Air Force at BYU - 2007 Matchup Preview
Air Force logo Air Force Falcons at BYU CougarsBYU logo
Saturday, September 22nd 2007 (3:06 PM EDT)
BYU 31 - Air Force: 6  (Mountain West)

 
Falcons (9 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (27 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BYU is playing their 4th straight game
AFA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: AFA: 22 - BYU: 22 (44)
AFA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
AFA Travel: 373 miles
Cougars (11 - 2) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (27 - 12 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Air Force's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Air Force vs South Carolina State-23.5
Sat 9/8 Air Force at Utah+2.5
Thu 9/13 Air Force vs TCU-23.5
Sat 9/22 Air Force at BYU+2.5
Sat 9/29 Air Force at Navy+2.5
Sat 10/6 Air Force vs UNLV-23.5
Sat 10/13 Air Force at Colorado State+2.5
Sat 10/20 Air Force vs Wyoming-23.5
Thu 10/25 Air Force at New Mexico+2.5
Sat 11/3 Air Force vs Army-23.5
Sat 11/10 Air Force at Notre Dame+2.5
Sat 11/17 Air Force vs San Diego State-23.5
Mon 12/31 Air Force vs California-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
BYU's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 BYU vs Arizona-23.5
Sat 9/8 BYU at UCLA+2.5
Sat 9/15 BYU at Tulsa+2.5
Sat 9/22 BYU vs Air Force-23.5
Sat 9/29 BYU at New Mexico+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 BYU at UNLV+2.5
Sat 10/20 BYU vs Eastern Washington-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3 BYU vs Colorado State-23.5
Thu 11/8 BYU vs TCU-23.5
Sat 11/17 BYU at Wyoming+2.5
Sat 11/24 BYU vs Utah-23.5
Sat 12/1 BYU at San Diego State+2.5
Sat 12/22 BYU vs UCLA-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Important Stats (2007)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA.1143%29.942%3.0530042%127-0.16.0540%21.137%41%044.21.42.3
BYU.1245%30.142%3.0414446%3080-.0336%18.536%34%059.12.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA#103 (.13)42% (77)45% (60)3.03 (68)22531% (131)904.02 (56)#88 (.2)42% (68)41% (47)43% (89)3.97 (84)281.31
BYU#51 (.22)45% (44)47% (30)3.23 (37)14843% (59)2163.73 (88)#41 (.13)41% (65)46% (99)37% (28)3.79 (68)371.42.1



Overall Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Offense1329.927.243.5%-0.161.4214193001275.472%26%42%42%2%.11
BYU Defense1318.51236.4%01.6 - - - - - 44%54%36%34%2%-.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Defense1321.125.539.7%02.3 - - - - - 50%48%37%41%2%.05
BYU Offense1330.12744.8%02.5244431443083.846%52%42%46%2%.12

Additional Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Air Force1318:4221.342%68%4.844.21.42.300130.2
BYU1319:2824.245%68%6.959.12.51.600230.7
Run Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Offense1372%42%55.5299.55.436.073.0567%0%0.84
BYU Defense1344%36% - - - - -.092.7768%0%0.68
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Defense1350%37% - - - - -.12.6658%0%0.66
BYU Offense1346%42%37.9144.43.824-.013.0471%0%0.66

Pass Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Offense1326%42%1016.5127.47.712.795.241.330%36%.272%1.4
BYU Defense1354%34% - - - - - - 16.011.235%27%.122%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Defense1348%41% - - - - - - 15.211.433%32%.212%1.5
BYU Offense1352%46%23.138.7307.7813.32613.241.231%37%.342%1.5

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Air Force's 2007 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    BYU: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    BYU:




BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
BYU's Offense Rating: NR
BYU's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
BYU's 2007 Expected Record: -
BYU's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Air Force Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5

Air Force's 2007 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Air Force 22
BYU 22

Total Points: 44

Based on Last 4 Games
Air Force 21
BYU 19

Total Points: 40

Based on Entire Season
BYU 26
Air Force 22

Total Points: 48
BYU Scoring
Offense: 30.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 27
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 12

BYU's 2007 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201009/11Air Force35BYU14
200911/21BYU38Air Force21
200811/15Air Force24BYU38
200709/22BYU31Air Force6
200610/28Air Force14BYU33
200510/29BYU62Air Force41
200410/23Air Force24BYU41
200309/27BYU10Air Force24
200210/12Air Force52BYU9
200110/20BYU63Air Force33
200009/08Air Force31BYU23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
BYU700 Overs
Air Force400 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 40 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams4 - 70 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#) AFA at (#) BYU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAFABYU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Air Force on Offense
CategoryCat
AFA OffBYU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Air Force Run Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffBYU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffBYU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
BYU on Offense
CategoryCatBYU OffAFA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
BYU Run Game
CategoryCat
BYU OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
BYU Pass Game
CategoryCatBYU OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BYU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in LaVell Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 69°
Rematch from Week 4
()
BYU won vs Air Force this year (31-6)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
AFA's OC ()
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AFA's DC ()
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BYU's OC ()
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BYU's DC ()
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