TCU at Air Force - 2007 Matchup Preview
TCU logo TCU Horned Frogs at Air Force FalconsAir Force logo
Thursday, September 13th 2007 (8:00 PM EDT)
Air Force 20 - TCU: 17  (Mountain West)

 
Horned Frogs (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (25 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 16.1 MPH
TCU 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: TCU: 22 - AFA: 26 (48)
TCU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
TCU Travel: 603 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Falcons (9 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (32 - 17 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
TCU's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 TCU vs Baylor-23.5
Sat 9/8 TCU at Texas+2.5
Thu 9/13 TCU at Air Force+2.5
Sat 9/22 TCU vs SMU-23.5
Sat 9/29 TCU vs Colorado State-23.5
Sat 10/6 TCU at Wyoming+2.5
Sat 10/13 TCU at Stanford+2.5
Thu 10/18 TCU vs Utah-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3 TCU vs New Mexico-23.5
Thu 11/8 TCU at BYU+2.5
Sat 11/17 TCU vs UNLV-23.5
Sat 11/24 TCU at San Diego State+2.5
Fri 12/28 TCU at Houston+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Air Force's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Air Force vs South Carolina State-23.5
Sat 9/8 Air Force at Utah+2.5
Thu 9/13 Air Force vs TCU-23.5
Sat 9/22 Air Force at BYU+2.5
Sat 9/29 Air Force at Navy+2.5
Sat 10/6 Air Force vs UNLV-23.5
Sat 10/13 Air Force at Colorado State+2.5
Sat 10/20 Air Force vs Wyoming-23.5
Thu 10/25 Air Force at New Mexico+2.5
Sat 11/3 Air Force vs Army-23.5
Sat 11/10 Air Force at Notre Dame+2.5
Sat 11/17 Air Force vs San Diego State-23.5
Mon 12/31 Air Force vs California-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Important Stats (2007)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU-41%26.140%2.8216540%236-0.08-.0236%18.733%36%-0.1356.82.41.6
AFA.1143%29.942%3.0530042%127-0.16.0540%21.137%41%044.21.42.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)45% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)46% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1
AFA#103 (.13)42% (77)45% (60)3.03 (68)22531% (131)904.02 (56)#88 (.2)42% (68)41% (47)43% (89)3.97 (84)281.31



Overall Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Offense1326.125.141.3%-0.082.4223871652363.750%48%40%40%2%-
AFA Defense1321.117.339.7%02.3 - - - - - 50%48%37%41%2%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Defense1318.726.735.8%-0.131.6 - - - - - 47%51%33%36%2%-.02
AFA Offense1329.932.343.5%-0.161.4214193001275.472%26%42%42%2%.11

Additional Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
TCU1318:2922.239%46%6.556.82.41.600436.2
Air Force1318:4221.342%68%4.844.21.42.300130.2
Run Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Offense1350%40%44.21653.721-.062.8264%0%0.59
AFA Defense1350%37% - - - - -.12.6658%0%0.66
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Defense1347%33% - - - - -.152.2960%0%0.67
AFA Offense1372%42%55.5299.55.436.073.0567%0%0.84

Pass Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Offense1348%40%19.934.1235.86.911.81312.071.333%33%.162%1.4
AFA Defense1348%41% - - - - - - 15.211.433%32%.212%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Defense1351%36% - - - - - - 16.11.338%31%.192%1.4
AFA Offense1326%42%1016.5127.47.712.795.241.330%36%.272%1.4

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
TCU's 2007 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU:    Air Force: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU:    Air Force:




Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Air Force's 2007 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


TCU Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.1
Defense: 18.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.7

TCU's 2007 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Air Force 26
TCU 22

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Air Force 25
TCU 22

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
Air Force 27
TCU 23

Total Points: 50
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.3

Air Force's 2007 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201109/10Air Force19TCU35
201010/23TCU38Air Force7
200910/10Air Force17TCU20
200811/22TCU44Air Force10
200709/13Air Force20TCU17
200612/02TCU38Air Force14
200510/22Air Force10TCU48
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Air Force100 Overs
TCU600 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 30 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams3 - 40 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#) TCU at (#) AFA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTCUAFA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCat
TCU OffAFA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Air Force on Offense
CategoryCatAFA OffTCU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Air Force Run Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
CategoryCatAFA OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 71° - Wind: 16 mph
Rematch from Week 3
()
Air Force won vs TCU this year (20-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TCU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TCU's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

AFA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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AFA's DC ()
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD