Southern Miss at Alabama - 2014 Matchup Preview
Southern Miss logo Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Alabama Crimson Tide(#19)Alabama logo
Saturday, September 13th 2014 (6:00 PM EDT)
Alabama -49 (0)  Open: 0.0
Alabama 52 - Southern Miss: 12

 
Golden Eagles (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 35 (16 - 34 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ALA 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: USM: 19 - ALA: 37 (56)
ALA Win prob: 100% | Cover: 39%
USM Travel: 166 miles
Crimson Tide (12 - 2) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (46 - 16 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Southern Miss's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Southern Miss at Mississippi State+26.0
Sat 9/6 Southern Miss vs Alcorn State-18.0
Sat 9/13 Southern Miss at Alabama+49.0
Sat 9/20 Southern Miss vs App State-4.0
Sat 9/27 Southern Miss vs Rice+10.5
Sat 10/4 Southern Miss at Middle Tennessee+16.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Southern Miss at North Texas+10.5
Sat 10/25 Southern Miss vs Louisiana Tech+13.0
Sat 11/1 Southern Miss at UTEP+6.5
Sat 11/8 Southern Miss vs Marshall+24.5
Thu 11/13 Southern Miss at UTSA+11.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Southern Miss vs UAB+3.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Alabama's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Alabama vs West Virginia-22.053.5W 33 - 23ON
Sat 9/6 Alabama vs Florida Atlantic-39.0
Sat 9/13 Alabama vs Southern Miss-49.0
Sat 9/20 Alabama vs Florida-16.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Alabama at Ole Miss-4.5
Sat 10/11 Alabama at Arkansas-9.0
Sat 10/18 Alabama vs Texas A&M-12.0
Sat 10/25 Alabama at Tennessee-15.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Alabama at LSU-6.0
Sat 11/15 Alabama vs Mississippi State-6.5
Sat 11/22 Alabama vs Western Carolina-49.0
Sat 11/29 Alabama vs Auburn-7.0
Sat 12/6 Alabama vs Missouri-3.0
Thu 1/1 Alabama vs Ohio State-7.558.0L 35 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM.0939%1937%2.19638%2692.83.1944%35.443%43%3.7360.92.21.3
ALA.3152%36.952%3.3620750%2784.2.0538%18.435%37%2.740.11.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM#132 ()35% (130)40% (108)2.59 (126)10930% (133)1752.75 (133)#125 (.3)44% (97)45% (89)43% (93)4.17 (104)48.32.40.8
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)45% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)38% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Offense121916.238.9%2.832.221365962693.139%59%37%38%3%.09
ALA Defense1418.415.937.6%2.71.4 - - - - - 44%53%35%37%2%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Defense1235.434.244.1%3.731.3 - - - - - 53%45%43%43%2%.19
ALA Offense1436.94651.6%4.21.6244852072785.153%46%52%50%3%.31

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Southern Miss1229:3420.834%23%6.460.92.21.300128.5
Alabama1432:5524.351%77%4.940.11.61.400032.8
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Offense1239%37%31.395.83.19-.072.160%0%0.93
ALA Defense1444%35% - - - - -.112.2860%0%0.8
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Defense1253%43% - - - - .092.8768%0%0.94
ALA Offense1453%52%40.5206.65.135.223.3673%0%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Offense1259%38%23.140.2269.36.711.71415.191.640%36%.313%1.6
ALA Defense1453%37% - - - - - - 11.221.737%33%.272%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Defense1245%43% - - - - - - 7.351.633%37%.352%1.7
ALA Offense1446%50%20.732.2277.98.613.43210.441.626%40%.523%2

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Southern Miss's 2014 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss:    Alabama: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss:    Alabama:




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Alabama's 2014 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 19 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.2
Defense: 35.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.2

Southern Miss's 2014 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 37
Southern Miss 19

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Alabama 37
Southern Miss 21

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Alabama 38
Southern Miss 18

Total Points: 56
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 46
Defense: 18.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.9

Alabama's 2014 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 12
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/25Alabama63Southern Miss14Alabama -45Alabama57.5Over
201909/21Alabama49Southern Miss7Alabama -36.5Alabama63.0Under
201409/13Alabama52Southern Miss12Alabama -49Southern Miss0
200509/10Alabama30Southern Miss21
200410/16Alabama27Southern Miss3
200310/11Alabama17Southern Miss3
200209/21Alabama20Southern Miss7
200111/29Alabama28Southern Miss15
200009/15Alabama0Southern Miss21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama821 Overs
Southern Miss111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 12 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 81 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#) USM at (#) ALA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSMALA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Southern Miss on Offense
CategoryCat
USM OffALA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Southern Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
USM OffALA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Southern Miss Pass Game
CategoryCat
USM OffALA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCatALA OffUSM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffUSM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCatALA OffUSM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

USM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 81° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Alabama -49.0 (0)
Alabama won vs Southern Miss this year (52-12)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
USM's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USM's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ALA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ALA's DC ()
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