Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2022 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2021 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
67.1%
Indiana wins
Solid
Vegas Spread
Indiana -24.5
O/U 50.5
consensus
Idaho 2022 Schedule
Idaho's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/3 | Idaho at Washington State | +28.5L17–24 | 63.5 | L17–24 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/10 | Idaho at Indiana | +24.5L22–35 | 50.5 | L22–35 | O | Y |
Indiana 2022 Schedule
Indiana's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 9/2 | Indiana vs Illinois | -1.0W23–20 | 47.5 | W23–20 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/10 | Indiana vs Idaho | -24.5W35–22 | 50.5 | W35–22 | O | N |
| Sat 9/17 | Indiana vs Western Kentucky | -7.0W33–30 | 61.0 | W33–30 | O | N |
| Sat 9/24 | Indiana at Cincinnati | +16.5L24–45 | 57.0 | L24–45 | O | N |
| Sat 10/1 | Indiana at Nebraska | +6.5L21–35 | 62.0 | L21–35 | U | N |
| Sat 10/8 | Indiana vs Michigan | +23.5L10–31 | 57.5 | L10–31 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/15 | Indiana vs Maryland | +11.0L33–38 | 63.0 | L33–38 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/22 | Indiana at Rutgers | +3.0L17–24 | 48.0 | L17–24 | U | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/5 | Indiana vs Penn State | +13.5L14–45 | 50.0 | L14–45 | O | N |
| Sat 11/12 | Indiana at Ohio State | +40.0L14–56 | 62.0 | L14–56 | O | N |
| Sat 11/19 | Indiana at Michigan State | +12.0W39–31 | 47.0 | W39–31 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/26 | Indiana vs Purdue | +10.0L16–30 | 52.5 | L16–30 | U | N |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Idaho Edge
Idaho +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Indiana Edge
Indiana +18.7
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 67.1% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓