Arkansas State at Illinois - 2011 Matchup Preview
 
Red Wolves (10 - 3) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 21 (26 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 96.1° (35% Hum)
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ARST: 29 - ILL: 29 (58)
ARST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ARST Travel: 322 miles
Fighting Illini (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (26 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas State's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Arkansas State at Illinois+2.5
Sat 9/10 Arkansas State vs Memphis-23.5
Sat 9/17 Arkansas State at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 9/24 Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas-23.5
Sat 10/1 Arkansas State at Western Kentucky+2.5
Sat 10/8 Arkansas State at UL Monroe+2.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/18 Arkansas State vs Florida International-23.5
Sat 10/29 Arkansas State vs North Texas-23.5
Sat 11/5 Arkansas State at Florida Atlantic+2.5
Sat 11/12 Arkansas State vs Louisiana-23.5
Sat 11/19 Arkansas State at Middle Tennessee+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/3 Arkansas State vs Troy-23.5
Sun 1/8 Arkansas State vs Northern Illinois+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Illinois's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Illinois vs Arkansas State-23.5
Sat 9/10 Illinois vs South Dakota State-23.5
Sat 9/17 Illinois vs Arizona State-23.5
Sat 9/24 Illinois vs Western Michigan-23.5
Sat 10/1 Illinois vs Northwestern-23.5
Sat 10/8 Illinois at Indiana+2.5
Sat 10/15 Illinois vs Ohio State-23.5
Sat 10/22 Illinois at Purdue+2.5
Sat 10/29 Illinois at Penn State+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12 Illinois vs Michigan-23.5
Sat 11/19 Illinois vs Wisconsin-23.5
Sat 11/26 Illinois at Minnesota+2.5
Sat 12/31 Illinois vs UCLA+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Important Stats (2011)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST.0844%32.540%3.0514445%280-0.27-.0535%20.837%33%054.321.9
ILL.0441%22.639%2.9617241%2040-.0236%19.635%36%-0.142.22.21.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST#81 (.17)41% (91)43% (84)3.01 (77)14839% (96)2103.96 (63)#126 (.31)48% (124)51% (131)44% (110)4.62 (127)47.81.31.4
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)45% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)50% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5



Overall Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Offense1332.52643.9%-0.272214101442803.944%53%40%45%2%.08
ILL Defense1319.620.435.8%-0.11.7 - - - - - 56%43%35%36%2%-.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Defense1320.823.335.3%01.9 - - - - - 44%54%37%33%2%-.05
ILL Offense1322.625.640.5%02.2193561722044.156%43%39%41%2%.04

Additional Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas State1318:0221.342%62%6.454.321.900233.8
Illinois1319:4319.342%43%4.942.22.21.700228.4
Run Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Offense1344%40%36.51443.924.023.0565%0%0.74
ILL Defense1356%35% - - - - -.12.4760%0%0.75
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Defense1344%37% - - - - -.12.2562%0%0.8
ILL Offense1356%39%42.3171.74.121.052.9668%0%0.82

Pass Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Offense1353%45%23.235.6279.57.912.11815.15132%35%.212%1.2
ILL Defense1343%36% - - - - - - 10.091.335%24%.142%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Defense1354%33% - - - - - - 17-.011.236%27%.182%1.6
ILL Offense1343%41%17.427.8204.17.311.71413.02132%32%.272%1.5

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas State's 2011 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    Illinois: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    Illinois:




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Illinois's 2011 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 32.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.3

Arkansas State's 2011 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas State 29
Illinois 29

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Illinois 35
Arkansas State 33

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
Arkansas State 25
Illinois 23

Total Points: 48
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.6
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.4

Illinois's 2011 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201109/03Illinois33Arkansas State15
200209/14Illinois59Arkansas State7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois200 Overs
Arkansas State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#) ARST at (#) ILL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARSTILL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Arkansas State on Offense
CategoryCat
ARST OffILL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffILL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffILL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Illinois on Offense
CategoryCatILL OffARST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffARST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCatILL OffARST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 96° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 1
()
Illinois won vs Arkansas State this year (33-15)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ARST's OC ()
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ILL's OC ()
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ILL's DC ()
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