Bowling Green at Miami (OH) - 2019 Matchup Preview

Bowling Green Falcons at Miami (OH) RedHawks

Wednesday, November 13th 2019 (8:00 PM EST)
Miami (OH) -17 (48.0)
Miami (OH) 44 - Bowling Green: 3 (Mid-American)

Falcons (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (24 - 29 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BGSU coming off BYE
Our Line: -11.5 (SP+ M-OH -18)
Projected Score: BGSU: 22 - M-OH: 27 (49)
M-OH Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
BGSU Travel: 141 miles

RedHawks (8 - 6) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (32 - 23 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BGSU Players
M-OH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bowling Green's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Bowling Green vs Morgan State	-24.0	50.5	W 46 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Bowling Green at Kansas State	+25.0	57.5	L 0 - 52	U	N
Sat 9/14	Bowling Green vs Louisiana Tech	+12.5	59.0	L 7 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/21	Bowling Green at Kent State	+12.0	61.5	L 20 - 62	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Bowling Green at Notre Dame	+45.5	64.5	L 0 - 52	U	N
Sat 10/12	Bowling Green vs Toledo	+26.5	65.0	W 20 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Bowling Green vs Central Michigan	+11.5	54.0	L 20 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/26	Bowling Green at Western Michigan	+26.5	65.5	L 10 - 49	U	N
Sat 11/2	Bowling Green vs Akron	-3.5	49.5	W 35 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/13	Bowling Green at Miami (OH)	+17.0	48.0	L 3 - 44	U	N
Tue 11/19	Bowling Green vs Ohio	+21.0	55.5	L 24 - 66	O	N
Fri 11/29	Bowling Green at Buffalo	+28.0	53.5	L 7 - 49	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Miami (OH)'s 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Miami (OH) at Iowa	+25.0	47.5	L 14 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Miami (OH) vs Tennessee Tech	-37.5	60.0	W 48 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/14	Miami (OH) at Cincinnati	+17.0	49.5	L 13 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/21	Miami (OH) at Ohio State	+38.5	56.5	L 5 - 76	O	N
Sat 9/28	Miami (OH) vs Buffalo	+2.5	47.5	W 34 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Miami (OH) at Western Michigan	+12.0	57.5	L 16 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/19	Miami (OH) vs Northern Illinois	+1.5	48.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Miami (OH) at Kent State	+2.5	54.5	W 23 - 16	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6	Miami (OH) at Ohio	+7.0	57.5	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Wed 11/13	Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green	-17.0	48.0	W 44 - 3	U	Y
Wed 11/20	Miami (OH) vs Akron	-30.5	44.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Fri 11/29	Miami (OH) at Ball State	+3.0	55.5	L 27 - 41	O	N
Sat 12/7	Miami (OH) vs Central Michigan	+5.5	56.5	W 26 - 21	U	Y
Mon 1/6	Miami (OH) vs Louisiana	+15.5	55.5	L 17 - 27	U	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	.13	40%	20.5	36%	2.53	116	43%	239	3.68	.32	49%	24.3	56%	36%	4.68	65.7	1.8	1.1
M-OH	.18	40%	23.5	39%	2.77	160	40%	212	3.97	.18	42%	21.7	43%	40%	4.03	58	0.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
M-OH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Offense	12	20.5	24	40.3%	3.68	1.8	19	355	116	239	3.4	46%	53%	36%	43%	19%	.13
M-OH Defense	12	21.7	22.7	41.8%	4.03	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	43%	40%	16%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Defense	12	24.3	29	49.4%	4.68	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	65%	35%	56%	36%	11%	.32
M-OH Offense	12	23.5	32.3	39.9%	3.97	0.8	19	372	160	212	4.3	50%	49%	39%	40%	15%	.18

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bowling Green	12	29:18	19.1	39%	50%	7.8	65.7	1.8	1.1	3.3	1.3	0	27.8
Miami (OH)	12	30:22	19	37%	61%	6.5	58	0.8	1.3	6.5	2.2	2	30

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense	12	46%	36%	34.7	116.3	3.4	9	-.02	2.53	74%	11%	0.96
M-OH Defense	12	54%	43%	-	-	-	-	.15	2.93	88%	11%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense	12	65%	56%	-	-	-	-	.37	3.63	82%	6%	1.03
M-OH Offense	12	50%	39%	36.8	159.8	4.3	24	.11	2.77	65%	9%	1.16

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense	12	53%	43%	20.8	33.8	238.7	7.1	11.5	29	13	.28	1.5	33%	31%	.29	8%	2
M-OH Defense	12	46%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.22	1.6	33%	31%	.35	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense	12	35%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.24	1.9	29%	33%	.4	4%	2
M-OH Offense	12	49%	40%	18.8	31.3	212.3	6.8	11.3	17	5	.28	1.7	37%	32%	.24	5%	1.6

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bowling Green's 2019 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -27.5 #128
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.9 #128
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #124

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: Miami (OH): -2.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -27.5 Miami (OH): -9.2

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -2.1 NR
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #104
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Miami (OH)'s 2019 Expected Record: -
Miami (OH)'s 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2 #102
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #111
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #77

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Bowling Green's 2019 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 9 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 6 - 0

Projected Score
Miami (OH) 27
Bowling Green 22

Projected Total Points: 49

Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Miami (OH)'s 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/29	Bowling Green	12	Miami (OH)	28	Bowling Green -3	Miami (OH)	37.5	Over
2023	10/07	Miami (OH)	27	Bowling Green	0	Miami (OH) -7.5	Miami (OH)	43.0	Under
2022	10/15	Bowling Green	17	Miami (OH)	13	Miami (OH) -7	Bowling Green	45.0	Under
2021	11/16	Miami (OH)	34	Bowling Green	7	Miami (OH) -17	Miami (OH)	52.0	Under
2019	11/13	Miami (OH)	44	Bowling Green	3	Miami (OH) -17	Miami (OH)	48.0	Under
2018	09/22	Bowling Green	23	Miami (OH)	38	Miami (OH) -6.5	Miami (OH)	55.0	Over
2017	10/07	Miami (OH)	29	Bowling Green	37	Miami (OH) -16.5	Bowling Green	50.5	Over
2016	10/22	Bowling Green	26	Miami (OH)	40	Bowling Green -3.5	Miami (OH)	52.0	Over
2013	11/05	Miami (OH)	3	Bowling Green	45	Bowling Green -24.5	Bowling Green	0
2012	10/13	Bowling Green	37	Miami (OH)	12
2011	09/24	Miami (OH)	23	Bowling Green	37
2010	11/10	Bowling Green	21	Miami (OH)	24
2009	11/12	Miami (OH)	14	Bowling Green	35
2008	10/18	Bowling Green	20	Miami (OH)	27
2007	10/13	Miami (OH)	47	Bowling Green	14
2006	11/15	Bowling Green	7	Miami (OH)	9
2005	11/15	Miami (OH)	14	Bowling Green	42
2003	12/04	Bowling Green	27	Miami (OH)	49
2003	11/04	Miami (OH)	33	Bowling Green	10
2001	11/03	Bowling Green	21	Miami (OH)	24
2000	10/13	Miami (OH)	24	Bowling Green	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Miami (OH)	14	6	4 Overs
Bowling Green	7	3	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 13	4 - 5	3 - 3	1 - 2
Road Teams	13 - 8	5 - 4	2 - 1	3 - 3

(#) BGSU at (#) M-OH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BGSU	M-OH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#128	#102
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#120	#104
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Bowling Green Injury Report

Miami (OH) Injury Report

Bowling Green on Offense


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	M-OH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#128	#77
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Bowling Green Run Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	M-OH Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Bowling Green Pass Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	M-OH Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Miami (OH) on Offense


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	BGSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#111	#124
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Miami (OH) Run Game


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Miami (OH) Pass Game


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
M-OH 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
Miami (OH) -17.0 (48.0)
Miami (OH) won vs Bowling Green this year (44-3)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Bowling Green in 2024 (28-12)
Miami (OH) beat Bowling Green in 2023 (27-0)

BGSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

M-OH's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD