Navy21Texas State10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy210 Overs
Texas State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#) TXST at (#) NAVY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTXSTNAVY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Texas State on Offense
CategoryCat
TXST OffNAVY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas State Run Game
CategoryCat
TXST OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Texas State Pass Game
CategoryCat
TXST OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCatNAVY OffTXST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffTXST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCatNAVY OffTXST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TXST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 54°
Rematch from Week 12
()
Navy won vs Texas State this year (21-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TXST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TXST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NAVY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NAVY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD