Penn State at Michigan State - 2009 Matchup Preview
 
Nittany Lions (11 - 2) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 12 (37 - 14 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSU is playing their 12th straight game
PSU is playing their 12th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: PSU: 27 - MSU: 22 (49)
PSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
PSU Travel: 366 miles
Spartans (6 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (28 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Penn State's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Penn State vs Akron-23.5
Sat 9/12 Penn State vs Syracuse-23.5
Sat 9/19 Penn State vs Temple-23.5
Sat 9/26 Penn State vs Iowa-23.5
Sat 10/3 Penn State at Illinois+2.5
Sat 10/10 Penn State vs Eastern Illinois-23.5
Sat 10/17 Penn State vs Minnesota-23.5
Sat 10/24 Penn State at Michigan+2.5
Sat 10/31 Penn State at Northwestern+2.5
Sat 11/7 Penn State vs Ohio State-23.5
Sat 11/14 Penn State vs Indiana-23.5
Sat 11/21 Penn State at Michigan State+2.5
Fri 1/1 Penn State vs LSU+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Michigan State's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Michigan State vs Montana State-23.5
Sat 9/12 Michigan State vs Central Michigan-23.5
Sat 9/19 Michigan State at Notre Dame+2.5
Sat 9/26 Michigan State at Wisconsin+2.5
Sat 10/3 Michigan State vs Michigan-23.5
Sat 10/10 Michigan State at Illinois+2.5
Sat 10/17 Michigan State vs Northwestern-23.5
Sat 10/24 Michigan State vs Iowa-23.5
Sat 10/31 Michigan State at Minnesota+2.5
Sat 11/7 Michigan State vs Western Michigan-23.5
Sat 11/14 Michigan State at Purdue+2.5
Sat 11/21 Michigan State vs Penn State-23.5
Sat 1/2 Michigan State vs Texas Tech+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Important Stats (2009)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU.0746%28.846%3.0317045%245-0.08-.0335%12.236%32%-0.3330.81.31.8
MSU.0340%29.735%2.313743%275-0.09.0642%26.340%41%0.0955.41.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU#11 (.32)51% (4)52% (9)3.42 (10)17651% (4)2094.69 (9)#9 (.05)38% (21)39% (27)37% (25)3.22 (18)41.40.81.3
MSU#105 (.13)42% (86)45% (50)2.76 (109)11838% (107)2183.34 (116)#85 (.19)42% (69)39% (25)45% (111)4.06 (98)63.31.60.9



Overall Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Offense1328.836.546.3%-0.081.3214071702454.751%47%46%45%3%.07
MSU Defense1326.319.641.8%0.091.1 - - - - - 42%56%40%41%2%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Defense1312.213.535%-0.331.8 - - - - - 46%52%36%32%2%-.03
MSU Offense1329.728.140.3%-0.091.5204061372754.347%51%35%43%2%.03

Additional Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Penn State1321:052148%50%4.230.81.31.800132.7
Michigan State1317:2919.836%54%6.455.41.51.100230.8
Run Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Offense1351%46%35.9169.84.720.063.0362%0%0.71
MSU Defense1342%40% - - - - .022.8970%0%0.71
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Defense1346%36% - - - - -.072.4777%0%0.74
MSU Offense1347%35%32.2136.84.316-.152.345%0%0.72

Pass Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Offense1347%45%18.530.5245.1813.22510.131.129%37%.273%1.4
MSU Defense1356%41% - - - - - - 6.11.133%31%.122%1.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Defense1352%32% - - - - - - 141.240%25%.12%1.4
MSU Offense1351%43%19.332.5275.58.514.32812.221.233%33%.222%1.5

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Penn State's 2009 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State:    Michigan State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State:    Michigan State:




Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan State's 2009 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Penn State Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 36.5
Defense: 12.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.5

Penn State's 2009 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 27
Michigan State 22

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Penn State 26
Michigan State 23

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Penn State 28
Michigan State 21

Total Points: 49
Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.1
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Michigan State's 2009 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15Michigan State10Penn State28Penn State -7Penn State48.5Under
202311/24Michigan State0Penn State42Penn State -20Penn State42.0Push
202211/26Penn State35Michigan State16Penn State -19Push54.5Under
202111/27Michigan State30Penn State27Penn State -3.5Michigan State51.5Over
202012/12Penn State39Michigan State24Penn State -14.5Penn State45.5Over
201910/26Michigan State7Penn State28Penn State -5.5Penn State41.0Under
201810/13Penn State17Michigan State21Penn State -13.5Michigan State53.5Under
201711/04Michigan State27Penn State24Penn State -10Michigan State46.0Over
201611/26Penn State45Michigan State12Penn State -13.5Penn State53.5Over
201511/28Michigan State55Penn State16Michigan State -11Michigan State43.5Over
201411/29Penn State10Michigan State34Michigan State -11.5Michigan State0
201011/27Penn State22Michigan State28
200911/21Michigan State14Penn State42
200811/22Penn State49Michigan State18
200711/17Michigan State35Penn State31
200611/18Penn State17Michigan State13
200511/19Michigan State22Penn State31
200411/20Penn State37Michigan State13
200311/22Michigan State41Penn State10
200111/24Michigan State37Penn State42
200011/17Penn State42Michigan State23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan State855 Overs
Penn State1354 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 95 - 53 - 12 - 4
Road Teams9 - 125 - 54 - 21 - 3

(#) PSU at (#) MSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPSUMSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCat
PSU OffMSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffMSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffMSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Michigan State on Offense
CategoryCatMSU OffPSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSU OffPSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSU OffPSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 54°
Rematch from Week 12
()
Penn State won at Michigan State this year (42-14)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Michigan State in 2023 (42-0)
Penn State beat Michigan State in 2022 (35-16)

  
PSU's OC ()
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PSU's DC ()
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MSU's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSU's DC ()
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD