Sat, Sep 10 2022
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Week 2
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🏟 Romney Stadium
Logan, UT
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Turf
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25,513 cap
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2022 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2021 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Utah State wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Utah State -6.5
O/U 59.5
consensus
Weber State 2022 Schedule
Weber State's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/10 | Weber State at Utah State | +6.5W35–7 | 59.5 | W35–7 | U | Y |
Utah State 2022 Schedule
Utah State's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/27 | Utah State vs UConn | -24.0W31–20 | 59.0 | W31–20 | U | N |
| Sat 9/3 | Utah State at Alabama | +42.0L0–55 | 63.0 | L0–55 | U | N |
| Sat 9/10 | Utah State vs Weber State | -6.5L7–35 | 59.5 | L7–35 | U | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/24 | Utah State vs UNLV | +3.0L24–34 | 61.5 | L24–34 | U | N |
| Thu 9/29 | Utah State at BYU | +26.0L26–38 | 60.0 | L26–38 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/8 | Utah State vs Air Force | +11.5W34–27 | 54.0 | W34–27 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/15 | Utah State at Colorado State | -14.0W17–13 | 45.5 | W17–13 | U | N |
| Sat 10/22 | Utah State at Wyoming | +5.0L14–28 | 44.5 | L14–28 | U | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/5 | Utah State vs New Mexico | -14.5W27–10 | 42.5 | W27–10 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/12 | Utah State at Hawai'i | -10.0W41–34 | 55.0 | W41–34 | O | N |
| Sat 11/19 | Utah State vs San José State | -1.0W35–31 | 51.0 | W35–31 | O | Y |
| Fri 11/25 | Utah State at Boise State | +17.0L23–42 | 51.5 | L23–42 | O | N |
| Tue 12/27 | Utah State vs Memphis | +8.0L10–38 | 57.0 | L10–38 | U | N |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Weber State Edge
Weber State +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Utah State Edge
Utah State +43.3
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓