Penn State at Michigan - 2009 Matchup Preview
Penn State logo Penn State Nittany Lions at Michigan WolverinesMichigan logo
Saturday, October 24th 2009 (3:30 PM EDT)
Penn State 35 - Michigan: 10  (Big Ten)

 
Nittany Lions (11 - 2) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 12 (37 - 14 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 13.9 MPH
MICH 2nd straight Home Game
MICH is playing their 8th straight game
PSU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: PSU: 28 - MICH: 25 (53)
PSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
PSU Travel: 321 miles
Wolverines (5 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 28 (34 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Penn State's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Penn State vs Akron-23.5
Sat 9/12 Penn State vs Syracuse-23.5
Sat 9/19 Penn State vs Temple-23.5
Sat 9/26 Penn State vs Iowa-23.5
Sat 10/3 Penn State at Illinois+2.5
Sat 10/10 Penn State vs Eastern Illinois-23.5
Sat 10/17 Penn State vs Minnesota-23.5
Sat 10/24 Penn State at Michigan+2.5
Sat 10/31 Penn State at Northwestern+2.5
Sat 11/7 Penn State vs Ohio State-23.5
Sat 11/14 Penn State vs Indiana-23.5
Sat 11/21 Penn State at Michigan State+2.5
Fri 1/1 Penn State vs LSU+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Michigan's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Michigan vs Western Michigan-23.5
Sat 9/12 Michigan vs Notre Dame-23.5
Sat 9/19 Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-23.5
Sat 9/26 Michigan vs Indiana-23.5
Sat 10/3 Michigan at Michigan State+2.5
Sat 10/10 Michigan at Iowa+2.5
Sat 10/17 Michigan vs Delaware State-23.5
Sat 10/24 Michigan vs Penn State-23.5
Sat 10/31 Michigan at Illinois+2.5
Sat 11/7 Michigan vs Purdue-23.5
Sat 11/14 Michigan at Wisconsin+2.5
Sat 11/21 Michigan vs Ohio State-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2009)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU.0746%28.846%3.0317045%245-0.08-.0335%12.236%32%-0.3330.81.31.8
MICH.0344%29.546%2.6218639%213-0.09.0541%27.541%38%-0.0943.12.31.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU#11 (.32)51% (4)52% (9)3.42 (10)17651% (4)2094.69 (9)#9 (.05)38% (21)39% (27)37% (25)3.22 (18)41.40.81.3
MICH#113 (.1)40% (102)41% (101)3 (80)14940% (92)1234.18 (45)#40 (.13)38% (28)38% (18)39% (42)3.48 (36)36.81.51.2



Overall Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Offense1328.836.546.3%-0.081.3214071702454.751%47%46%45%3%.07
MICH Defense1227.523.941%-0.091.3 - - - - - 53%44%41%38%2%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Defense1312.213.535%-0.331.8 - - - - - 46%52%36%32%2%-.03
MICH Offense1229.533.643.7%-0.092.3203851862134.554%44%46%39%3%.03

Additional Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Penn State1321:052148%50%4.230.81.31.800132.7
Michigan1217:2619.640%37%4.843.12.31.300332.2
Run Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Offense1351%46%35.9169.84.720.063.0362%0%0.71
MICH Defense1253%41% - - - - 2.5663%0%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Defense1346%36% - - - - -.072.4777%0%0.74
MICH Offense1254%46%41.2186.24.527-.032.6270%0%0.6

Pass Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Offense1347%45%18.530.5245.1813.22510.131.129%37%.273%1.4
MICH Defense1244%38% - - - - - - 11.141.233%31%.232%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Defense1352%32% - - - - - - 141.240%25%.12%1.4
MICH Offense1244%39%15.827.4213.37.813.51515.111.234%32%.213%1.5

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Penn State's 2009 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State:    Michigan: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State:    Michigan:




Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan's 2009 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Penn State Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 36.5
Defense: 12.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.5

Penn State's 2009 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 28
Michigan 25

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Michigan 28
Penn State 27

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Penn State 29
Michigan 22

Total Points: 51
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.6
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.9

Michigan's 2009 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11Penn State15Michigan24Michigan -4.0Michigan44.5Under
202210/15Michigan41Penn State17Michigan -7Michigan49.0Over
202111/13Penn State17Michigan21Michigan -2.5Michigan48.0Under
202011/28Michigan17Penn State27Michigan -1.0Penn State56.0Under
201910/19Penn State28Michigan21Penn State -7.5Michigan47.0Over
201811/03Michigan42Penn State7Michigan -13.5Michigan48.0Over
201710/21Penn State42Michigan13Penn State -7.5Penn State42.5Over
201609/24Michigan49Penn State10Michigan -15.5Michigan56.0Over
201511/21Penn State16Michigan28Michigan -5Michigan43.0Over
201410/11Michigan18Penn State13Penn State -2Michigan0
201310/12Penn State43Michigan40Michigan -1Penn State0
201010/30Penn State41Michigan31
200910/24Michigan10Penn State35
200810/18Penn State46Michigan17
200709/22Michigan14Penn State9
200610/14Penn State10Michigan17
200510/15Michigan27Penn State25
200210/12Michigan27Penn State24
200110/06Penn State0Michigan20
200011/10Michigan33Penn State11
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan1386 Overs
Penn State733 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 76 - 54 - 22 - 3
Road Teams7 - 135 - 63 - 22 - 4

(#) PSU at (#) MICH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPSUMICH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCat
PSU OffMICH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffMICH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffMICH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatMICH OffPSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffPSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatMICH OffPSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 44° - Wind: 14 mph
Rain: 0.012
Rematch from Week 8
()
Penn State won at Michigan this year (35-10)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Penn State in 2023 (24-15)
Michigan beat Penn State in 2022 (41-17)

  
PSU's OC ()
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PSU's DC ()
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MICH's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MICH's DC ()
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