North Carolina at Florida State - 2004 Matchup Preview
 
Tar Heels (6 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 32 (25 - 36 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FSU 3rd straight Home Game
FSU is playing their 4th straight game
UNC is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UNC: 20 - FSU: 36 (56)
UNC Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 485 miles
Seminoles (9 - 3) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 14 (32 - 13 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Carolina's 2004 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/4 North Carolina vs William & Mary-23.5
Sat 9/11 North Carolina at Virginia+2.5
Sat 9/18 North Carolina vs Georgia Tech-23.5
Sat 9/25 North Carolina vs Louisville-23.5
Sat 10/2 North Carolina at Florida State+2.5
Sat 10/9 North Carolina vs NC State-23.5
Sat 10/16 North Carolina at Utah+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 North Carolina vs Miami-23.5
Sat 11/6 North Carolina vs Virginia Tech-23.5
Sat 11/13 North Carolina at Wake Forest+2.5
Sat 11/20 North Carolina at Duke+2.5
Thu 12/30 North Carolina vs Boston College-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Florida State's 2004 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/10 Florida State at Miami+2.5
Sat 9/18 Florida State vs UAB-23.5
Sat 9/25 Florida State vs Clemson-23.5
Sat 10/2 Florida State vs North Carolina-23.5
Sat 10/9 Florida State at Syracuse+2.5
Sat 10/16 Florida State vs Virginia-23.5
Sat 10/23 Florida State at Wake Forest+2.5
Sat 10/30 Florida State at Maryland+2.5
Sat 11/6 Florida State vs Duke-23.5
Thu 11/11 Florida State at NC State+2.5
Sat 11/20 Florida State vs Florida-23.5
Sat 1/1 Florida State at West Virginia+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Important Stats (2004)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC0%26.60%000%000%31.80%0%0000
FSU0%25.20%000%000%14.10%0%0000
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)47% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)44% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2
FSU#125 (.06)35% (128)40% (103)2.9 (92)9131% (130)1802.88 (131)#112 (.25)41% (56)42% (62)39% (52)3.62 (46)47.91.80.5



Overall Stats 2004
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Offense1226.625.40%00000000%0%0%0%0%
FSU Defense1214.112.50%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Defense1231.836.20%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
FSU Offense1225.231.80%00000000%0%0%0%0%

Additional Stats 2004
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Carolina120:000NAN%0%0000000100
Florida State120:000NAN%0%0000000100
Run Game Stats (2004)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Offense120%0%000000%0%0
FSU Defense120%0% - - - - 00%0%0
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Defense120%0% - - - - 00%0%0
FSU Offense120%0%000000%0%0

Pass Game Stats (2004)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Offense120%0%000000000%0%0%0
FSU Defense120%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Defense120%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
FSU Offense120%0%000000000%0%0%0

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2004 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Carolina's 2004 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2004 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina:    Florida State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina:    Florida State:




Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2004 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida State's 2004 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2004 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.4
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.2

North Carolina's 2004 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Florida State 36
North Carolina 20

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida State 39
North Carolina 20

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Florida State 32
North Carolina 20

Total Points: 52
Florida State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.8
Defense: 14.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.5

Florida State's 2004 Record
Record: 9 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Florida State11North Carolina35North Carolina -2.5North Carolina50.5Under
202110/09North Carolina25Florida State35North Carolina -17.5Florida State64.5Under
202010/17Florida State31North Carolina28North Carolina -13.5Florida State65.0Under
201610/01Florida State35North Carolina37Florida State -12North Carolina72.5Under
201011/06Florida State35North Carolina37
200910/22North Carolina27Florida State30
200410/02Florida State38North Carolina16
200308/30North Carolina0Florida State37
200109/22North Carolina41Florida State9
200009/15Florida State63North Carolina14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida State620 Overs
North Carolina424 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 61 - 30 - 21 - 1
Road Teams6 - 43 - 11 - 12 - 0

(#) UNC at (#) FSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNCFSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
UNC OffFSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffFSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffFSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Florida State on Offense
CategoryCatFSU OffUNC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida State Run Game
CategoryCat
FSU OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Florida State Pass Game
CategoryCatFSU OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'04 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'04 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 85°
Rematch from Week 6
()
Florida State won vs North Carolina this year (38-16)

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Florida State last year (35-11)

  
UNC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNC's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

FSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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FSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD