Duke at NC State - 2009 Matchup Preview
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at NC State WolfpackNC State logo
Saturday, October 10th 2009 (4:00 PM EDT)
Duke 49 - NC State: 28  (ACC)

 
Blue Devils (5 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 28 (25 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NCST is playing their 6th straight game
DUKE is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: DUKE: 25 - NCST: 34 (59)
DUKE Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
DUKE Travel: 18 miles
Wolfpack (5 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 31 (34 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Duke vs Richmond-23.5
Sat 9/12 Duke at Army+2.5
Sat 9/19 Duke at Kansas+2.5
Sat 9/26 Duke vs North Carolina Central-23.5
Sat 10/3 Duke vs Virginia Tech-23.5
Sat 10/10 Duke at NC State+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Duke vs Maryland-23.5
Sat 10/31 Duke at Virginia+2.5
Sat 11/7 Duke at North Carolina+2.5
Sat 11/14 Duke vs Georgia Tech-23.5
Sat 11/21 Duke at Miami+2.5
Sat 11/28 Duke vs Wake Forest-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
NC State's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 NC State vs South Carolina-23.5
Sat 9/12 NC State vs Murray State-23.5
Sat 9/19 NC State vs Gardner-Webb-23.5
Sat 9/26 NC State vs Pittsburgh-23.5
Sat 10/3 NC State at Wake Forest+2.5
Sat 10/10 NC State vs Duke-23.5
Sat 10/17 NC State at Boston College+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 NC State at Florida State+2.5
Sat 11/7 NC State vs Maryland-23.5
Sat 11/14 NC State vs Clemson-23.5
Sat 11/21 NC State at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 11/28 NC State vs North Carolina-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Important Stats (2009)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE.0338%25.231%2.196440%322-0.43.0743%28.343%40%-0.1841.21.31.5
NCST.0640%30.338%2.6312141%290-0.17.0745%31.243%44%-0.0843.32.11.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
NCST#26 (.25)45% (36)44% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (20)2153.97 (61)#86 (.19)41% (59)39% (31)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4



Overall Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1225.22538%-0.431.319369643222.336%62%31%40%2%.03
NCST Defense1231.226.144.5%-0.081.2 - - - - - 49%49%43%44%2%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1228.326.842.9%-0.181.5 - - - - - 54%44%43%40%1%.07
NCST Offense1230.333.540.3%-0.172.1223941212903.547%52%38%41%3%.06

Additional Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1218:3319.137%55%4.841.21.31.500232.1
NC State1219:4422.245%37%5.343.32.11.200129.3
Run Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1236%31%28.363.52.36-.182.1962%0%0.65
NCST Defense1249%43% - - - - -.012.7667%0%0.67
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1254%43% - - - - .012.8876%0%0.67
NCST Offense1247%38%34.9120.93.515-.022.6375%0%0.81

Pass Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1262%40%25.741.8321.77.712.52410.151.334%31%.132%1.4
NCST Defense1249%44% - - - - - - 8.181.231%30%.22%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1244%40% - - - - - - 8.161.332%34%.231%1.4
NCST Offense1252%41%20.735.1290.48.314.13213.141.335%35%.233%1.4

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2009 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke:    NC State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke:    NC State:




NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2009 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Duke Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.8

Duke's 2009 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
NC State 34
Duke 25

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 38
Duke 24

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
NC State 30
Duke 27

Total Points: 57
NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 31.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.1

NC State's 2009 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Duke45NC State33Duke -3Duke57.5Over
202411/09NC State19Duke29NC State -3.5Duke51.5Under
202310/14Duke24NC State3Duke -3.5Duke44.0Under
202010/17NC State31Duke20NC State -3.5NC State59.5Under
201311/09Duke38NC State20Duke -9Duke0
200910/10NC State28Duke49
200811/08Duke17NC State27
200310/25Duke21NC State28
200210/19NC State24Duke22
200111/03Duke31NC State55
200011/10NC State35Duke31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
NC State611 Overs
Duke543 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 54 - 14 - 10 - 0
Road Teams5 - 61 - 40 - 01 - 4

(#) DUKE at (#) NCST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatDUKENCST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCat
DUKE OffNCST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffNCST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffNCST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
NC State on Offense
CategoryCatNCST OffDUKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
NC State Run Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
NC State Pass Game
CategoryCatNCST OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 78° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 6
()
Duke won at NC State this year (49-28)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat NC State last year (29-19)
Duke beat NC State in 2023 (24-3)

  
DUKE's OC ()
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DUKE's DC ()
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NCST's OC ()
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NCST's DC ()
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