Sun, Sep 4 2022
·
Week 1
·
🏟 Martin Stadium
Pullman, WA
·
Turf
·
32,248 cap
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2022 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2021 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Washington State wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Washington State -28.5
O/U 63.5
consensus
Idaho 2022 Schedule
Idaho's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/3 | Idaho at Washington State | +28.5L17–24 | 63.5 | L17–24 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/10 | Idaho at Indiana | +24.5L22–35 | 50.5 | L22–35 | O | Y |
Washington State 2022 Schedule
Washington State's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/3 | Washington State vs Idaho | -28.5W24–17 | 63.5 | W24–17 | U | N |
| Sat 9/10 | Washington State at Wisconsin | +17.5W17–14 | 48.5 | W17–14 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/17 | Washington State vs Colorado State | -17.0W38–7 | 51.5 | W38–7 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/24 | Washington State vs Oregon | +6.0L41–44 | 57.0 | L41–44 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/1 | Washington State vs California | -4.0W28–9 | 52.5 | W28–9 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/8 | Washington State at USC | +12.5L14–30 | 64.5 | L14–30 | U | N |
| Sat 10/15 | Washington State at Oregon State | +3.0L10–24 | 51.5 | L10–24 | U | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Thu 10/27 | Washington State vs Utah | +7.5L17–21 | 56.5 | L17–21 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/5 | Washington State at Stanford | -3.0W52–14 | 48.5 | W52–14 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/12 | Washington State vs Arizona State | -9.5W28–18 | 59.5 | W28–18 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/19 | Washington State at Arizona | -4.0W31–20 | 63.0 | W31–20 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/26 | Washington State vs Washington | +2.0L33–51 | 60.0 | L33–51 | O | N |
| Sat 12/17 | Washington State vs Fresno State | +5.5L6–29 | 54.0 | L6–29 | U | N |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Idaho Edge
Idaho +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Washington State Edge
Washington State +45.4
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓