Alabama at Tennessee - 2026 Matchup Preview
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Alabama Crimson Tide at Tennessee Volunteers

Tennessee logo
Saturday, October 17th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Neyland Stadium - Knoxville, TN  (SEC)

 
Crimson Tide (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (20 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (26 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.8 - 3.2 (#15)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
TENN is playing their 7th straight game
ALA is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Tennessee -1  (SP+ TENN -0)

Projected Score: ALA: 30 - TENN: 31 (60)
TENN Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
ALA Travel: 280 miles, 1 hrs behind
Volunteers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (45 - 20)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (42 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 3.7 (#28)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
 
Alabama's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Alabama vs East Carolina-14
Sat 9/12Alabama at Kentucky-12.5
Sat 9/19Alabama vs Florida State-11.5
Sat 9/26Alabama vs South Carolina-13
Sat 10/3Alabama at Mississippi State-12.5
Sat 10/10Alabama vs Georgia+8
Sat 10/17Alabama at Tennessee+1
Sat 10/24Alabama vs Texas A&M-1
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/7Alabama at LSU+2.5
Sat 11/14Alabama at Vanderbilt-6.5
Sat 11/21Alabama vs Chattanooga-32.5
Sat 11/28Alabama vs Auburn-10

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Tennessee's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Tennessee vs Furman-32
Sat 9/12Tennessee at Georgia Tech-7
Sat 9/19Tennessee vs Kennesaw State-22
Sat 9/26Tennessee vs Texas+9.5
Sat 10/3Tennessee vs Auburn-8.5
Sat 10/10Tennessee at Arkansas-11
Sat 10/17Tennessee vs Alabama-1
Sat 10/24Tennessee at South Carolina-6.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/7Tennessee vs Kentucky-16.5
Sat 11/14Tennessee at Texas A&M+5
Sat 11/21Tennessee vs LSU-1
Sat 11/28Tennessee at Vanderbilt-5.5

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA#48 (.2)43% (62)29.540% (103)2.73 (109)10445% (33)2644.04 (38)#27 (.08)38% (23)19.239% (31)38% (33)3.65 (66)39.40.91.3
TENN#5 (.33)51% (5)39.852% (3)3.1 (40)17650% (9)2934.69 (9)#69 (.16)44% (107)28.848% (123)41% (67)4.09 (109)54.81.21.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense1529.526.342.7%4.040.9203681042643.443%56%40%45%14%.2
TENN Defense1328.82944.5%4.091.5 - - - - - 50%49%48%41%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense1519.223.737.9%3.651.3 - - - - - 50%48%39%38%18%.08
TENN Offense1339.842.350.6%4.691.2254691762934.750%48%52%50%12%.33

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1531:3420.342%61%4.539.40.91.35.72.2330.3
Tennessee1327:2225.250%76%6.254.81.21.56.62.7428.2
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1543% (118)40% (103)31104.23.421 (99).02 (115)2.73 (109)67% (100)8% (33)0.83 (122)
TENN Defense1350% (72)48% (123) - - - - .12 (79)2.89 (73)82% (126)12% (16)0.85 (15)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense1550% (74)39% (31) - - - - .1 (66)2.81 (53)75% (101)11% (19)1 (91)
TENN Offense1350% (65)52% (3)37.8176.24.735 (16).26 (9)3.1 (40)85% (2)8% (23)0.96 (72)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1556% (15)45% (33)22.934.9263.57.611.532 (2)5 (3).35 (37)1.6 (54)30% (49)33% (30).4 (29)5% (42)2 (72)
TENN Defense1349% (78)41% (67) - - - - - - 10 (75).22 (58)1.5 (54)31% (78)28% (45).26 (58)7% (32)2.1 (105)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense1548% (60)38% (33) - - - - - - 11 (31).11 (17)1.5 (50)35% (19)28% (46).25 (53)6% (47)2 (72)
TENN Offense1348% (74)50% (9)22.533.6292.88.71326 (14)10 (88).41 (19)1.6 (57)26% (10)34% (24).47 (16)5% (28)2.2 (10)

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 17.38  #12
Alabama's Offense Rating: 21.66  #18
Alabama's Defense Rating: 4.28  #9
2026 Talent Rating: 1069.00  #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 999%  #1
Alabama's 2026 Expected Record: 8.8 - 3.2
Alabama's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.8  #17
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2  #36
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1  #11

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.31
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.7

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 17.38   Tennessee: 17.295

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 14.8   Tennessee: 15.0




Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 17.295  #17
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 20.97  #22
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 6.38  #13
2026 Talent Rating: 1048.00  #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 999  #1
Tennessee's 2026 Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7
Tennessee's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.0  #16
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3  #7
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #63

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.31
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.7


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Alabama's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 31
Alabama 30


Projected Total Points: 60
Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.3
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Tennessee's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Alabama37Tennessee20Alabama -8.5Alabama60.5Under
202410/19Tennessee24Alabama17Alabama -3.5Tennessee57.5Under
202310/21Alabama34Tennessee20Alabama -8.5Alabama47.5Over
202210/15Tennessee52Alabama49Alabama -9Tennessee68.0Over
202110/23Alabama52Tennessee24Alabama -24.5Alabama68.0Over
202010/24Tennessee17Alabama48Alabama -21.5Alabama67.0Under
201910/19Alabama35Tennessee13Alabama -35Tennessee62.0Under
201810/20Tennessee21Alabama58Alabama -29.5Alabama57.5Over
201710/21Alabama45Tennessee7Alabama -36.5Alabama51.5Over
201610/15Tennessee10Alabama49Alabama -9Alabama54.5Over
201510/24Alabama19Tennessee14Alabama -14.5Tennessee48.5Under
201410/25Tennessee20Alabama34Alabama -15.5Tennessee0
201310/26Alabama45Tennessee10Alabama -26.5Alabama0
201210/20Tennessee13Alabama44
201110/22Alabama37Tennessee6
201010/23Tennessee10Alabama41
200910/24Alabama12Tennessee10
200810/25Tennessee9Alabama29
200710/20Alabama41Tennessee17
200610/21Tennessee16Alabama13
200510/22Alabama6Tennessee3
200410/23Tennessee17Alabama13
200310/25Alabama43Tennessee51
200210/26Tennessee14Alabama34
200110/20Alabama24Tennessee35
200010/20Tennessee20Alabama10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tennessee756 Overs
Alabama1985 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 108 - 55 - 23 - 3
Road Teams10 - 165 - 83 - 32 - 5

(#12) ALA at (#17) TENN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatALATENN
Game ControlGC #18 #24
Momentum ControlMC #31 #50
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #12 #17
SP+SP+ #17 #16
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #7 #9
Blue ChipsBC% #1 #1
Alabama Notes
(2/14) Vibes: Shaky, '25 finish, new reality, talent down
(3/4) DBs one of the best units in CFB, deep & talented
(2/7) Least hyped Bama team since before Saban
(1/28) Lost 19 portals that went to P4 schools
(1/28) DeBoer a really good coach, is that enough?
(1/28) QB battle? Austin Mack vs phenom Keelon Russell
(1/28) RBs bad LY, lots of talent but no portal adds?
(1/28) WR L Brooks came on LY, Williams? Rogers added
(1/28) OL only 2 clear starters, 5/6 portal adds inexp'd
(1/28) Portal on lines: IN: 2 OL+5 DL, OUT: 7 OL+6 DL
(1/28) Portaled DTs w good exp but LB's/DE's needed
Alabama Injury Report
Tennessee Notes
(2/17) Vibes: High w QB back, '26 could be magical
(2/11) Hired strength coach from Indiana
(2/6) OL allowed pressure on 49% of drop backs LY
(2/4) QB set if Aguilar is back, depth is talented/no exp
(2/2) Did not beat team w winning record LY.
(1/28) Def loaded, F7 looks great, best LB's in CFB?
(1/28) New DC Knowles (PSU) + 4 PSU Def Portals
(1/28) WR loaded w/ Matthews & Staley. David solid TE
(1/28) OL looks really good, Vols lines look tough
(1/28) RB Bishop is top 10 back, have depth as well
(1/28) Big crootin class, could help fill gaps early
Tennessee Injury Report
Alabama on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
ALA OffTENN Def
Game ControlGC #13 #15
Momentum ControlMC #37 #75
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #62 #107
ExplosiveExp #50 #13
PPAPPA #48 #69
PowerPwr #18 #13
SP+SP+ #36 #63
Pts POPPO #38 #109
HavocHav #39 #19
Alabama Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
ALA OffTENN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #103 #123
Run ExplRExp #122 #15
PPAExp #115 #79
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #109 #73
Stuff RateStuff #109 #47
TackleTak - NR
Alabama Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
ALA OffTENN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #33 #67
Pass ExplPExl #54 #54
PPAExp #37 #58
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #33 #16
DB HavocDB #42 #32
Tennessee on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatTENN OffALA Def
Game ControlGC #31 #37
Momentum ControlMC #19 #37
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #5 #23
ExplosiveExp #51 #61
PPAPPA #5 #27
PowerPwr #22 #9
SP+SP+ #7 #11
Pts POPPO #9 #66
HavocHav #18 #26
Tennessee Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
TENN OffALA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #3 #31
Run ExplRExp #72 #91
PPAExp #9 #66
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #40 #53
Stuff RateStuff #12 #66
TackleTak - NR
Tennessee Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatTENN OffALA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #9 #33
Pass ExplPExl #57 #50
PPAExp #19 #17
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #23 #19
DB HavocDB #28 #47
Program Comparison
TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'26 Profile: Remains CFP Hopefuls

ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'26 Profile: Remains CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Tennessee last year (37-20)
Tennessee beat Alabama in 2024 (24-17)
Alabama beat Tennessee in 2023 (34-20)

  
ALA's OC Ryan Grubb (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Austin Mack243275%228207.1
Keelon Russell111573%143209.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daniel Hill7528463.830
Kevin Riley5922423.822
AK Dear1914037.456
Austin Mack92212.420
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Williams49689414.175
Lotzeir Brooks32441213.853
Noah Rogers (Tr)31413213.348
Daniel Hill2820317.341

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Kane Wommack (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayson Hubbard745218
Caleb Woodson (Tr)573011
Yhonzae Pierre5215881
Keon Sabb523213
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Yhonzae Pierre5215881
Devan Thompkins (Tr)307312
Brayson Hubbard745218
Keon Sabb523213
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayson Hubbard745218
Zabien Brown393006
Dijon Lee Jr.325005

TENN's OC Joey Halzle (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ryan Staub (Tr)305555%426347.7
George MacIntyre7978%69007.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DeSean Bishop1821076165.950
Javin Gordon (Tr)12851654.025
Daune Morris3513313.819
Justin Baker144303.17
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Braylon Staley68837612.373
Mike Matthews53813415.362
Ian Duarte (Tr)46521311.3N/A
Ethan Davis21257212.240

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Jim Knowles (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Amare Campbell (Tr)10310341
Edwin Spillman814332
Jeremiah Telander806120
Edrees Farooq760003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Norman (Tr)278620
Daevin Hobbs304322
Amare Campbell (Tr)10310341
Edwin Spillman814332
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Redmond4310011
DJ Burks (Tr)732005
Kayin Lee (Tr)310004