Ohio at Miami (OH) - 2026 Matchup Preview
Ohio logo

Ohio Bobcats at Miami (OH) RedHawks

Miami (OH) logo
Tuesday, November 10th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Yager Stadium - Oxford, OH  (Mid-American)

 
Bobcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach John Hauser (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (21 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#65)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
OHIO 2nd straight Road Game
M-OH 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Miami (OH) -8.5  (SP+ M-OH -1)
Projected Score: OHIO: 20 - M-OH: 29 (49)
M-OH Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
OHIO Travel: 141 miles
RedHawks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (72 - 74)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (32 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 3.4 (#20)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
 
Ohio's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Ohio at Nebraska+15————
Sat 9/12Ohio vs Jacksonville State-0————
Sat 9/19Ohio at South Alabama-2.5————
Sat 9/26Ohio vs Stonehill-16.5————
Sat 10/3Ohio at Kent State-8.5————
Sat 10/10Ohio vs Central Michigan-2————
Sat 10/17Ohio at Sacramento State+4.5————
Sat 10/24Ohio vs Eastern Michigan-7————
— Bye Week —
Tue 11/3Ohio at Akron-3.5————
Tue 11/10Ohio at Miami (OH)+8.5————
Tue 11/17Ohio vs Ball State-17.5————
Fri 11/27Ohio vs Toledo+8.5————
Record: 0–0Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Miami (OH)'s 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Miami (OH) at Pittsburgh+12.5————
Sat 9/12Miami (OH) vs Holy Cross-22————
Sat 9/19Miami (OH) at Cincinnati+5.5————
Sat 9/26Miami (OH) vs UConn-0————
Sat 10/3Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green-12.5————
Sat 10/10Miami (OH) at Massachusetts-28————
Sat 10/17Miami (OH) vs Akron-14————
Sat 10/24Miami (OH) at Central Michigan-3————
— Bye Week —
Tue 11/3Miami (OH) vs Buffalo-10.5————
Tue 11/10Miami (OH) vs Ohio-8.5————
Tue 11/17Miami (OH) at Kent State-14————
Tue 11/24Miami (OH) at Western Michigan+0.5————
Record: 0–0Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO#42 (.21)45% (41)27.845% (57)3.32 (14)22846% (29)1843.55 (84)#54 (.12)41% (63)21.942% (69)40% (57)2.83 (13)48.31.51.3
M-OH#107 (.1)39% (106)23.543% (82)3.14 (33)15136% (119)1873.34 (107)#29 (.08)39% (36)21.739% (35)40% (52)3.39 (45)49.11.11.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Offense1327.82144.9%3.551.5224122281845.460%38%45%46%12%.21
M-OH Defense1421.722.739.1%3.391.4 - - - - - 49%49%39%40%18%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Defense1321.925.841.3%2.831.3 - - - - - 50%48%42%40%15%.12
M-OH Offense1423.532.339.2%3.341.1183381511874.352%47%43%36%13%.1

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio1332:0721.642%59%6.248.31.51.34.91.7229.9
Miami (OH)1429:4817.635%42%5.649.11.11.45.82.9331.4
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Offense1360% (11)45% (57)42.5228.25.432 (26).21 (23)3.32 (14)79% (23)7% (17)1.1 (16)
M-OH Defense1449% (58)39% (35) - - - - .05 (40)2.71 (34)73% (87)11% (34)0.92 (48)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Defense1350% (73)42% (69) - - - - .08 (56)2.98 (87)67% (32)9% (86)0.99 (89)
M-OH Offense1452% (48)43% (82)35.1150.84.317 (78).07 (93)3.14 (33)66% (105)7% (14)0.87 (113)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Offense1338% (127)46% (29)14.824184.27.712.514 (86)11 (60).27 (60)1.4 (119)29% (31)33% (35).24 (94)5% (35)1.6 (135)
M-OH Defense1449% (79)40% (52) - - - - - - 14 (12).19 (43)1.5 (27)34% (30)28% (43).22 (40)7% (22)2 (57)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Defense1348% (65)40% (57) - - - - - - 12 (31).21 (54)1.6 (88)31% (71)28% (39).2 (26)6% (75)2 (55)
M-OH Offense1447% (88)36% (119)13.126.3187.37.114.317 (86)11 (88).18 (106)1.7 (27)32% (84)28% (91).21 (103)6% (81)1.9 (104)

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -10.35  #115
Ohio's Offense Rating: 7.45  #126
Ohio's Defense Rating: 17.80  #99
2026 Talent Rating: 424.00  #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #104
Ohio's 2026 Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5
Ohio's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0  #86
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2  #98
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2  #61

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 467.85
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.61

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -10.35   Miami (OH): 1.135

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -4.0   Miami (OH): -3.4




Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: 1.135  #67
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 14.71  #79
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 14.04  #58
2026 Talent Rating: 647.00  #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 250  #67
Miami (OH)'s 2026 Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Miami (OH)'s 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4  #84
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3  #114
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2  #54

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 467.85
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.61


Ohio Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Ohio's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 29
Ohio 20

Projected Total Points: 49
Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Miami (OH)'s 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/04Ohio24Miami (OH)20Ohio -2.5Ohio50.5Under
202410/19Miami (OH)30Ohio20Miami (OH) -3.5Miami (OH)43.5Over
202412/07Miami (OH)3Ohio38Miami (OH) -2.5Ohio43.5Under
202310/28Ohio16Miami (OH)30Ohio -7.5Miami (OH)39.0Over
202211/08Miami (OH)21Ohio37Ohio -2.5Ohio52.0Over
202111/02Ohio35Miami (OH)33Miami (OH) -7Ohio54.5Over
201911/06Ohio21Miami (OH)24Ohio -7Miami (OH)57.5Under
201811/07Miami (OH)30Ohio28Ohio -4.5Miami (OH)59.0Under
201710/31Ohio45Miami (OH)28Ohio -7Ohio53.5Over
201610/01Miami (OH)7Ohio17Ohio -3.5Ohio50.0Under
201510/10Ohio34Miami (OH)3Ohio -17.5Ohio50.5Under
201411/25Miami (OH)21Ohio24Ohio -3NA52.5Under
201310/26Ohio41Miami (OH)16Ohio -24Ohio0
201210/27Miami (OH)23Ohio20
201111/22Ohio21Miami (OH)14
201010/23Miami (OH)13Ohio34
200910/17Ohio28Miami (OH)7
200811/28Miami (OH)26Ohio41
200711/24Ohio38Miami (OH)29
200611/24Miami (OH)24Ohio34
200511/21Ohio7Miami (OH)38
200409/18Miami (OH)40Ohio20
200311/22Ohio31Miami (OH)49
200211/02Miami (OH)38Ohio20
200110/20Ohio24Miami (OH)36
200011/03Miami (OH)27Ohio24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami (OH)1145 Overs
Ohio1587 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 127 - 55 - 32 - 2
Road Teams12 - 145 - 72 - 23 - 5

(#115) OHIO at (#67) M-OH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOHIOM-OH
Game ControlGC #64 #83
Momentum ControlMC #92 #70
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #115 #67
SP+SP+ #86 #84
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #121 #71
Blue ChipsBC% #104 #67
Ohio Notes
(2/24) HC Houser was DC LY under B Smith (fired LY)
Ohio Injury Report
Ohio on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat
OHIO OffM-OH Def
Game ControlGC #94 #73
Momentum ControlMC #67 #78
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #41 #36
ExplosiveExp #84 #33
PPAPPA #42 #29
PowerPwr #126 #58
SP+SP+ #98 #54
Pts POPPO #84 #45
HavocHav #17 #25
Ohio Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat
OHIO OffM-OH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #57 #35
Run ExplRExp #16 #48
PPAExp #23 #40
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #14 #34
Stuff RateStuff #4 #45
TackleTak - NR
Ohio Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat
OHIO OffM-OH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #29 #52
Pass ExplPExl #119 #27
PPAExp #60 #43
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #17 #34
DB HavocDB #35 #22
Miami (OH) on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatM-OH OffOHIO Def
Game ControlGC #92 #29
Momentum ControlMC #58 #102
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #106 #63
ExplosiveExp #83 #75
PPAPPA #107 #54
PowerPwr #79 #99
SP+SP+ #114 #61
Pts POPPO #107 #13
HavocHav #34 #86
Miami (OH) Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
M-OH OffOHIO Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #82 #69
Run ExplRExp #113 #89
PPAExp #93 #56
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #33 #87
Stuff RateStuff #47 #72
TackleTak - NR
Miami (OH) Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatM-OH OffOHIO Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #119 #57
Pass ExplPExl #27 #88
PPAExp #106 #54
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #14 #86
DB HavocDB #81 #75
Program Comparison
M-OH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Down to Average G5

OHIO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Miami (OH) last year (24-20)
Ohio beat Miami (OH) in 2024 (38-3)
Miami (OH) beat Ohio in 2023 (30-16)

  
OHIO's OC Scott Isphording (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Matt Vezza (Tr)22636961%26731977.2
Nick Poulos4850%19002.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Matt Vezza (Tr)15060584.035
Duncan Brune12058584.966
Victor Rosa (Tr)3015525.231
Nick Poulos83404.319
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Victor Rosa (Tr)1514719.865
Dom Dorwart11119010.835
Max Rodarte786012.324
Eian Pugh675012.525

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC Kurt Mattix (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Charlie Christopher633222
Michael Molnar625223
DJ Walker556011
Jack Fries543115
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Marsh82200
Charlie Christopher633222
Michael Molnar625223
Derek Reagans82230
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Fries543115
Nehemiah Dukes282103
Michael Molnar625223

M-OH's OC Gus Ragland (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Thomas Gotkowski388644%575416.7
Lynel Billups-Williams010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rodney Nelson (Tr)2941805186.175
D'Shawntae Jones6327774.446
Keith Reynolds2718606.932
Cade Yacamelli (Tr)3812803.412
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Maleek Huggins56808714.485
Keith Reynolds3635219.869
Rodney Nelson (Tr)3022917.649
Christian Ross1817419.737

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Bill Brechin (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Young898323
Blayne Myrick (Tr)846033
Malcolm Mccain667220
Mychal Yharbrough442004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bai Jobe154440
CJ Young898323
James Schott143321
Malcolm Mccain667220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaleb Martin310007
Mychal Yharbrough442004
CJ Young898323