Vanderbilt at Middle Tennessee - 2015 Matchup Preview

Vanderbilt Commodores at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Saturday, October 3rd 2015 (7:00 PM EDT)
Middle Tennessee -4.5 (49.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Vanderbilt 17 - Middle Tennessee: 13

Commodores (4 - 8) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (33 - 23 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

VAN 2nd straight Road Game
MTSU is playing their 5th straight game
VAN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: VAN: 34 - MTSU: 23 (57)
MTSU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
VAN Travel: 32 miles

Blue Raiders (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (24 - 33 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
VAN Players
MTSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Vanderbilt's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/3	Vanderbilt vs Western Kentucky	-17.5	60.0	L 12 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/12	Vanderbilt vs Georgia	+17.0	48.5	L 14 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/19	Vanderbilt vs Austin Peay	-39.5
Sat 9/26	Vanderbilt at Ole Miss	+28.0	53.5	L 16 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/3	Vanderbilt at Middle Tennessee	+4.5	49.5	W 17 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Vanderbilt at South Carolina	+7.0	46.0	L 10 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/24	Vanderbilt vs Missouri	+2.0	34.0	W 10 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/31	Vanderbilt at Houston	+13.5	49.5	L 0 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/7	Vanderbilt at Florida	+19.0	38.5	L 7 - 9	U	Y
Sat 11/14	Vanderbilt vs Kentucky	-2.5	41.5	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/21	Vanderbilt vs Texas A&M	+7.5	44.0	L 0 - 25	U	N
Sat 11/28	Vanderbilt at Tennessee	+17.5	41.0	L 28 - 53	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule

Middle Tennessee's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Middle Tennessee vs Jackson State	-23.5
Sat 9/12	Middle Tennessee at Alabama	+34.0	56.5	L 10 - 37	U	Y
Sat 9/19	Middle Tennessee vs Charlotte	-19.5	66.0	W 73 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/26	Middle Tennessee at Illinois	+7.0	62.0	L 25 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/3	Middle Tennessee vs Vanderbilt	-4.5	49.5	L 13 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/10	Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky	+7.5	69.5	L 28 - 58	O	N
Sat 10/17	Middle Tennessee vs Florida International	-7.0	52.5	W 42 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/24	Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech	+8.5	63.0	L 16 - 45	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7	Middle Tennessee vs Marshall	-2.0	56.0	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/14	Middle Tennessee at Florida Atlantic	-6.0	57.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/21	Middle Tennessee vs North Texas	-24.0	63.0	W 41 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/28	Middle Tennessee at UTSA	-11.0	59.0	W 42 - 7	U	Y
Thu 12/24	Middle Tennessee vs Western Michigan	+3.0

Important Stats (2014)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VAN	-.04	38%	38.5	41%	2.57	109	34%	179	2.13	.17	46%	22.8	48%	42%	3.53	52.5	2.4	1.1
MTSU	.17	45%	22.4	47%	3.14	214	40%	218	3.26	.19	46%	30.9	49%	43%	3.52	57.5	2	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MTSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2014

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VAN Offense	12	38.5	33	38.4%	2.13	2.4	16	288	109	179	3.4	52%	46%	41%	34%	3%	-.04
MTSU Defense	12	30.9	32.5	46.5%	3.52	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	49%	43%	1%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VAN Defense	12	22.8	23	46.1%	3.53	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	48%	42%	2%	.17
MTSU Offense	12	22.4	24	44.6%	3.26	2	21	431	214	218	4.8	57%	41%	47%	40%	2%	.17

Additional Stats 2014

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Vanderbilt	12	29:36	16.1	30%	50%	6.1	52.5	2.4	1.1	0	0	4	29.2
Middle Tennessee	12	29:35	21.2	44%	56%	6.5	57.5	2	1.7	0	0	2	30

Run Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VAN Offense	12	52%	41%	31.9	109.3	3.4	7	-.06	2.57	66%	0%	0.75
MTSU Defense	12	51%	49%	-	-	-	-	.11	3.24	80%	0%	0.76

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VAN Defense	12	53%	48%	-	-	-	-	.12	3.04	75%	0%	0.9
MTSU Offense	12	57%	47%	44.2	213.8	4.8	31	.13	3.14	75%	0%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VAN Offense	12	46%	34%	15	29.8	179.1	6	11.9	13	19	.01	1.6	32%	22%	-.07	3%	1.6
MTSU Defense	12	48%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.29	1.6	30%	39%	.42	1%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VAN Defense	12	45%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.29	1.6	31%	37%	.4	2%	1.8
MTSU Offense	12	41%	40%	18.7	28.6	217.5	7.6	11.7	17	13	.24	1.6	29%	34%	.28	2%	1.8

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Vanderbilt's 2015 Expected Record: -
Vanderbilt's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: Middle Tennessee: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: Middle Tennessee:

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Middle Tennessee's 2015 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 38.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Vanderbilt's 2015 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 1 - 11
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Vanderbilt 34
Middle Tennessee 23

Projected Total Points: 57

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 22.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 24
Defense: 30.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.5

Middle Tennessee's 2015 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	09/01	Vanderbilt	35	Middle Tennessee	7	Vanderbilt -3	Vanderbilt	57.5	Under
2017	09/02	Middle Tennessee	6	Vanderbilt	28	Vanderbilt -2.5	Vanderbilt	58.0	Under
2016	09/10	Vanderbilt	47	Middle Tennessee	24	Vanderbilt -5	Vanderbilt	51.0	Over
2015	10/03	Middle Tennessee	13	Vanderbilt	17	Middle Tennessee -4.5	Vanderbilt	49.5	Under
2005	10/01	Vanderbilt	15	Middle Tennessee	17
2002	10/12	Vanderbilt	20	Middle Tennessee	21
2001	08/30	Vanderbilt	28	Middle Tennessee	37

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Middle Tennessee	3	0	1 Overs
Vanderbilt	4	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 5	2 - 2	2 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	5 - 2	2 - 2	1 - 0	1 - 2

(#) VAN at (#) MTSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	VAN	MTSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#44	#82
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Vanderbilt Injury Report

Middle Tennessee Injury Report

Vanderbilt on Offense


CategoryCat	VAN Off	MTSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Vanderbilt Run Game


CategoryCat	VAN Off	MTSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Vanderbilt Pass Game


CategoryCat	VAN Off	MTSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	VAN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	VAN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Middle Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	VAN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

VAN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
Middle Tennessee -4.5 (49.5)
Vanderbilt won at Middle Tennessee this year (17-13)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

VAN's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MTSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD