Ole Miss at Arkansas - 2020 Matchup Preview
Ole Miss logo (#4)Ole Miss Rebels at Arkansas RazorbacksArkansas logo
Saturday, October 17th 2020 (3:30 PM EDT)
Arkansas -1.0 (77.5)
Arkansas 33 - Ole Miss: 21  (SEC)

 
Rebels (5 - 5) (5 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 39 - 38 (41 - 37 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 20.5 MPH
ARK is playing their 4th straight game
MISS is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ MISS -5.5)
Projected Score: MISS: 35 - ARK: 29 (64)
ARK Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
MISS Travel: 287 miles
Razorbacks (3 - 7) (5 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 35 (19 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ole Miss's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Ole Miss vs Florida+13.559.5L 35 - 51ON
Sat 10/3 Ole Miss at Kentucky+7.063.0W 42 - 41OY
Sat 10/10 Ole Miss vs Alabama+24.074.0L 48 - 63OY
Sat 10/17 Ole Miss at Arkansas+1.077.5L 21 - 33UN
Sat 10/24 Ole Miss vs Auburn+3.574.0L 28 - 35UN
Sat 10/31 Ole Miss at Vanderbilt-18.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Ole Miss vs South Carolina-12.573.0W 59 - 42OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 Ole Miss vs Mississippi State-10.070.0W 31 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/19 Ole Miss at LSU+0.074.5L 48 - 53ON
Sat 1/2 Ole Miss vs Indiana+6.566.5W 26 - 20UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Arkansas's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Arkansas vs Georgia+28.053.0L 10 - 37UY
Sat 10/3 Arkansas at Mississippi State+16.568.0W 21 - 14UY
Sat 10/10 Arkansas at Auburn+13.546.0L 28 - 30OY
Sat 10/17 Arkansas vs Ole Miss-1.077.5W 33 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Arkansas at Texas A&M+10.5
Sat 11/7 Arkansas vs Tennessee+2.554.0W 24 - 13UY
Sat 11/14 Arkansas at Florida+17.062.0L 35 - 63ON
Sat 11/21 Arkansas vs LSU+1.564.5L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/5 Arkansas at Missouri+2.055.5L 48 - 50OY
Sat 12/12 Arkansas vs Alabama+28.569.5L 3 - 52UN
Thu 12/31 Arkansas vs TCU+4.557.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS.3148%39.245%2.9221252%3454.21.3351%38.353%49%4.351.61.81.3
ARK.2344%25.743%2.9715147%2393.84.1646%34.947%45%3.7345.71.31.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6
ARK#27 (.25)48% (13)52% (5)3.23 (38)16844% (41)2483.95 (64)#45 (.13)42% (66)39% (32)44% (100)3.31 (22)56.31.71



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Offense1039.241.347.9%4.211.8285572123454.655%45%45%52%14%.31
ARK Defense1034.93045.8%3.731.8 - - - - - 50%50%47%45%14%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Defense1038.33750.6%4.31.3 - - - - - 49%51%53%49%13%.33
ARK Offense1025.718.844.5%3.841.3213901512393.852%48%43%47%15%.23

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ole Miss1027:5027.650%67%651.61.81.34.71.6028.1
Arkansas1025:1720.633%64%6.445.71.31.851.4324.2
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Offense1055%45%46.1211.64.623.212.9265%10%1.12
ARK Defense1050%47% - - - - .133.1475%8%0.91
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Defense1049%53% - - - - .293.2774%8%0.98
ARK Offense1052%43%39.4151.33.811.092.9770%11%0.81

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Offense1045%52%23.833.534510.314.53014.431.727%42%.674%2.2
ARK Defense1050%45% - - - - - - 13.191.528%39%.456%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Defense1051%49% - - - - - - 6.361.427%39%.496%1.9
ARK Offense1048%47%18.228.3238.68.413.1206.391.629%29%.275%2

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ole Miss's 2020 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3  #36
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.3  #14
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9  #80

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss:    Arkansas: 3.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 8.3   Arkansas: 2.8




Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 3.9 NR
Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas's 2020 Expected Record: -
Arkansas's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8  #57
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2  #54
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2  #62

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 39.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 41.3
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37

Ole Miss's 2020 Record
Record: 5 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 35
Arkansas 29

Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
Ole Miss 34
Arkansas 29

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
Ole Miss 36
Arkansas 30

Total Points: 66
Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 25.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.8
Defense: 34.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 30

Arkansas's 2020 Record
Record: 3 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Ole Miss41Arkansas35Ole Miss -3.5Ole Miss60.5Over
202411/02Arkansas31Ole Miss63Ole Miss -8Ole Miss54.0Over
202310/07Ole Miss27Arkansas20Ole Miss -13Arkansas61.5Under
202211/19Arkansas42Ole Miss27Ole Miss -0.0Arkansas67.5Over
202110/09Ole Miss52Arkansas51Ole Miss -5Arkansas67.0Over
202010/17Arkansas33Ole Miss21Arkansas -1.0Arkansas77.5Under
201909/07Ole Miss31Arkansas17Ole Miss -5Ole Miss50.5Under
201810/13Arkansas33Ole Miss37Ole Miss -6.5Arkansas66.5Over
201710/28Ole Miss37Arkansas38Ole Miss -2.5Arkansas62.0Over
201610/15Arkansas34Ole Miss30Ole Miss -6.5Arkansas65.0Under
201511/07Ole Miss52Arkansas53Ole Miss -11Arkansas55.0Over
201411/22Arkansas30Ole Miss0Ole Miss -2Arkansas0
201311/09Ole Miss34Arkansas24Ole Miss -17Arkansas0
201210/27Arkansas27Ole Miss30
201110/22Ole Miss24Arkansas29
201010/23Arkansas38Ole Miss24
200910/24Ole Miss30Arkansas17
200810/25Arkansas21Ole Miss23
200710/20Ole Miss8Arkansas44
200610/21Arkansas38Ole Miss3
200511/12Ole Miss17Arkansas28
200411/13Arkansas35Ole Miss3
200310/25Ole Miss19Arkansas7
200210/26Arkansas48Ole Miss28
200111/03Ole Miss56Arkansas58
200011/03Arkansas24Ole Miss38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas14107 Overs
Ole Miss1234 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 117 - 64 - 53 - 1
Road Teams11 - 156 - 71 - 35 - 4

(#) MISS at (#) ARK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMISSARK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #36 #57
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #29 #26
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ole Miss on Offense
CategoryCat
MISS OffARK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #14 #62
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ole Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffARK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ole Miss Pass Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffARK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arkansas on Offense
CategoryCatARK OffMISS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #54 #80
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas Run Game
CategoryCat
ARK OffMISS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas Pass Game
CategoryCatARK OffMISS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARK 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'20 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'20 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions:
Temp: 69° - Wind: 21 mph
Rematch from Week 7
Arkansas -1.0 (77.5)
Arkansas won vs Ole Miss this year (33-21)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Arkansas last year (63-31)
Ole Miss beat Arkansas in 2023 (27-20)
Arkansas beat Ole Miss in 2022 (42-27)

  
MISS's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MISS's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARK's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ARK's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD