LSU at Florida - 2017 Matchup Preview
LSU logo   LSU Tigers at Florida Gators  Florida logo
Saturday, October 7th 2017 (3:30 PM EDT)
LSU -1.5 (44.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
LSU 17 - Florida: 16  (SEC)

 
Tigers (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (16 - 20 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FLA 2nd straight Home Game
FLA is playing their 4th straight game
LSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -3  (SP+ LSU -11)
Projected Score: LSU: 20 - FLA: 23 (43)
LSU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
LSU Travel: 531 miles, 1 hrs behind
Gators (4 - 7) (3 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (29 - 19 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
LSU's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 LSU vs BYU-14.547.5W 27 - 0UY
Sat 9/9 LSU vs Chattanooga-36.5
Sat 9/16 LSU at Mississippi State-7.553.5L 7 - 37UN
Sat 9/23 LSU vs Syracuse-21.556.5W 35 - 26ON
Sat 9/30 LSU vs Troy-20.548.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/7 LSU at Florida-1.544.0W 17 - 16UN
Sat 10/14 LSU vs Auburn+6.546.0W 27 - 23OY
Sat 10/21 LSU at Ole Miss-6.559.0W 40 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 LSU at Alabama+20.545.5L 10 - 24UY
Sat 11/11 LSU vs Arkansas-19.054.5W 33 - 10UY
Sat 11/18 LSU at Tennessee-17.041.5W 30 - 10UY
Sat 11/25 LSU vs Texas A&M-11.050.5W 45 - 21OY
Mon 1/1 LSU vs Notre Dame-2.052.0L 17 - 21UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Florida's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Florida vs Michigan+4.545.5L 17 - 33ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/16 Florida vs Tennessee-6.550.5W 26 - 20UN
Sat 9/23 Florida at Kentucky-3.044.0W 28 - 27ON
Sat 9/30 Florida vs Vanderbilt-9.039.0W 38 - 24OY
Sat 10/7 Florida vs LSU+1.544.0L 16 - 17UY
Sat 10/14 Florida vs Texas A&M-3.549.5L 17 - 19UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Florida vs Georgia+13.543.5L 7 - 42ON
Sat 11/4 Florida at Missouri+1.561.5L 16 - 45UN
Sat 11/11 Florida at South Carolina+4.541.5L 20 - 28ON
Sat 11/18 Florida vs UAB-10.548.0W 36 - 7UY
Sat 11/25 Florida vs Florida State+4.543.0L 22 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU.2345%22.846%3.2223342%1903.52.0136%19.836%31%2.1411.41.3
FLA.0742%21.644%2.8312838%2162.81-.0736%2439%31%2.4758.31.71.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Offense1222.816.444.8%3.521.4204232331906.157%41%46%42%16%.23
FLA Defense132418.735.9%2.471.9 - - - - - 54%44%39%31%19%-.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Defense1219.820.435.6%2.11.3 - - - - - 50%47%36%31%19%.01
FLA Offense1321.62942.1%2.811.7183441282163.746%51%44%38%17%.07

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
LSU1231:0819.643%13%4.8411.41.36.53228.5
Florida1331:1318.142%47%6.858.31.71.96.22.4530.8
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Offense1257%46%38.32336.130.223.2265%11%1.16
FLA Defense1354%39% - - - - -.042.7563%12%0.84
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Defense1250%36% - - - - .022.9461%12%0.81
FLA Offense1346%44%34.8128.23.7112.8375%10%0.75

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Offense1241%42%14.524.8190.17.713.1127.271.631%36%.375%1.8
FLA Defense1344%31% - - - - - - 17-.11.836%29%.097%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Defense1247%31% - - - - - - 9.031.736%27%.128%1.5
FLA Offense1351%38%18.531.5215.86.811.61815.141.635%36%.287%1.5

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: NR
LSU's Offense Rating: NR
LSU's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
LSU's 2017 Expected Record: -
LSU's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.1  #11
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.6  #23
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.0  #8

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
LSU:    Florida: 7.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU: 21.1   Florida: 10.1




Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 7.55 NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida's 2017 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.1  #34
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #51
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4  #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


LSU Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.4
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.4

LSU's 2017 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Florida 23
LSU 20

Projected Total Points: 43
Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

Florida's 2017 Record
Record: 4 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13LSU20Florida10LSU -5.5LSU47.5Under
202411/16Florida27LSU16LSU -3Florida57.0Under
202311/11LSU52Florida35LSU -14LSU68.5Over
202210/15Florida35LSU45Florida -2LSU51.5Over
202110/16LSU49Florida42Florida -12.5LSU61.0Over
202012/12Florida34LSU37Florida -23LSU65.5Over
201910/12LSU42Florida28LSU -14Push55.5Over
201810/06Florida27LSU19LSU -1Florida44.0Over
201710/07Florida16LSU17LSU -1.5Florida44.0Under
201611/19LSU10Florida16LSU -10.5Florida38.0Under
201510/17LSU35Florida28LSU -6.5LSU43.5Over
201410/11Florida27LSU30LSU -1LSU0
201310/12LSU17Florida6LSU -5LSU0
201210/06Florida14LSU6
201110/08LSU41Florida11
201010/09Florida29LSU33
200910/10LSU3Florida13
200810/11Florida51LSU21
200710/06LSU28Florida24
200610/07Florida23LSU10
200510/15LSU21Florida17
200410/09Florida21LSU24
200310/11LSU7Florida19
200210/12Florida7LSU36
200110/06LSU15Florida44
200010/06Florida41LSU9
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida1047 Overs
LSU1684 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 118 - 44 - 34 - 1
Road Teams11 - 154 - 81 - 43 - 4

(#) LSU at (#) FLA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLSUFLA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #11 #34
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #6 #18
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
LSU on Offense
CategoryCat
LSU OffFLA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #23 #33
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
LSU Run Game
CategoryCat
LSU OffFLA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
LSU Pass Game
CategoryCat
LSU OffFLA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Florida on Offense
CategoryCatFLA OffLSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #51 #8
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
FLA OffLSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Florida Pass Game
CategoryCatFLA OffLSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FLA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average P4

LSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
LSU 1.5 (44.0)
LSU won at Florida this year (17-16)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Florida last year (20-10)
Florida beat LSU in 2024 (27-16)
LSU beat Florida in 2023 (52-35)

  
LSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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LSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

FLA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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FLA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD