Buffalo at Ball State - 2007 Matchup Preview
Buffalo logo Buffalo Bulls at Ball State CardinalsBall State logo
Saturday, September 29th 2007 (12:00 PM EDT)
Ball State 49 - Buffalo: 14  (Mid-American)

 
Bulls (5 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 28 (22 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BALL is playing their 5th straight game
BUFF is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: BUFF: 30 - BALL: 31 (61)
BUFF Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
BUFF Travel: 393 miles
Cardinals (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 28 (34 - 28 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/30 Buffalo at Rutgers+2.5
Sat 9/8 Buffalo at Temple+2.5
Sat 9/15 Buffalo at Penn State+2.5
Sat 9/22 Buffalo vs Baylor-23.5
Sat 9/29 Buffalo at Ball State+2.5
Sat 10/6 Buffalo vs Ohio-23.5
Sat 10/13 Buffalo vs Toledo-23.5
Sat 10/20 Buffalo at Syracuse+2.5
Sat 10/27 Buffalo vs Akron-23.5
Sat 11/3 Buffalo at Miami (OH)+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/17 Buffalo vs Bowling Green-23.5
Sat 11/24 Buffalo at Kent State+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Ball State's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/30 Ball State vs Miami (OH)-23.5
Sat 9/8 Ball State at Eastern Michigan+2.5
Sat 9/15 Ball State at Navy+2.5
Sat 9/22 Ball State at Nebraska+2.5
Sat 9/29 Ball State vs Buffalo-23.5
Sat 10/6 Ball State vs Central Michigan-23.5
Sat 10/13 Ball State vs Western Kentucky-23.5
Sat 10/20 Ball State at Western Michigan+2.5
Sat 10/27 Ball State at Illinois+2.5
Sat 11/3 Ball State at Indiana+2.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/13 Ball State vs Toledo-23.5
Sat 11/24 Ball State at Northern Illinois+2.5
Sat 1/5 Ball State vs Rutgers-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
Important Stats (2007)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF-.0138%24.333%1.9613039%2330.1748%27.649%46%053.51.41.8
BALL.0943%31.542%2.9114941%2940.0944%28.343%43%053.80.92.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF#77 (.17)40% (104)38% (115)2.7 (117)15342% (70)1764.22 (41)#72 (.17)43% (82)43% (71)43% (97)3.84 (74)39.311.5
BALL#98 (.14)42% (78)44% (70)3.06 (61)10341% (72)2453.94 (65)#128 (.32)46% (118)46% (103)47% (121)4.81 (133)45.31.21.3



Overall Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense1224.321.938.4%01.4183481302333.742%54%33%39%0%-.01
BALL Defense1328.328.343.8%02.2 - - - - - 57%41%43%43%3%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1227.630.448.3%01.8 - - - - - 57%41%49%46%0%.17
BALL Offense1331.534.342.8%00.9224011492944.245%53%42%41%2%.09

Additional Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1217:5718.335%52%6.253.51.41.800125.4
Ball State1318:5122.247%50%5.853.80.92.200231.8
Run Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1242%33%35.61303.718-.181.9653%0%0.68
BALL Defense1357%43% - - - - .053.0671%0%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1257%49% - - - - .143.2168%0%0.84
BALL Offense1345%42%35.8148.94.218.012.9153%0%0.7

Pass Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1254%39%21.831.8232.87.310.7166.161.235%36%.240%1.2
BALL Defense1341%43% - - - - - - 19.151.131%35%.253%1.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1241%46% - - - - - - 11.21.329%44%.50%1.7
BALL Offense1353%41%2137.2293.67.914306.181.433%34%.272%1.6

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2007 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo:    Ball State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo:    Ball State:




Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ball State's 2007 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.9
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.4

Buffalo's 2007 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Ball State 31
Buffalo 30

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Buffalo 33
Ball State 32

Total Points: 65

Based on Entire Season
Ball State 31
Buffalo 26

Total Points: 57
Ball State Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.3
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.3

Ball State's 2007 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/12Buffalo51Ball State48Buffalo -3.5Ball State55.5Over
202111/23Ball State20Buffalo3Ball State -6Ball State59.5Under
202012/18Buffalo28Ball State38Buffalo -13Ball State69.5Under
201711/16Ball State24Buffalo40Buffalo -18.5Ball State54.5Over
201610/15Buffalo21Ball State31Ball State -9Ball State52.5Under
201109/17Ball State28Buffalo25
201011/12Buffalo3Ball State20
200812/05Buffalo42Ball State24
200709/29Ball State49Buffalo14
200610/07Buffalo25Ball State55
200010/20Buffalo35Ball State44
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ball State852 Overs
Buffalo303 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 62 - 31 - 21 - 1
Road Teams6 - 53 - 21 - 12 - 1

(#) BUFF at (#) BALL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBUFFBALL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCat
BUFF OffBALL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffBALL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffBALL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Ball State on Offense
CategoryCatBALL OffBUFF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ball State Run Game
CategoryCat
BALL OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ball State Pass Game
CategoryCatBALL OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BALL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scheumann Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 73° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 5
()
Ball State won vs Buffalo this year (49-14)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Ball State last year (51-48)

  
BUFF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BUFF's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BALL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BALL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD