Washington at USC - 2026 Matchup Preview
Washington logo Washington Huskies at USC TrojansUSC logo
Saturday, October 3rd 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum - Los Angeles, CA

 
Huskies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (15 - 11)
Avg Score : 34 - 19 (30 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#1)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USC 2nd straight Home Game
USC is playing their 5th straight game
WASH is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: USC -5  (SP+ WASH -1.5)

Projected Score: WASH: 25 - USC: 30 (55)
USC Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
WASH Travel: 965 miles
Trojans (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (36 - 17)
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (43 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#1)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Washington's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Washington vs Washington State-21.5
Sat 9/12 Washington vs Utah State-29
Sat 9/19 Washington vs Eastern Washington-42
Sat 9/26 Washington vs Minnesota-17
Sat 10/3 Washington at USC+5
Sat 10/10 Washington vs Iowa-7
Sat 10/17 Washington at Purdue-19
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Washington at Nebraska-10
Sat 11/7 Washington vs Penn State-6
Sat 11/14 Washington at Michigan State-18
Sat 11/21 Washington vs Indiana+8
Sat 11/28 Washington at Oregon+9.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington's Schedule
USC's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 USC vs Fresno State-27.5
Sat 9/12 USC vs Louisiana-32.5
Sat 9/19 USC at Rutgers-19.5
Sat 9/26 USC vs Oregon+2.5
Sat 10/3 USC vs Washington-5
Sat 10/10 USC at Penn State-3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 USC at Wisconsin-19
Sat 10/31 USC vs Ohio State+6
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 USC at Indiana+10.5
Sat 11/21 USC vs Maryland-21
Sat 11/28 USC at UCLA-20.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WASH#18 (.29)49% (6)34.149% (11)3.16 (27)16751% (5)2444.58 (15)#25 (.08)39% (40)18.738% (22)41% (63)2.93 (15)55.31.11.5
USC#7 (.33)49% (11)35.846% (41)3.16 (28)16952% (4)2964.66 (10)#64 (.16)45% (119)2347% (122)43% (81)3.53 (56)54.21.21.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WASH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WASH Offense1334.129.649.4%4.581.1224111672444.751%48%49%51%14%.29
USC Defense132317.945.4%3.531.4 - - - - - 47%51%47%43%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WASH Defense1318.71939.2%2.931.5 - - - - - 45%53%38%41%15%.08
USC Offense1335.84348.9%4.661.2244651692965.248%50%46%52%13%.33

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Washington1329:3422.550%55%6.255.31.11.54.21.8228.9
USC1329:5023.751%64%5.854.21.21.45.52.4227.2
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WASH Offense1351% (58)49% (11)35.5166.84.730 (11).26 (10)3.16 (27)77% (34)10% (84)1.04 (39)
USC Defense1347% (37)47% (122) - - - - .13 (88)3.29 (125)67% (32)11% (34)0.81 (6)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WASH Defense1345% (15)38% (22) - - - - -.03 (9)2.88 (68)67% (32)8% (123)0.77 (2)
USC Offense1348% (81)46% (41)32.5169.25.229 (16).18 (36)3.16 (28)75% (47)7% (17)0.95 (74)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WASH Offense1348% (77)51% (5)19.628.5244.58.612.526 (75)8 (34).38 (29)1.4 (114)28% (17)37% (13).46 (18)4% (11)2.1 (38)
USC Defense1351% (95)43% (81) - - - - - - 12 (12).18 (41)1.6 (77)29% (110)33% (116).34 (93)5% (102)2.1 (112)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WASH Defense1353% (121)41% (63) - - - - - - 14 (38).2 (50)1.5 (49)33% (38)30% (76).31 (73)7% (28)2 (79)
USC Offense1350% (61)52% (4)21.532.32969.213.726 (22)10 (34).52 (4)1.6 (36)27% (14)37% (11).5 (10)6% (65)2.2 (14)

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 18.46  #15
Washington's Offense Rating: 21.88  #12
Washington's Defense Rating: 8.42  #21
2026 Talent Rating: 816.00  #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #24
Washington's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Washington's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.4  #13
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5  #20
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.3  #9

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.78
Average Power Five Talent: 885.22
Average FBS Talent: 707.18

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington: 18.46   USC: 23.36

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington: 18.4   USC: 16.9




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 23.36  #10
USC's Offense Rating: 28.12  #4
USC's Defense Rating: 8.30  #20
2026 Talent Rating: 1030.00  #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #24
USC's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
USC's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.9  #16
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.9  #9
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0  #36

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.78
Average Power Five Talent: 885.22
Average FBS Talent: 707.18


Washington Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.6
Defense: 18.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 19

Washington's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
USC 30
Washington 25


Projected Total Points: 55
USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 43
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.9

USC's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Washington26USC21USC -2Washington55.0Under
202311/04USC42Washington52Washington -3.0Washington76.0Over
201909/28Washington28USC14Washington -12.5Washington60.5Under
201611/12Washington13USC26Washington -10USC59.5Under
201510/08USC12Washington17USC -17Washington59.5Under
201210/13Washington14USC24
201111/12USC40Washington17
201010/02USC31Washington32
200909/19Washington16USC13
200811/01USC56Washington0
200709/29Washington24USC27
200610/07USC26Washington20
200510/22Washington24USC51
200410/23USC38Washington0
200310/25Washington23USC43
200210/19USC41Washington21
200110/06Washington27USC24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC1011 Overs
Washington744 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 82 - 31 - 21 - 1
Road Teams8 - 93 - 21 - 12 - 1

(#15) WASH at (#10) USC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWASHUSC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #15 #10
SP+SP+ #13 #16
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #51 #8
Blue ChipsBC% #24 #24
Washington on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
WASH OffUSC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #6 #119
ExplosiveExp #77 #16
PPAPPA #18 #64
PowerPwr #12 #20
SP+SP+ #20 #36
Pts POPPO #15 #56
HavocHav #39 #63
Washington Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
WASH OffUSC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #11 #122
Run ExplRExp #39 #6
PPAExp #10 #88
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #27 #125
Stuff RateStuff #53 #86
TackleTak - NR
Washington Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
WASH OffUSC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #5 #81
Pass ExplPExl #114 #77
PPAExp #29 #41
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #84 #34
DB HavocDB #11 #102
USC on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatUSC OffWASH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #11 #40
ExplosiveExp #33 #29
PPAPPA #7 #25
PowerPwr #4 #21
SP+SP+ #9 #9
Pts POPPO #10 #15
HavocHav #32 #94
USC Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
USC OffWASH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #41 #22
Run ExplRExp #74 #2
PPAExp #36 #9
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #28 #68
Stuff RateStuff #37 #114
TackleTak - NR
USC Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatUSC OffWASH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #4 #63
Pass ExplPExl #36 #49
PPAExp #4 #50
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #17 #123
DB HavocDB #65 #28
Program Comparison
USC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

WASH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Washington beat USC in 2024 (26-21)
Washington beat USC in 2023 (52-42)

  
WASH's OC Jimmie Dougherty (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Demond Williams Jr.24635470%30652588.7
Elijah Brown (Tr)7412758%829426.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Demond Williams Jr.14361264.342
Jayden Limar (Tr)4626235.753
Ryken Moon52204.411
Quaid Carr41403.58
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Christian Moss (Tr)44682215.570
Dezmen Roebuck42560713.359
Decker DeGraaf32360211.330
Chris Lawson10115011.542

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC Ryan Walters (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alex McLaughlin943006
Xe'Ree Alexander706123
Rylon Dillard-Allen402000
Jacob Lane408412
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Lane408412
Isaiah Ward133241
Darin Conley (Tr)244221
Zaydrius Rainey-Sale211122
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Emmanuel Karnley (Tr)262008
Alex McLaughlin943006
Xe'Ree Alexander706123

USC's OC Luke Huard (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jayden Maiava26540366%371124109.2
Sam Huard11100%100010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
King Miller15697286.275
Waymond Jordan8857656.540
Jayden Maiava5415762.921
Riley Wormley51803.66
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Terrell Anderson (Tr)39629516.175
Tanook Hines34561216.551
Jaden Richardson12148112.343
King Miller1611106.920

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC Gary Patterson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Desman Stephens II863010
Christian Pierce643103
Deven Bryant (Tr)622012
Alex VanSumeren (Tr)502221
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kameryn Fountain3711610
Braylan Shelby276540
Jide Abasiri264420
Zuriah Fisher (Tr)194251
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcelles Williams370004
Christian Pierce643103
Kamari Ramsey212022