Bowling Green at Western Michigan - 2026 Matchup Preview
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Bowling Green Falcons at Western Michigan Broncos

Western Michigan logo
Saturday, October 31st 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Waldo Stadium - Kalamazoo, MI  (Mid-American)

 
Falcons (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eddie George (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (24 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.6 - 6.4 (#81)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
BGSU 2nd straight Road Game
WMU is playing their 9th straight game
BGSU is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: Western Michigan -7.5  (SP+ WMU -6)

Projected Score: BGSU: 19 - WMU: 27 (46)
WMU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
BGSU Travel: 120 miles
Broncos (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (20 - 19)
Avg Score : 25 - 17 (29 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 4.9 (#50)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
 
Bowling Green's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Bowling Green vs Tarleton State-12
Sat 9/12Bowling Green at Nebraska+20
Sat 9/19Bowling Green at Iowa State+16
Sat 9/26Bowling Green vs South Florida+8.5
Sat 10/3Bowling Green at Miami (OH)+13
Sat 10/10Bowling Green vs Sacramento State-8
Sat 10/17Bowling Green vs Ball State-14.5
Sat 10/24Bowling Green at Buffalo+2.5
Sat 10/31Bowling Green at Western Michigan+7.5
— Bye Week —
Tue 11/10Bowling Green vs Kent State-9.5
Wed 11/18Bowling Green at Toledo+8
Sat 11/28Bowling Green vs Massachusetts-20.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Western Michigan's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Western Michigan at Michigan+26
Sat 9/12Western Michigan vs Monmouth-17
Sat 9/19Western Michigan at Rice-7
Sat 9/26Western Michigan vs Boise State+9
Sat 10/3Western Michigan at Buffalo-2.5
Sat 10/10Western Michigan vs Kent State-14.5
Sat 10/17Western Michigan at Central Michigan+0.5
Sat 10/24Western Michigan at Toledo+3
Sat 10/31Western Michigan vs Bowling Green-7.5
— Bye Week —
Tue 11/10Western Michigan at Akron-6.5
Tue 11/17Western Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-8
Tue 11/24Western Michigan vs Miami (OH)+3

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU#128 (.02)36% (128)20.537% (125)2.88 (78)15635% (124)1513.19 (118)#61 (.15)41% (56)24.339% (40)42% (68)3.44 (48)611.21.3
WMU#103 (.12)43% (55)24.947% (31)3.18 (25)20537% (116)1393.35 (105)#16 (.06)37% (17)17.438% (21)37% (21)2.83 (13)40.11.11.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Offense1220.52435.6%3.191.217307156151458%40%37%35%16%.02
WMU Defense1417.415.736.9%2.831.7 - - - - - 49%49%38%37%17%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Defense1224.32940.6%3.441.3 - - - - - 53%46%39%42%19%.15
WMU Offense1424.92943.4%3.351.1193432051394.665%33%47%37%12%.12

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bowling Green1231:1816.637%42%6.7611.21.36.21.8131
Western Michigan1432:3418.940%44%4.640.11.11.75.93.1232
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense1258% (15)37% (125)39.3155.5413 (119).03 (112)2.88 (78)58% (133)10% (95)0.95 (76)
WMU Defense1449% (56)38% (21) - - - - .06 (46)2.77 (48)73% (86)11% (17)1.02 (98)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense1253% (105)39% (40) - - - - .06 (48)2.74 (40)59% (9)13% (8)1.06 (116)
WMU Offense1465% (5)47% (31)44.2204.54.631 (49).14 (57)3.18 (25)76% (38)9% (61)0.9 (97)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense1240% (122)35% (124)13.823.8151.36.410.913 (106)12 (119).07 (129)1.6 (47)34% (110)25% (121).19 (114)6% (65)2.1 (50)
WMU Defense1449% (75)37% (21) - - - - - - 12 (55).1 (11)1.5 (28)34% (23)28% (54).12 (12)6% (67)1.7 (6)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense1246% (34)42% (68) - - - - - - 6 (75).28 (82)1.6 (95)33% (49)31% (86).32 (79)7% (43)2.1 (85)
WMU Offense1433% (132)37% (116)13.221.8138.56.410.510 (114)6 (34).1 (125)1.4 (120)30% (44)24% (128).15 (121)3% (7)1.9 (103)

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -9.73  #113
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 10.94  #108
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 20.67  #116
2026 Talent Rating: 487.00  #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #104
Bowling Green's 2026 Expected Record: 5.6 - 6.4
Bowling Green's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3  #115
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.8  #128
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #86

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 467.85
Average Power Five Talent: 872.28
Average FBS Talent: 677.28

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -9.73   Western Michigan: -3.895

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -13.3   Western Michigan: -7.2




Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -3.895  #103
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 14.47  #84
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 20.06  #112
2026 Talent Rating: 440.00  #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #83
Western Michigan's 2026 Expected Record: 7.1 - 4.9
Western Michigan's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2  #95
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0  #112
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #67

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 467.85
Average Power Five Talent: 872.28
Average FBS Talent: 677.28


Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Bowling Green's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Western Michigan 27
Bowling Green 19


Projected Total Points: 46
Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

Western Michigan's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/12Bowling Green31Western Michigan13Bowling Green -9.5Bowling Green57.5Under
202311/21Western Michigan10Bowling Green34Bowling Green -2Bowling Green54.5Under
202211/02Bowling Green13Western Michigan9Bowling Green -5Western Michigan48.0Under
201910/26Western Michigan49Bowling Green10Western Michigan -26.5Western Michigan65.5Under
201810/13Bowling Green35Western Michigan42Western Michigan -14.5Bowling Green68.5Over
201511/11Western Michigan27Bowling Green41Bowling Green -4.5Bowling Green72.0Under
201410/18Bowling Green14Western Michigan26Bowling Green -2.5Western Michigan0
201110/08Western Michigan45Bowling Green21
201011/26Bowling Green7Western Michigan41
200510/22Bowling Green14Western Michigan45
200411/06Bowling Green52Western Michigan0
200310/11Western Michigan21Bowling Green32
200210/19Bowling Green48Western Michigan45
200110/13Western Michigan37Bowling Green28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Michigan731 Overs
Bowling Green745 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 73 - 42 - 21 - 2
Road Teams7 - 74 - 32 - 12 - 2

(#113) BGSU at (#103) WMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBGSUWMU
Game ControlGC #113 #60
Momentum ControlMC #83 #66
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #113 #103
SP+SP+ #115 #95
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #102 #117
Blue ChipsBC% #104 #83
Bowling Green Notes
(3/4) Vibes: Hopeful, George popular, can bowl TY
(3/4) QB Novosad a huge get, big talent for MAC QB
(3/4) RB duo of Dendy & Baldwin (FCS) looks decent
(3/4) WR really need FCS portals or depth to hit
(3/4) OL looks rough, only 2 with PT exp. Some depth
(3/4) DL has some exp, has size. DE's can rush some
(3/4) DBs look strong, even better if FCS portals hit
Bowling Green Injury Report
Western Michigan Notes
(3/27) Vibes: 10 wins LY big, Off fine, Def looks rough
(3/27) QB Lowry is back, a mobile threat. Good/Productive
(3/27) RB Buckley (1K LY) back, Green (Ark) fun add?
(3/27) WR meh, nothing here of note, some experience
(3/27) OL has 3 starters back, 1 portal add from Mich
(3/27) DL/LB is light on size & experience. Not a lot here
(3/27) DBs strength of Def by far, good prod/exp
(3/26) Def F7 rebuild, new DC. Expect a drop off
(2/6) Elevated Greer Martini (LB) to DC (O'Leary->NFL)
Western Michigan Injury Report
Bowling Green on Offense
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat
BGSU OffWMU Def
Game ControlGC #120 #57
Momentum ControlMC #114 #31
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #128 #17
ExplosiveExp #82 #66
PPAPPA #128 #16
PowerPwr #108 #112
SP+SP+ #128 #67
Pts POPPO #118 #13
HavocHav #80 #33
Bowling Green Run Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat
BGSU OffWMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #125 #21
Run ExplRExp #76 #98
PPAExp #112 #46
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #78 #48
Stuff RateStuff #66 #96
TackleTak - NR
Bowling Green Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat
BGSU OffWMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #124 #21
Pass ExplPExl #47 #28
PPAExp #129 #11
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #95 #17
DB HavocDB #65 #67
Western Michigan on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCatWMU OffBGSU Def
Game ControlGC #66 #111
Momentum ControlMC #110 #72
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #55 #56
ExplosiveExp #136 #105
PPAPPA #103 #61
PowerPwr #84 #116
SP+SP+ #112 #86
Pts POPPO #105 #48
HavocHav #18 #12
Western Michigan Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat
WMU OffBGSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #31 #40
Run ExplRExp #97 #116
PPAExp #57 #48
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #25 #40
Stuff RateStuff #30 #8
TackleTak - NR
Western Michigan Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCatWMU OffBGSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #116 #68
Pass ExplPExl #120 #95
PPAExp #125 #82
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #61 #8
DB HavocDB #7 #43
Program Comparison
WMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'26 Profile: Remains Average G5

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Waldo Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Western Michigan in 2024 (31-13)
Bowling Green beat Western Michigan in 2023 (34-10)

  
BGSU's OC Greg Nosal (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hunter Najm336650%473547.2
Austin Novosad (Tr)1250%400020.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ke'Marion Baldwin (Tr)15977864.989
Austyn Dendy10849354.624
Isaiah Dawson (Tr)11136112.442
Nakai Amachree72203.111
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Dawson (Tr)42575413.767
Nicholas Sowell21247111.826
Brennan Ridley4110127.587
Austyn Dendy464116.027

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Brandon Fisher (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kal-El Pascal804005
Armahn Hale (Tr)444001
Preston EstoEsta291001
Dorian Pringle276100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Bradley206570
Eriq George265420
Andrew Hines III224110
Dorian Pringle276100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JoJo Johnson2200013
Kal-El Pascal804005
Nick Sawyer (Tr)30002

WMU's OC Walt Bell (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Broc Lowry16626263%1803936.9
Ofa Mataele010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Buckley179100395.667
Broc Lowry203963144.737
Ofa Mataele5725234.422
Aveion Chenault335011.725
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nathan Levicki33478614.575
Baylin Brooks27372013.842
Aveion Chenault23277212.045
Jalen Buckley127516.334

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC Greer Martini (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jarvarius Sims612104
Micah Davis601023
Joshua Franklin5362110
Joey Pope443112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DeJuan Echoles276422
Joshua Franklin5362110
Jarvarius Sims612104
Dakari Frazier101100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joshua Franklin5362110
Jarvarius Sims612104
John Peters140004