Air Force at Michigan - 2012 Matchup Preview
 
Falcons (6 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 29 (22 - 36 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 12.7 MPH
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: AFA: 29 - MICH: 31 (60)
AFA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
AFA Travel: 1126 miles, 2 hrs behind
Wolverines (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 20 (39 - 16 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Air Force's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Air Force vs Idaho State-23.5
Sat 9/8 Air Force at Michigan+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22 Air Force at UNLV+2.5
Sat 9/29 Air Force vs Colorado State-23.5
Sat 10/6 Air Force vs Navy-23.5
Sat 10/13 Air Force at Wyoming+2.5
Sat 10/20 Air Force vs New Mexico-23.5
Fri 10/26 Air Force vs Nevada-23.5
Sat 11/3 Air Force at Army+2.5
Sat 11/10 Air Force at San Diego State+2.5
Fri 11/16 Air Force vs Hawai'i-23.5
Sat 11/24 Air Force at Fresno State+2.5
Sat 12/29 Air Force vs Rice-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Michigan's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Michigan vs Alabama+2.5
Sat 9/8 Michigan vs Air Force-23.5
Sat 9/15 Michigan vs Massachusetts-23.5
Sat 9/22 Michigan at Notre Dame+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6 Michigan at Purdue+2.5
Sat 10/13 Michigan vs Illinois-23.5
Sat 10/20 Michigan vs Michigan State-23.5
Sat 10/27 Michigan at Nebraska+2.5
Sat 11/3 Michigan at Minnesota+2.5
Sat 11/10 Michigan vs Northwestern-23.5
Sat 11/17 Michigan vs Iowa-23.5
Sat 11/24 Michigan at Ohio State+2.5
Tue 1/1 Michigan vs South Carolina-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA.1145%27.446%3.3131640%103-0.08.0946%2942%50%-0.3326.22.21.2
MICH.0742%29.839%2.6718443%199-0.25.0442%19.841%39%-0.148.32.11.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA#103 (.13)42% (77)45% (60)3.03 (68)22531% (131)904.02 (56)#88 (.2)42% (68)41% (47)43% (89)3.97 (84)281.31
MICH#113 (.1)40% (102)41% (101)3 (80)14940% (92)1234.18 (45)#40 (.13)38% (28)38% (18)39% (42)3.48 (36)36.81.51.2



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Offense1327.422.245.1%-0.082.2224193161035.183%17%46%40%2%.11
MICH Defense1319.81641.9%-0.11.4 - - - - - 57%40%41%39%2%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Defense132935.545.9%-0.331.2 - - - - - 60%39%42%50%2%.09
MICH Offense1329.838.542.3%-0.252.1193831841994.856%42%39%43%5%.07

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Air Force1328:2422.349%58%3.426.22.21.200129
Michigan1331:0419.250%69%4.848.32.11.400130.5
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Offense1383%46%61.8316.25.139.133.3177%0%0.86
MICH Defense1357%41% - - - - .012.9160%0%0.81
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Defense1360%42% - - - - -2.9561%0%0.78
MICH Offense1356%39%38.6183.84.8272.6757%0%0.87

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Offense1317%40%6.411.6102.68.816.198.031.123%28%.192%1.7
MICH Defense1340%39% - - - - - - 7.121.134%33%.212%1.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Defense1339%50% - - - - - - 8.241.128%36%.262%1.4
MICH Offense1342%43%1324.5199.38.215.32019.171.331%37%.185%1.3

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Air Force's 2012 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    Michigan: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    Michigan:




Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan's 2012 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Air Force Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5

Air Force's 2012 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 31
Air Force 29

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Air Force 35
Michigan 30

Total Points: 65

Based on Entire Season
Michigan 33
Air Force 22

Total Points: 55
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.5
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 16

Michigan's 2012 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201709/16Michigan29Air Force13Michigan -23Air Force53.0Under
201209/08Michigan31Air Force25
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan200 Overs
Air Force011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) AFA at (#) MICH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAFAMICH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Air Force on Offense
CategoryCat
AFA OffMICH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Air Force Run Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffMICH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffMICH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatMICH OffAFA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatMICH OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 71° - Wind: 13 mph
Rematch from Week 2
()
Michigan won vs Air Force this year (31-25)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
AFA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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AFA's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MICH's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MICH's DC ()
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD