Michigan State at Purdue - 2007 Matchup Preview
Michigan State logo Michigan State Spartans at Purdue BoilermakersPurdue logo
Saturday, November 10th 2007 (12:00 PM EST)
Michigan State 48 - Purdue: 31  (Big Ten)

 
Spartans (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 27 (31 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PUR is playing their 11th straight game
MSU is playing their 11th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MSU: 25 - PUR: 30 (55)
MSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MSU Travel: 202 miles
Boilermakers (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (33 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Michigan State's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Michigan State vs UAB-23.5
Sat 9/8 Michigan State vs Bowling Green-23.5
Sat 9/15 Michigan State vs Pittsburgh-23.5
Sat 9/22 Michigan State at Notre Dame+2.5
Sat 9/29 Michigan State at Wisconsin+2.5
Sat 10/6 Michigan State vs Northwestern-23.5
Sat 10/13 Michigan State vs Indiana-23.5
Sat 10/20 Michigan State at Ohio State+2.5
Sat 10/27 Michigan State at Iowa+2.5
Sat 11/3 Michigan State vs Michigan-23.5
Sat 11/10 Michigan State at Purdue+2.5
Sat 11/17 Michigan State vs Penn State-23.5
Fri 12/28 Michigan State vs Boston College-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Purdue's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Purdue at Toledo+2.5
Sat 9/8 Purdue vs Eastern Illinois-23.5
Sat 9/15 Purdue vs Central Michigan-23.5
Sat 9/22 Purdue at Minnesota+2.5
Sat 9/29 Purdue vs Notre Dame-23.5
Sat 10/6 Purdue vs Ohio State-23.5
Sat 10/13 Purdue at Michigan+2.5
Sat 10/20 Purdue vs Iowa-23.5
Sat 10/27 Purdue vs Northwestern-23.5
Sat 11/3 Purdue at Penn State+2.5
Sat 11/10 Purdue vs Michigan State-23.5
Sat 11/17 Purdue at Indiana+2.5
Wed 12/26 Purdue at Central Michigan+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Important Stats (2007)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSU.0541%33.141%3.1419839%233-0.1438%26.637%37%048.41.51.9
PUR.0843%34.343%2.7712941%320-0.07.0139%26.538%37%-0.0748.322.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSU#105 (.13)42% (86)45% (50)2.76 (109)11838% (107)2183.34 (116)#85 (.19)42% (69)39% (25)45% (111)4.06 (98)63.31.60.9
PUR#112 (.11)41% (96)42% (90)3.04 (65)11640% (93)1843.34 (115)#134 (.39)49% (129)49% (120)50% (129)4.82 (134)51.81.60.4



Overall Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSU Offense1333.131.441%-0.141.5204171982334.455%43%41%39%3%.05
PUR Defense1326.520.138.9%-0.072.2 - - - - - 45%53%38%37%2%.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSU Defense1326.62838.2%01.9 - - - - - 47%51%37%37%2%
PUR Offense1334.333.442.9%-0.072244361293204.137%61%43%41%2%.08

Additional Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan State1318:3820.541%58%548.41.51.900233.4
Purdue1318:1624.240%61%5.948.322.200129.7
Run Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSU Offense1355%41%44.6198.24.429.023.1470%0%0.73
PUR Defense1345%38% - - - - -.052.8666%0%0.78
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSU Defense1347%37% - - - - -.042.5759%0%0.75
PUR Offense1337%43%31.8128.84.122-.012.7770%0%0.7

Pass Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSU Offense1343%39%17.830.2233.57.713.12111.111.331%32%.253%1.5
PUR Defense1353%37% - - - - - - 14.081.336%32%.22%1.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSU Defense1351%37% - - - - - - 12.051.136%30%.152%1.4
PUR Offense1361%41%28.445.7320.4711.33013.151.134%33%.232%1.5

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan State's 2007 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan State:    Purdue: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State:    Purdue:




Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Purdue's 2007 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.4
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Michigan State's 2007 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Purdue 30
Michigan State 25

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Purdue 29
Michigan State 22

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Purdue 31
Michigan State 28

Total Points: 59
Purdue Scoring
Offense: 34.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.4
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.1

Purdue's 2007 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/22Michigan State24Purdue17Michigan State -14Purdue49.0Under
202111/06Purdue40Michigan State29Michigan State -2.5Purdue53.0Over
201810/27Michigan State23Purdue13Purdue -2.5Michigan State48.5Under
201510/03Michigan State24Purdue21Michigan State -24.5Purdue53.0Under
201410/11Purdue31Michigan State45Michigan State -21.5Purdue0
201310/19Michigan State14Purdue0Michigan State -21Purdue0
201011/20Michigan State35Purdue31
200911/14Purdue37Michigan State40
200811/08Michigan State21Purdue7
200711/10Purdue31Michigan State48
200611/04Michigan State15Purdue17
200511/05Purdue28Michigan State21
200211/16Michigan State42Purdue45
200111/17Purdue24Michigan State14
200011/10Michigan State30Purdue10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Purdue551 Overs
Michigan State1013 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 53 - 30 - 33 - 0
Road Teams5 - 103 - 30 - 33 - 0

(#) MSU at (#) PUR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMSUPUR
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Michigan State on Offense
CategoryCat
MSU OffPUR Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSU OffPUR Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MSU OffPUR Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCatPUR OffMSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffMSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCatPUR OffMSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 49°
Rematch from Week 11
()
Michigan State won at Purdue this year (48-31)

Previous Matchups
Michigan State beat Purdue last year (24-17)

  
MSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PUR's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD