Central Michigan at Miami - 2026 Matchup Preview
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Central Michigan Chippewas at Miami Hurricanes

Miami logo
Saturday, September 26th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Hard Rock Stadium - Miami Gardens, FL

 
Chippewas (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Matt Drinkall (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (19 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 5.3 (#59)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
MIAMI is playing their 4th straight game
CMU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Miami -30  (SP+ MIAMI -33)

Projected Score: CMU: 9 - MIAMI: 39 (47)
MIAMI Win prob: 99% | Cover: 54%
CMU Travel: 1244 miles
Hurricanes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (35 - 19)
Avg Score : 31 - 15 (36 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.8 - 1.2 (#5)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
 
Central Michigan's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Central Michigan at New Mexico+11.5
Sat 9/12Central Michigan vs Colgate-15
Sat 9/19Central Michigan vs Wyoming-4
Sat 9/26Central Michigan at Miami+30
Sat 10/3Central Michigan vs Akron-9
Sat 10/10Central Michigan at Ohio-1
Sat 10/17Central Michigan vs Western Michigan-0
Sat 10/24Central Michigan vs Miami (OH)+5
— Bye Week —
Wed 11/4Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan-0.5
Wed 11/11Central Michigan vs Sacramento State-11
Wed 11/18Central Michigan at Buffalo-0.5
Sat 11/28Central Michigan at Ball State-12.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule
Miami's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/4Miami at Stanford-23
Thu 9/10Miami vs Florida A&M-35
Fri 9/18Miami at Wake Forest-16
Sat 9/26Miami vs Central Michigan-30
Sat 10/3Miami at Clemson-9.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/17Miami vs Florida State-17.5
Sat 10/24Miami vs Pittsburgh-17
Sat 10/31Miami at North Carolina-18.5
Sat 11/7Miami at Notre Dame+7
Sat 11/14Miami vs Duke-20.5
Fri 11/20Miami vs Virginia Tech-17.5
Sat 11/28Miami vs Boston College-28.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CMU#71 (.17)41% (89)22.540% (102)2.79 (103)16544% (42)1673.6 (80)#36 (.1)40% (47)23.541% (56)39% (43)3.14 (26)48.71.21.6
MIAMI#35 (.22)46% (23)30.945% (58)3.13 (35)14549% (10)2394.36 (24)#14 (.05)37% (15)14.836% (10)38% (28)2.51 (5)53.50.91.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MIAMI0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CMU Offense1322.519.141.1%3.61.217332165167463%35%40%44%16%.17
MIAMI Defense1614.811.836.6%2.511.6 - - - - - 43%55%36%38%19%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CMU Defense1323.52839.6%3.141.6 - - - - - 47%51%41%39%17%.1
MIAMI Offense1630.936.146.4%4.360.9213841452394.350%48%45%49%12%.22

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Central Michigan1332:0616.934%58%648.71.21.65.32.2229
Miami1631:3520.948%67%6.653.50.91.662.9330.2
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CMU Offense1363% (7)40% (102)41.4165.1417 (78).07 (91)2.79 (103)75% (47)12% (120)0.92 (84)
MIAMI Defense1643% (4)36% (10) - - - - .01 (16)2.58 (14)73% (80)12% (15)1.01 (94)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CMU Defense1347% (40)41% (56) - - - - .04 (34)2.83 (55)62% (12)10% (62)0.9 (38)
MIAMI Offense1650% (62)45% (58)33.9144.94.326 (40).09 (76)3.13 (35)83% (4)6% (4)0.8 (128)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CMU Offense1335% (130)44% (42)13.519.5167.18.612.316 (106)7 (3).4 (22)1.6 (40)32% (73)26% (117).31 (67)4% (15)2.1 (36)
MIAMI Defense1655% (131)38% (28) - - - - - - 16 (55).13 (21)1.5 (29)36% (13)28% (50).21 (29)7% (15)1.9 (29)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CMU Defense1351% (96)39% (43) - - - - - - 13 (12).19 (46)1.5 (63)32% (61)27% (32).26 (55)7% (22)2 (73)
MIAMI Offense1648% (79)49% (10)2129238.78.211.431 (61)11 (108).43 (13)1.5 (88)26% (8)32% (44).37 (42)6% (65)2.1 (59)

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -4.67  #99
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.22  #74
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 19.89  #111
2026 Talent Rating: 464.00  #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #103
Central Michigan's 2026 Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3
Central Michigan's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.4  #113
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.4  #116
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.6  #92

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 470.69
Average Power Five Talent: 872.36
Average FBS Talent: 677.88

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -4.67   Miami: 25.015

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -12.4   Miami: 21.0




Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 25.015  #7
Miami's Offense Rating: 26.97  #7
Miami's Defense Rating: 2.95  #8
2026 Talent Rating: 1053.00  #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 65  #7
Miami's 2026 Expected Record: 10.8 - 1.2
Miami's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.0  #8
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.4  #12
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7  #7

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 849
Average Power Five Talent: 872.36
Average FBS Talent: 677.88


Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.1
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Central Michigan's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 39
Central Michigan 9


Projected Total Points: 47
Miami Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.1
Defense: 14.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.8

Miami's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201909/21Miami17Central Michigan12Miami -30.5Central Michigan48.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami100 Overs
Central Michigan011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#99) CMU at (#7) MIAMI
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCMUMIAMI
Game ControlGC #91 #7
Momentum ControlMC #123 #16
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #99 #7
SP+SP+ #113 #8
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #110 #8
Blue ChipsBC% #103 #7
Central Michigan Notes
(3/4) Vibes: Strong, Off could be really good, Def is ?
(3/4) QB Flores (PT LY) can scoot, but didn't throw much
(3/4) RB good unit, Townsend back, 2 prod portals
(3/4) WRs Lewis & McIntosh decent duo, have depth
(3/4) OL has more prod than 1/2 MAC combined. Wow
(3/4) F7 is ?, DL only 3 with exp, LB only has 2.
(3/4) DB best Def unit by far, CB really good, S has 1
Central Michigan Injury Report
Miami Notes
(2/17) Vibes: Highest, CFP run, QB Mensah + talent
(4/2) QB Mensah, WR Toney, Barkate all PFF top 10
(4/1) DE Wilson, DTs Moten Sr + Scott all top 10 (PFF)
(2/7) Has never won ACC since joining in 2004
(1/29) OL experience is #120 in CFB, near last in P4
(1/28) RB Fletcher a beast, depth w Pringle + Brown
(1/28) OL biggest ? esp at OT. Have talent but unproven
(1/28) DL front line dominant again, depth will develop
(1/28) CBs are both back, LB has ? beyond Toure
Miami Injury Report
Central Michigan on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat
CMU OffMIAMI Def
Game ControlGC #116 #11
Momentum ControlMC #134 #8
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #89 #15
ExplosiveExp #109 #81
PPAPPA #71 #14
PowerPwr #74 #8
SP+SP+ #116 #7
Pts POPPO #80 #5
HavocHav #70 #13
Central Michigan Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat
CMU OffMIAMI Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #102 #10
Run ExplRExp #84 #94
PPAExp #91 #16
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #103 #14
Stuff RateStuff #80 #49
TackleTak - NR
Central Michigan Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat
CMU OffMIAMI Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #42 #28
Pass ExplPExl #40 #29
PPAExp #22 #21
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #120 #15
DB HavocDB #15 #15
Miami on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCatMIAMI OffCMU Def
Game ControlGC #6 #53
Momentum ControlMC #51 #113
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #23 #47
ExplosiveExp #126 #55
PPAPPA #35 #36
PowerPwr #7 #111
SP+SP+ #12 #92
Pts POPPO #24 #26
HavocHav #13 #42
Miami Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffCMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #58 #56
Run ExplRExp #128 #38
PPAExp #76 #34
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #35 #55
Stuff RateStuff #16 #28
TackleTak - NR
Miami Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCatMIAMI OffCMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #10 #43
Pass ExplPExl #88 #63
PPAExp #13 #46
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #4 #62
DB HavocDB #65 #22
Program Comparison
MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'26 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

CMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
CMU's OC Jim Chapin (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Angel H Flores192868%195217.0
Jadyn Glasser7978%78008.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayden Clerveaux (Tr)16176254.767
Angel H Flores10752784.937
Brock Townsend8241845.146
Vaughn Blue (Tr)4723425.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Langston Lewis43596313.977
Tommy Mcintosh31422313.647
Jaden Allen (Tr)1918719.831
Brock Townsend13145411.251

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC Sean Cronin (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaion Jackson454227
Korver Demma289451
Xavier White261000
JJ Douglas232221
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Korver Demma289451
Jaion Jackson454227
JJ Douglas232221
Landon Swanson61110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaion Jackson454227
Daniel Bennett100012
JJ Douglas232221

MIAMI's OC Shannon Dawson (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darian Mensah (Tr)33450067%39733467.9
Malachi Toney4757%822011.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Mark Fletcher Jr.2161192125.557
CharMar Brown12246073.813
Girard Pringle Jr.6237546.038
Malachi Toney2311314.913
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malachi Toney10912111011.161
Cooper Barkate (Tr)721106715.477
Vandrevious Jacobs32548417.174
Cam Vaughn (Tr)35540415.446

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC Corey Hetherman (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mohamed Toure843216
Omar Thornton (Tr)828211
Zechariah Poyser683115
Xavier Lucas452118
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damon Wilson Jr.2299132
Ahmad Moten319540
Marquise Lightfoot256361
Armondo Blount173361
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Lucas452118
OJ Frederique Jr.190007
Mohamed Toure843216