Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2024 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2023 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Akron wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Akron -13.5
O/U 48.5
ESPN Bet
Colgate 2024 Schedule
Colgate's 2024 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/14 | Colgate at Akron | +13.5L20–31 | 48.5 | L20–31 | O | Y |
Akron 2024 Schedule
Akron's 2024 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/31 | Akron at Ohio State | +50.5L6–52 | 58.5 | L6–52 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/7 | Akron at Rutgers | +24.5L17–49 | 41.5 | L17–49 | O | N |
| Sat 9/14 | Akron vs Colgate | -13.5W31–20 | 48.5 | W31–20 | O | N |
| Sat 9/21 | Akron at South Carolina | +25.0L7–50 | 42.0 | L7–50 | O | N |
| Sat 9/28 | Akron at Ohio | +8.5L10–30 | 46.0 | L10–30 | U | N |
| Sat 10/5 | Akron vs Bowling Green | +17.0L20–27 | 48.5 | L20–27 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/12 | Akron at Western Michigan | +9.5L24–34 | 48.5 | L24–34 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/26 | Akron vs Eastern Michigan | +2.5W25–21 | 50.5 | W25–21 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/2 | Akron vs Buffalo | -1.0L30–41 | 49.0 | L30–41 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Wed 11/13 | Akron at Northern Illinois | +14.0L16–29 | 43.5 | L16–29 | O | Y |
| Tue 11/19 | Akron at Kent State | -10.5W38–17 | 49.0 | W38–17 | O | Y |
| Tue 11/26 | Akron vs Toledo | +9.5W21–14 | 50.5 | W21–14 | U | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Colgate Edge
Colgate +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Akron Edge
Akron +24.4
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓