Sat, Sep 9 2023
·
Week 2
·
🏟 Summa Field at InfoCision Stadium
Akron, OH
·
Turf
·
30,000 cap
Morgan State✈ 285 miSame TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2023 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2022 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
67.1%
Akron wins
Solid
Vegas Spread
Akron -25
O/U 46.0
William Hill (New Jersey)
Morgan State 2023 Schedule
Morgan State's 2023 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/9 | Morgan State at Akron | +25.0L21–24 | 46.0 | L21–24 | U | Y |
Akron 2023 Schedule
Akron's 2023 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/2 | Akron at Temple | +9.5L21–24 | 55.0 | L21–24 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/9 | Akron vs Morgan State | -25.0W24–21 | 46.0 | W24–21 | U | N |
| Sat 9/16 | Akron at Kentucky | +25.0L3–35 | 48.5 | L3–35 | U | N |
| Sat 9/23 | Akron at Indiana | +16.5L27–29 | 45.5 | L27–29 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/30 | Akron vs Buffalo | -3.0L10–13 | 53.0 | L10–13 | U | N |
| Sat 10/7 | Akron vs Northern Illinois | +4.0L14–55 | 42.5 | L14–55 | O | N |
| Sat 10/14 | Akron at Central Michigan | +10.5L10–17 | 44.0 | L10–17 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/21 | Akron at Bowling Green | +7.0L14–41 | 37.0 | L14–41 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Wed 11/1 | Akron vs Kent State | -4.0W31–27 | 39.0 | W31–27 | O | N |
| Wed 11/8 | Akron at Miami (OH) | +17.5L0–19 | 37.5 | L0–19 | U | N |
| Tue 11/14 | Akron at Eastern Michigan | +3.5L27–30 | 39.5 | L27–30 | O | Y |
| Fri 11/24 | Akron vs Ohio | +13.5L14–25 | 41.5 | L14–25 | U | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Morgan State Edge
Morgan State +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Akron Edge
Akron +17.2
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 67.1% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓