Ball State at Buffalo - 2006 Matchup Preview
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Saturday, October 7th 2006 (1:00 PM EDT)
Ball State 55 - Buffalo: 25  (Mid-American)

 
Cardinals (5 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 26 (26 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BUFF coming off BYE
BALL is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: BALL: 26 - BUFF: 24 (50)
BALL Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
BALL Travel: 393 miles
Bulls (2 - 10) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 36 (27 - 33 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ball State's 2006 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Ball State vs Eastern Michigan-23.5
Sat 9/9 Ball State vs Indiana-23.5
Sat 9/16 Ball State at Purdue+2.5
Sat 9/23 Ball State vs North Dakota State-23.5
Sat 9/30 Ball State vs Northern Illinois-23.5
Sat 10/7 Ball State at Buffalo+2.5
Sat 10/14 Ball State at Central Michigan+2.5
Sat 10/21 Ball State vs Western Michigan-23.5
Sat 10/28 Ball State at Miami (OH)+2.5
Sat 11/4 Ball State at Michigan+2.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/14 Ball State at Toledo+2.5
Fri 11/24 Ball State vs Kent State-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
Buffalo's 2006 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Buffalo vs Temple-23.5
Sat 9/9 Buffalo at Bowling Green+2.5
Sat 9/16 Buffalo at Northern Illinois+2.5
Sat 9/23 Buffalo at Auburn+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Buffalo vs Ball State-23.5
Sat 10/14 Buffalo vs Miami (OH)-23.5
Sat 10/21 Buffalo at Ohio+2.5
Sat 10/28 Buffalo at Boston College+2.5
Sat 11/4 Buffalo vs Kent State-23.5
Thu 11/9 Buffalo at Akron+2.5
Sat 11/18 Buffalo at Wisconsin+2.5
Fri 11/24 Buffalo vs Central Michigan-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Important Stats (2006)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL.0237%27.234%2.319237%277-0.1.1241%25.836%43%-0.0942.31.41.5
BUFF-.0534%18.332%2.389035%196-0.38.1245%35.946%41%-0.0846.32.21.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL#98 (.14)42% (78)44% (70)3.06 (61)10341% (72)2453.94 (65)#128 (.32)46% (118)46% (103)47% (121)4.81 (133)45.31.21.3
BUFF#77 (.17)40% (104)38% (115)2.7 (117)15342% (70)1764.22 (41)#72 (.17)43% (82)43% (71)43% (97)3.84 (74)39.311.5



Overall Stats 2006
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Offense1227.22637.4%-0.11.41735192277344%54%34%37%2%.02
BUFF Defense1235.93344.8%-0.081.8 - - - - - 58%41%46%41%2%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Defense1225.824.840.8%-0.091.5 - - - - - 50%47%36%43%2%.12
BUFF Offense1218.326.834.4%-0.382.215268901962.949%49%32%35%4%-.05

Additional Stats 2006
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ball State1217:1717.133%44%542.31.41.500229.8
Buffalo1217:4814.932%36%5.846.32.21.800230
Run Game Stats (2006)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Offense1244%34%30.591.9310-.152.3145%0%0.58
BUFF Defense1258%46% - - - - .083.1767%0%0.78
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Defense1250%36% - - - - .022.5962%0%0.94
BUFF Offense1249%32%31.790.22.915-.122.3864%0%0.77

Pass Game Stats (2006)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Offense1254%37%19.331.1276.88.914.32711.151.432%32%.32%1.7
BUFF Defense1241%41% - - - - - - 10.211.329%35%.382%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Defense1247%43% - - - - - - 9.251.336%31%.272%1.5
BUFF Offense1249%35%16.729.51966.611.8913.041.237%25%.084%1.4

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2006 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ball State's 2006 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2006 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State:    Buffalo: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State:    Buffalo:




Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2006 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Buffalo's 2006 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2006 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Ball State Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.8

Ball State's 2006 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Ball State 26
Buffalo 24

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Buffalo 24
Ball State 22

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
Ball State 31
Buffalo 24

Total Points: 55
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 18.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.8
Defense: 35.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 33

Buffalo's 2006 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/12Buffalo51Ball State48Buffalo -3.5Ball State55.5Over
202111/23Ball State20Buffalo3Ball State -6Ball State59.5Under
202012/18Buffalo28Ball State38Buffalo -13Ball State69.5Under
201711/16Ball State24Buffalo40Buffalo -18.5Ball State54.5Over
201610/15Buffalo21Ball State31Ball State -9Ball State52.5Under
201109/17Ball State28Buffalo25
201011/12Buffalo3Ball State20
200812/05Buffalo42Ball State24
200709/29Ball State49Buffalo14
200610/07Buffalo25Ball State55
200010/20Buffalo35Ball State44
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Buffalo302 Overs
Ball State853 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 62 - 31 - 21 - 1
Road Teams6 - 53 - 21 - 12 - 1

(#) BALL at (#) BUFF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBALLBUFF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ball State on Offense
CategoryCat
BALL OffBUFF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ball State Run Game
CategoryCat
BALL OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ball State Pass Game
CategoryCat
BALL OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCatBUFF OffBALL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffBALL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCatBUFF OffBALL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BUFF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'06 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BALL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'06 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 62° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 6
()
Ball State won at Buffalo this year (55-25)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Ball State last year (51-48)

  
BALL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BALL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BUFF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BUFF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD