Duke at Florida State - 2004 Matchup Preview
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at Florida State SeminolesFlorida State logo
Saturday, November 6th 2004 (1:00 PM EST)
Florida State 29 - Duke: 7  (ACC)

 
Blue Devils (2 - 9) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 29 (14 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
DUKE 2nd straight Road Game
FSU is playing their 9th straight game
DUKE is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: DUKE: 13 - FSU: 27 (40)
DUKE Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
DUKE Travel: 493 miles
Seminoles (9 - 3) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 14 (32 - 13 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2004 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/4 Duke at Navy+2.5
Sat 9/11 Duke at UConn+2.5
Sat 9/18 Duke at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 9/25 Duke vs Maryland-23.5
Sat 10/2 Duke vs The Citadel-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Duke at Georgia Tech+2.5
Sat 10/23 Duke vs Virginia-23.5
Sat 10/30 Duke at Wake Forest+2.5
Sat 11/6 Duke at Florida State+2.5
Sat 11/13 Duke vs Clemson-23.5
Sat 11/20 Duke vs North Carolina-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Florida State's 2004 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/10 Florida State at Miami+2.5
Sat 9/18 Florida State vs UAB-23.5
Sat 9/25 Florida State vs Clemson-23.5
Sat 10/2 Florida State vs North Carolina-23.5
Sat 10/9 Florida State at Syracuse+2.5
Sat 10/16 Florida State vs Virginia-23.5
Sat 10/23 Florida State at Wake Forest+2.5
Sat 10/30 Florida State at Maryland+2.5
Sat 11/6 Florida State vs Duke-23.5
Thu 11/11 Florida State at NC State+2.5
Sat 11/20 Florida State vs Florida-23.5
Sat 1/1 Florida State at West Virginia+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Important Stats (2004)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE0%16.60%000%000%29.30%0%0000
FSU0%25.20%000%000%14.10%0%0000
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
FSU#125 (.06)35% (128)40% (103)2.9 (92)9131% (130)1802.88 (131)#112 (.25)41% (56)42% (62)39% (52)3.62 (46)47.91.80.5



Overall Stats 2004
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1116.614.20%00000000%0%0%0%0%
FSU Defense1214.112.50%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1129.327.80%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
FSU Offense1225.231.80%00000000%0%0%0%0%

Additional Stats 2004
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke110:000NAN%0%0000000100
Florida State120:000NAN%0%0000000100
Run Game Stats (2004)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense110%0%000000%0%0
FSU Defense120%0% - - - - 00%0%0
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense110%0% - - - - 00%0%0
FSU Offense120%0%000000%0%0

Pass Game Stats (2004)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense110%0%000000000%0%0%0
FSU Defense120%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense110%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
FSU Offense120%0%000000000%0%0%0

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2004 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2004 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2004 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke:    Florida State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke:    Florida State:




Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2004 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida State's 2004 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2004 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Duke Scoring
Offense: 16.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.2
Defense: 29.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Duke's 2004 Record
Record: 2 - 9
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 11
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Florida State 27
Duke 13


Total Points: 40

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida State 27
Duke 12

Total Points: 39

Based on Entire Season
Florida State 28
Duke 14

Total Points: 42
Florida State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.8
Defense: 14.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.5

Florida State's 2004 Record
Record: 9 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/18Duke23Florida State16Duke -2.5Duke43.0Under
202310/21Florida State38Duke20Florida State -14.0Florida State49.0Over
202012/12Florida State56Duke35Florida State -3Florida State56.5Over
201710/14Duke10Florida State17Florida State -7NA45.5Under
201312/07Florida State45Duke7Florida State -27.5Florida State0
201210/27Florida State48Duke7
201110/15Duke16Florida State41
200710/27Florida State25Duke6
200610/14Duke24Florida State51
200510/22Duke24Florida State55
200411/06Florida State29Duke7
200309/27Duke7Florida State56
200209/21Florida State48Duke17
200109/01Duke13Florida State55
200010/13Florida State63Duke14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida State1432 Overs
Duke112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 64 - 04 - 00 - 0
Road Teams6 - 90 - 40 - 00 - 4

(#) DUKE at (#) FSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatDUKEFSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCat
DUKE OffFSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffFSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffFSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Florida State on Offense
CategoryCatFSU OffDUKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida State Run Game
CategoryCat
FSU OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Florida State Pass Game
CategoryCatFSU OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'04 Profile: Remains Poor G5

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'04 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 68° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 11
()
Florida State won vs Duke this year (29-7)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Florida State last year (23-16)
Florida State beat Duke in 2023 (38-20)

  
DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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DUKE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

FSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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FSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD