Navy at Air Force - 2012 Matchup Preview
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Navy Midshipmen at Air Force Falcons

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Saturday, October 6th 2012 (11:30 AM EDT)
Navy 28 - Air Force: 21

 
Midshipmen (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (26 - 30 on Road)
'12 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
AFA 2nd straight Home Game
NAVY is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: NAVY: 29 - AFA: 28 (57)
NAVY Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
NAVY Travel: 1516 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Falcons (6 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (28 - 28 @ Home)
'12 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Navy's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Navy vs Notre Dame-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/15 Navy at Penn State+2.5
Sat 9/22 Navy vs VMI-23.5
Sat 9/29 Navy vs San José State-23.5
Sat 10/6 Navy at Air Force+2.5
Fri 10/12 Navy at Central Michigan+2.5
Sat 10/20 Navy vs Indiana-23.5
Sat 10/27 Navy at East Carolina+2.5
Sat 11/3 Navy vs Florida Atlantic-23.5
Sat 11/10 Navy at Troy+2.5
Sat 11/17 Navy vs Texas State-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/8 Navy vs Army+2.5
Sat 12/29 Navy vs Arizona State+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Air Force's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Air Force vs Idaho State-23.5
Sat 9/8 Air Force at Michigan+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22 Air Force at UNLV+2.5
Sat 9/29 Air Force vs Colorado State-23.5
Sat 10/6 Air Force vs Navy-23.5
Sat 10/13 Air Force at Wyoming+2.5
Sat 10/20 Air Force vs New Mexico-23.5
Fri 10/26 Air Force vs Nevada-23.5
Sat 11/3 Air Force at Army+2.5
Sat 11/10 Air Force at San Diego State+2.5
Fri 11/16 Air Force vs Hawai'i-23.5
Sat 11/24 Air Force at Fresno State+2.5
Sat 12/29 Air Force vs Rice-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Important Stats (2011)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY.1145%31.548%3.4531229%940.1752%2548%56%0.09201.31.9
AFA.1648%29.848%3.231543%145-0.14.147%30.349%43%0.0943.222
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
AFA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1231.525.845.1%01.321398312945.480%18%48%29%2%.11
AFA Defense1330.327.847.3%0.092 - - - - - 61%38%49%43%3%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense122530.251.7%0.091.9 - - - - - 55%44%48%56%2%.17
AFA Offense1329.827.547.9%-0.142234553151455.774%25%48%43%2%.16

Additional Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1220:2121.347%50%2.3201.31.900331.3
Air Force1317:5823.247%81%4.743.22200030.6
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1280%48%57.8312.35.434.143.4576%0%0.81
AFA Defense1361%49% - - - - .133.3780%0%0.73
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1255%48% - - - - .063.3179%0%0.69
AFA Offense1374%48%55.6314.85.743.183.274%0%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1218%29%5.411.393.58.317.3106.021.727%30%.172%1.5
AFA Defense1338%43% - - - - - - 12.08127%34%.263%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1244%56% - - - - - - 10.321.126%34%.292%1.8
AFA Offense1325%43%9.515.71459.215.3168.151.126%33%.312%1.7

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Navy's 2012 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy:    Air Force: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy:    Air Force:




Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Air Force's 2012 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Navy's 2012 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 29
Air Force 28

Projected Total Points: 57
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.5
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

Air Force's 2012 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Navy34Air Force31Navy -13.5Air Force50.5Over
202410/05Air Force7Navy34Navy -10Navy37.0Over
202310/21Navy6Air Force17Air Force -11NA34.0Under
202210/01Air Force13Navy10Air Force -14Navy38.0Under
202109/11Navy3Air Force23Air Force -6Air Force40.0Under
202010/03Air Force40Navy7Navy -6.5Air Force46.5Over
201910/05Navy34Air Force25Air Force -3Navy46.5Over
201810/06Air Force35Navy7Navy -2.5Air Force47.0Under
201710/07Navy48Air Force45Navy -8.5Air Force53.5Over
201610/01Air Force28Navy14Air Force -10.5Air Force50.5Under
201510/03Navy33Air Force11Navy -6Navy49.5Under
201410/04Air Force30Navy21Navy -4Air Force0
201310/05Navy28Air Force10Navy -11Navy0
201210/06Air Force21Navy28
201110/01Navy34Air Force35
201010/02Air Force14Navy6
200910/03Navy16Air Force13
200810/04Air Force27Navy33
200709/29Navy31Air Force20
200610/07Air Force17Navy24
200510/08Navy27Air Force24
200409/30Air Force21Navy24
200310/04Navy28Air Force25
200210/05Air Force48Navy7
200110/06Navy18Air Force24
200010/06Air Force27Navy13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Air Force1275 Overs
Navy1456 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams17 - 97 - 53 - 34 - 2
Road Teams9 - 175 - 72 - 43 - 3

(#) NAVY at (#) AFA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNAVYAFA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCat
NAVY OffAFA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Air Force on Offense
CategoryCatAFA OffNAVY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Air Force Run Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
CategoryCatAFA OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
()
Navy won at Air Force this year (28-21)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Air Force last year (34-31)
Navy beat Air Force in 2024 (34-7)
Air Force beat Navy in 2023 (17-6)

  
NAVY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NAVY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

AFA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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AFA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD