Texas at Baylor - 2007 Matchup Preview
Texas logo (#21)Texas Longhorns at Baylor BearsBaylor logo
Saturday, October 20th 2007 (12:30 PM EDT)
Texas 31 - Baylor: 10  (Big 12)

 
Longhorns (10 - 3) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 25 (38 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 20.8 MPH
TEX 2nd straight Road Game
BAY is playing their 8th straight game
TEX is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: TEX: 41 - BAY: 19 (60)
TEX Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
TEX Travel: 93 miles
Bears (3 - 9) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 37 (19 - 35 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Texas vs Arkansas State-23.5
Sat 9/8 Texas vs TCU-23.5
Sat 9/15 Texas at UCF+2.5
Sat 9/22 Texas vs Rice-23.5
Sat 9/29 Texas vs Kansas State-23.5
Sat 10/6 Texas vs Oklahoma-23.5
Sat 10/13 Texas at Iowa State+2.5
Sat 10/20 Texas at Baylor+2.5
Sat 10/27 Texas vs Nebraska-23.5
Sat 11/3 Texas at Oklahoma State+2.5
Sat 11/10 Texas vs Texas Tech-23.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/23 Texas at Texas A&M+2.5
Thu 12/27 Texas vs Arizona State-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas's Schedule
Baylor's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Baylor at TCU+2.5
Sat 9/8 Baylor vs Rice-23.5
Sat 9/15 Baylor vs Texas State-23.5
Sat 9/22 Baylor at Buffalo+2.5
Sat 9/29 Baylor at Texas A&M+2.5
Sat 10/6 Baylor vs Colorado-23.5
Sat 10/13 Baylor at Kansas+2.5
Sat 10/20 Baylor vs Texas-23.5
Sat 10/27 Baylor at Kansas State+2.5
Sat 11/3 Baylor vs Texas Tech-23.5
Sat 11/10 Baylor at Oklahoma+2.5
Sat 11/17 Baylor vs Oklahoma State-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Important Stats (2007)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX.145%37.243%2.9520845%266-0.13.0341%25.340%40%-0.0855.42.22.2
BAY-.0338%18.235%2.217838%2890.1248%3748%45%-0.0743.43.41.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)49% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)42% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8
BAY#29 (.25)47% (23)46% (37)3.19 (43)17448% (14)2274.28 (30)#74 (.18)39% (38)38% (13)42% (78)3.85 (77)58.111.6



Overall Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Offense1337.23845.3%-0.132.224463208266550%48%43%45%2%.1
BAY Defense123734.848.3%-0.071.6 - - - - - 49%48%48%45%2%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Defense1325.323.641.2%-0.082.2 - - - - - 42%57%40%40%2%.03
BAY Offense1218.219.237.6%03.419351782893.132%68%35%38%4%-.03

Additional Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas1318:3723.947%64%6.255.42.22.200332.5
Baylor1217:0618.535%30%5.843.43.41.600028.4
Run Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Offense1350%43%41.5207.5535.032.9563%0%0.79
BAY Defense1249%48% - - - - .023.1171%0%0.66
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Defense1342%40% - - - - -.092.465%0%0.69
BAY Offense1232%35%24.877.93.15-.122.2167%0%0.81

Pass Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Offense1348%45%21.333.5266.57.912.52218.171.232%34%.252%1.6
BAY Defense1248%45% - - - - - - 10.241.230%37%.272%1.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Defense1357%40% - - - - - - 17.111.234%31%.182%1.6
BAY Offense1268%38%25.846.8288.56.211.22327.01135%29%.194%1.6

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: NR
Texas's Offense Rating: NR
Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas's 2007 Expected Record: -
Texas's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas:    Baylor: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas:    Baylor:




Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Baylor's 2007 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Texas Scoring
Offense: 37.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 38
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Texas's 2007 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas 41
Baylor 19


Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Texas 44
Baylor 17

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Texas 37
Baylor 22

Total Points: 59
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 18.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.2
Defense: 37 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.8

Baylor's 2007 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Baylor6Texas38Texas -17.5Texas49.5Under
202211/25Texas38Baylor27Texas -10Texas55.0Over
202110/30Baylor31Texas24Baylor -2Baylor61.5Under
202010/24Texas27Baylor16Texas -11Push61.5Under
201911/23Baylor24Texas10Baylor -3.5Baylor58.0Under
201810/13Texas23Baylor17Texas -14Baylor58.5Under
201710/28Baylor7Texas38Texas -10Texas52.5Under
201610/29Texas35Baylor34Baylor -3.5Texas75.5Under
201512/05Baylor17Texas23Baylor -20.5Texas63.5Under
201410/04Texas7Baylor28Baylor -13Baylor0
201312/07Baylor30Texas10Baylor -13Baylor0
201210/20Texas56Baylor50
201112/03Baylor48Texas24
201010/30Texas22Baylor30
200911/14Baylor14Texas47
200811/08Texas45Baylor21
200710/20Baylor10Texas31
200610/14Texas63Baylor31
200511/05Baylor0Texas62
200410/02Texas44Baylor14
200310/25Baylor0Texas56
200211/09Texas41Baylor0
200111/03Baylor10Texas49
200010/27Texas48Baylor14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Baylor651 Overs
Texas1858 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 105 - 54 - 21 - 3
Road Teams10 - 145 - 53 - 12 - 4

(#) TEX at (#) BAY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTEXBAY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Texas on Offense
CategoryCat
TEX OffBAY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas Run Game
CategoryCat
TEX OffBAY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Texas Pass Game
CategoryCat
TEX OffBAY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCatBAY OffTEX Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffTEX Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCatBAY OffTEX Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BAY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TEX 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Floyd Casey Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 82° - Wind: 21 mph
Rematch from Week 8
()
Texas won at Baylor this year (31-10)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Baylor in 2023 (38-6)
Texas beat Baylor in 2022 (38-27)

  
TEX's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TEX's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BAY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BAY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD