Sat, Sep 3 2022
·
Week 1
·
🏟 Memorial Stadium
Lincoln, NE
·
Turf
·
86,047 cap
North Dakota✈ 490 miSame TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2022 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2021 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
58.6%
Nebraska wins
Lean
Vegas Spread
Nebraska -28.5
O/U 62.5
consensus
North Dakota 2022 Schedule
North Dakota's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/3 | North Dakota at Nebraska | +28.5L17–38 | 62.5 | L17–38 | U | Y |
Nebraska 2022 Schedule
Nebraska's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/27 | Nebraska vs Northwestern | -12.0L28–31 | 52.5 | L28–31 | O | N |
| Sat 9/3 | Nebraska vs North Dakota | -28.5W38–17 | 62.5 | W38–17 | U | N |
| Sat 9/10 | Nebraska vs Georgia Southern | -23.5L42–45 | 64.0 | L42–45 | O | N |
| Sat 9/17 | Nebraska vs Oklahoma | +10.5L14–49 | 65.5 | L14–49 | U | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/1 | Nebraska vs Indiana | -6.5W35–21 | 62.0 | W35–21 | U | Y |
| Fri 10/7 | Nebraska at Rutgers | -3.0W14–13 | 50.5 | W14–13 | U | N |
| Sat 10/15 | Nebraska at Purdue | +14.0L37–43 | 56.0 | L37–43 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/29 | Nebraska vs Illinois | +7.5L9–26 | 50.5 | L9–26 | U | N |
| Sat 11/5 | Nebraska vs Minnesota | +14.5L13–20 | 44.5 | L13–20 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/12 | Nebraska at Michigan | +30.5L3–34 | 49.5 | L3–34 | U | N |
| Sat 11/19 | Nebraska vs Wisconsin | +10.0L14–15 | 40.5 | L14–15 | U | Y |
| Fri 11/25 | Nebraska at Iowa | +10.5W24–17 | 38.0 | W24–17 | O | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
North Dakota Edge
North Dakota +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Nebraska Edge
Nebraska +11.6
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.6% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓